Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$140
$724 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$1,829
Latest YES mid
19¢
Latest NO mid
81¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 17:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $30 | $80 | $50 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $18 | $19 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $10 | $3 | +$6 |
| Median | 4 | $2 | $31 | $29 |
| Below median | 7 | $1 | $45 | $44 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable-Box 0xf841…915b | Yes | +70 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 13:18 |
| Astonishing-Pseudoscience 0x1bce…24cd | Yes | +36 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 17:04 |
| Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | No | +35 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 16:54 |
| Euphoric-Scratch 0xf0e6…ab8a | No | +33 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-14 15:31 |
| Pricey-Score 0x6659…b7ca | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 10:08 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 05-14 10:14 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 19:38 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 20:33 |
| Miserly-Mother 0xa52d…a95a | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 05:49 |
| Vicious-Infrastructure 0xd283…51ec | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 15:03 |
| Chief-Plea 0xfdda…6de9 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:16 |
| Candid-Wood 0x892d…3270 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 15:18 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 15:03 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 17:04:37 | Astonishing-Pseudoscience 0x1bce…24cd | Yes | BUY | 36 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x5705ae… |
| 05-14 16:54:35 | Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | No | BUY | 35 | 86¢ | $30 | 0xc045b5… |
| 05-14 15:31:27 | Euphoric-Scratch 0xf0e6…ab8a | No | BUY | 33 | 84¢ | $28 | 0xf69ee7… |
| 05-14 15:18:46 | Candid-Wood 0x892d…3270 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8de8a1… |
| 05-14 14:16:02 | Chief-Plea 0xfdda…6de9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb6fa53… |
| 05-14 13:18:10 | Breakable-Box 0xf841…915b | Yes | BUY | 70 | 21¢ | $15 | 0x07409d… |
| 05-14 12:47:32 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xd98274… |
| 05-14 12:29:29 | Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x04f7a2… |
| 05-14 10:14:37 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x7b7e49… |
| 05-14 10:09:22 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x52d99b… |
| 05-14 10:08:59 | Pricey-Score 0x6659…b7ca | Yes | BUY | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x4791f2… |
| 05-14 00:49:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x8816f7… |
| 05-13 23:32:10 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x612574… |
| 05-13 22:30:50 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 85¢ | $3 | 0xec8a3c… |
| 05-13 22:11:59 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x0df096… |
| 05-13 22:11:54 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x3507e2… |
| 05-13 22:08:13 | (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x0511fc… |
| 05-13 22:08:08 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xed1cb8… |
| 05-13 22:08:01 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x85b529… |
| 05-13 22:07:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x0f7fff… |
| 05-13 22:07:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x97255e… |
| 05-13 20:33:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x74ce1b… |
| 05-13 20:22:58 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x7ecb96… |
| 05-13 20:22:56 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x6743a2… |
| 05-13 19:38:20 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe42d2a… |
| 05-13 15:03:28 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x7d51aa… |
| 05-13 15:03:21 | Vicious-Infrastructure 0xd283…51ec | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xbe20c8… |
| 05-13 11:38:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xf95e69… |
| 05-13 11:38:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4a1f31… |
| 05-13 09:30:00 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 4 | 81¢ | $3 | 0xa57c50… |
| 05-13 05:49:13 | Miserly-Mother 0xa52d…a95a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x062d72… |