Realized P&L
+$30
Unrealized P&L
+$107
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved
13
Trades
1,192
lifetime
Volume
$37.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$2.31K
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 07-22 18:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
60% 73% +$23
Other
37% 100% +$6
Sports
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No +846 $592 76¢ $643 +$50 07-07 12:15
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +250 $220 92¢ $229 +$9 06-13 11:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $161 67¢ $201 +$39 06-03 14:14
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +256 $133 69¢ $177 +$43 07-07 18:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +200 $176 86¢ $173 $-3 07-18 21:27
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +450 $207 31¢ $140 $-67 07-18 05:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +600 $170 22¢ $129 $-41 07-05 09:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +150 $110 78¢ $118 +$8 07-21 10:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +100 $50 99¢ $99 +$49 06-20 08:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +300 $78 33¢ $99 +$21 07-13 12:08
Will Truist fail by end of 2026? No +100 $98 98¢ $98 $-0 07-16 07:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +100 $83 86¢ $86 +$4 07-01 12:20
Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026? No +41 $40 98¢ $40 +$0 07-09 09:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +200 $22 14¢ $27 +$5 07-18 15:55
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +250 $27 $21 $-6 07-14 01:43
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +80 $20 24¢ $19 $-1 07-20 17:28
Will Truist fail by end of 2026? Yes +300 $6 $7 +$1 07-08 16:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +100 $5 $1 $-4 07-12 11:56
Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026? Yes +20 $0 $0 +$0 07-06 19:30