Realized P&L
+$30
Unrealized P&L
+$142
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved
13
Trades
485
lifetime
Volume
$19.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$1.75K
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 07-01 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
73% 73% +$23
Other
26% 100% +$6
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +791 $668 100¢ $788 +$120 06-27 07:36
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No +474 $346 73¢ $346 +$0 06-30 08:54
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +250 $220 86¢ $215 $-5 06-13 11:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $161 58¢ $175 +$14 06-03 14:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +100 $83 82¢ $82 $-0 07-01 12:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +100 $71 70¢ $70 $-0 06-27 08:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +100 $50 70¢ $70 +$20 06-20 08:49
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes +81 $6 $1 $-6 06-09 16:27