Realized P&L
-$15.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$908
Hit rate
52.8%
Resolved
8,475
Trades
40,862
lifetime
Volume
$500.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$11.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-30 06:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Other
78% 41% -$12,907
Politics
21% 50% -$2,262
Tech
1% 38% -$232
Sports
0% 45% -$117
Crypto
0% 29% -$185
Pop-Culture
0% 27% -$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +3,200 $2,195 97¢ $3.1K +$901 08-25 09:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +1,280 $1,149 83¢ $1.1K -$87 09-25 16:11
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264 No +1,068 $778 92¢ $978 +$199 07-25 13:19
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No +962 $670 84¢ $813 +$143 10-28 09:03
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31 No +969 $870 82¢ $795 -$75 10-11 14:47
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +620 $547 96¢ $598 +$51 09-23 12:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +631 $550 94¢ $596 +$46 08-25 08:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +600 $445 94¢ $564 +$119 08-25 07:52
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +321 $54 98¢ $314 +$260 08-28 08:39
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +300 $161 97¢ $290 +$129 09-21 06:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $161 92¢ $274 +$113 06-03 14:14
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +255 $47 98¢ $251 +$204 08-27 12:21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +1,280 $374 17¢ $218 -$156 10-02 16:26
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +216 $182 98¢ $211 +$30 09-05 16:00
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31 Yes +969 $84 18¢ $174 +$90 08-31 17:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $156 82¢ $165 +$9 08-03 12:04
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +220 $167 63¢ $139 -$28 09-25 07:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +210 $65 60¢ $125 +$61 08-28 08:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +131 $107 95¢ $124 +$17 07-28 15:38
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +228 $124 52¢ $117 -$6 10-17 07:44
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +228 $110 48¢ $111 +$1 10-17 01:02
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +3,200 $976 3¢ $104 -$872 07-31 14:26
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +100 $87 97¢ $97 +$10 07-01 19:09
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +120 $105 78¢ $93 -$12 10-23 09:16
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264 Yes +1,068 $286 8¢ $91 -$195 07-28 18:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $144 40¢ $85 -$60 08-27 15:55
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +543 $133 16¢ $84 -$49 10-05 09:51
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +220 $42 37¢ $81 +$39 10-23 09:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +110 $53 72¢ $80 +$27 08-29 09:33
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +90 $82 88¢ $80 -$2 09-16 15:50