Realized P&L
+$2.44K
Unrealized P&L
+$149
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved
538
Trades
5,703
lifetime
Volume
$171.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$2.23K
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 11-12 07:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
97% 78% +$2,618
Politics
1% 60% -$97
Tech
1% 50% -$5
Sports
1% 50% -$78
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No +693 $661 99¢ $684 +$22 10-22 17:39
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026? No +507 $454 97¢ $492 +$39 10-31 15:46
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +326 $287 94¢ $308 +$21 09-18 20:50
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +170 $147 96¢ $164 +$17 10-31 06:03
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +148 $139 93¢ $137 -$2 10-20 19:02
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +210 $90 60¢ $126 +$36 11-11 09:39
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +129 $118 91¢ $117 $0 11-10 13:16
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31? No +101 $91 96¢ $97 +$6 10-31 06:06
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +120 $23 30¢ $36 +$14 10-20 18:43
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +35 $32 94¢ $33 +$1 10-21 16:55
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +40 $22 69¢ $28 +$6 10-20 18:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +40 $14 16¢ $6 -$8 10-20 18:45
will microsoft launch a muse like personal agent before 2027 Yes +20 $7 26¢ $5 -$2 10-08 19:37