Tepid-Viability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$273

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.0%

Resolved

1,036

Trades

2,211

lifetime

Volume

$3.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-29 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

60% 31% -$185

Crypto

40% 46% -$87

Politics

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	5	$106	835	835	+0	open	—	06-29 21:15
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 8pm et	66	$95	219	248	-29	Down	-$5	03-24 00:53
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 12:15 UTC	4	$52	15	40	-25	Down	-$2	03-18 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 11?	7	$43	37	37	+0	Yes	+$31	05-12 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 11?	11	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	05-11 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on May 7?	8	$24	14	10	+4	Yes	+$0	05-07 23:37
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 14?	17	$23	73	73	+0	No	+$0	05-13 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 12?	7	$22	59	59	+0	No	+$10	05-12 00:26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 12?	3	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$17	05-12 21:27
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 14?	14	$19	32	23	+9	No	-$3	05-13 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 11?	9	$18	34	34	+0	No	+$2	05-11 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 12?	4	$17	14	14	+0	Yes	+$11	05-12 21:27
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 11?	8	$17	22	22	+0	No	+$3	05-11 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 15?	14	$17	13	13	+0	No	$0	05-14 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 13?	9	$17	29	29	+0	No	+$3	05-12 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 15?	14	$16	22	22	+0	No	-$1	05-14 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 15?	11	$16	13	12	+0	No	$0	05-13 18:31
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 11?	5	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$7	05-11 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?	12	$15	27	27	+0	No	+$1	05-14 19:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	4	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	+$9	05-11 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 11?	5	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$7	05-11 22:11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 15?	13	$15	21	21	+0	No	-$1	05-14 19:45
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 13?	9	$15	23	20	+4	No	-$1	05-13 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 14?	10	$15	36	24	+12	No	-$3	05-13 19:32
ethereum up or down march 23 2026 7pm et	6	$14	18	18	+0	Down	-$1	03-23 23:53
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 12?	3	$13	39	39	+0	No	+$9	05-12 19:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 14?	9	$13	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-14 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 13?	6	$13	23	23	+0	No	+$1	05-12 21:27
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?	5	$12	22	15	+7	No	-$2	05-13 15:08
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 10pm et	7	$12	20	15	+5	Down	-$2	03-24 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 21:15:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	667	4¢	$27	0x68ea47…
05-14 19:57:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	7¢	$50	0xaf78da…
05-14 19:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x03db6c…
05-14 19:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa59978…
05-14 19:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x8bd555…
05-14 19:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xf85104…
05-14 19:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x77b66f…
05-14 19:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x1449e9…
05-14 19:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xd825b4…
05-14 19:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x69d9d5…
05-14 19:55:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x33c057…
05-14 19:54:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x30ab4e…
05-14 19:54:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xed9565…
05-14 19:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xe8a7d9…
05-14 19:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 14?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x361cbc…
05-14 19:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 14?	No	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x112459…
05-14 19:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xd9cc8f…
05-14 19:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xe1bdfb…
05-14 19:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 15?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x24bb09…
05-14 19:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x6ba441…
05-14 19:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x23c442…
05-14 19:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x43dc33…
05-14 19:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 15?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x47667a…
05-14 19:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x1c1edd…
05-14 19:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xc34dfa…
05-14 19:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x8ca897…
05-14 19:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5e0b48…
05-14 19:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x9ab973…
05-14 19:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xa9ba09…
05-14 19:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xa47e73…
05-14 19:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xdd9aa6…
05-14 19:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xa3eabc…
05-14 19:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x9b8e2d…
05-14 19:53:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 14?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb5886b…
05-14 19:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 15?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x7ad862…
05-14 19:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x9bff93…
05-14 19:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9f922d…
05-14 19:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x7c499b…
05-14 19:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 14?	No	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xaa4206…
05-14 19:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x1725c6…
05-14 19:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x2356aa…
05-14 19:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4e06ed…
05-14 19:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x29bfe6…
05-14 19:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xaaf397…
05-14 19:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa2fc78…
05-14 19:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xce992b…
05-14 19:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x14aa2d…
05-14 19:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xdc41f5…
05-14 19:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xcb7f1a…
05-14 19:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x0dfdaf…
05-14 19:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x4a20d6…
05-14 19:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xea2e3a…
05-14 19:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x863aa3…
05-14 19:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x3f97f0…
05-14 19:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x3e7240…
05-14 19:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xaf90d8…
05-14 19:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xcefb1f…
05-14 19:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xfa11a1…
05-14 19:51:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xc2cea0…
05-14 19:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xc0c6e0…
05-14 19:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x8169a9…
05-14 19:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x5739e2…
05-14 19:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xb05267…
05-14 19:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xa2a59d…
05-14 19:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xf94066…
05-14 19:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xa54ca7…
05-14 19:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x4dbc83…
05-14 19:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x8d2017…
05-14 19:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x809ff9…
05-14 19:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xa14d4d…
05-14 19:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x269804…
05-14 19:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x2d8784…
05-14 19:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xac76f7…
05-14 19:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 16?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x677761…
05-14 19:50:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xb02c7d…
05-14 19:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x7d5cc3…
05-14 19:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 16?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xe771ac…
05-14 19:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xf5b33d…
05-14 19:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xc5d543…
05-14 19:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 16?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xd90113…
05-14 19:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xeaebe4…
05-14 19:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 16?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x077fd7…
05-14 19:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 16?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x48db5e…
05-14 19:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0x3071e4…
05-14 19:50:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xd4f62b…
05-14 19:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x4b2d7b…
05-14 19:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?	Yes	SELL	116	0¢	$0	0x650620…
05-14 19:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 16?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x21e3ac…
05-14 19:50:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xb77f40…
05-14 19:50:06	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xa923bd…
05-14 19:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xeb9c75…
05-14 19:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xd2371b…
05-14 19:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x64b503…
05-14 19:47:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 14?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x577c14…
05-14 19:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x5c1aba…
05-14 19:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 15?	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x692471…
05-14 19:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x4bed8f…
05-14 19:46:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbcccc2…
05-14 19:46:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 16?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xf7cf0f…
05-14 19:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x42c230…