Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?
open
Total volume
$750
$14,616 in 24h
Trades
59
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$745
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-05-07
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 07:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $33 | $628 | $594 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $1 | $358 | $356 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $169 | $169 |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $60 | $58 |
| Below median | 8 | $8 | $7 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $7 | $42 | $35 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| unranked | 4 | $6 | — | +$6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xef68…d402 | No | +385 | $353 | $353 | 7 | 05-06 22:16 |
| Soft-Tattler 0x59b6…fb20 | No | +94 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 05-07 04:13 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | Yes | +85 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 18:30 |
| Astonishing-Pseudoscience 0x1bce…24cd | No | +52 | $50 | $79 | 2 | 05-07 07:29 |
| Pristine-Waiter-Pasture 0x2dbb…f7ff | Yes | +43 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-07 03:28 |
| Sorrowful-Reporting 0xc4f5…ee83 | Yes | +41 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 07:39 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +36 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 05-07 03:28 |
| Fuzzy-Councilperson 0x149f…8527 | Yes | +34 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x32e0…3884 | Yes | +31 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-06 17:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e61…931b | No | +29 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-06 18:21 |
| Generous-Chateau 0x9f3f…af73 | Yes | +28 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 07:13 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-06 23:33 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 14:07 |
| Submissive-Pupa 0x8122…4ced | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-07 06:59 |
| Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 22:11 |
| Reckless-Whisper 0x95fe…8c71 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 16:48 |
| Wiggly-Strawman 0x15cb…515f | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 20:41 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 05-07 07:29 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-07 07:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ece…5efa | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 02:48 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x26ea…de4f | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 06:19 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 15:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6be…cbf7 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 04:53 |
| Fickle-Talk 0x67e9…7827 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 04:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x32a9…7722 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 02:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 07:59:51 | Angry-Platter 0xef46…22a6 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x8a7d74… |
| 05-07 07:49:51 | Fuzzy-Councilperson 0x149f…8527 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x440d33… |
| 05-07 07:39:28 | Sorrowful-Reporting 0xc4f5…ee83 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x9b5f9e… |
| 05-07 07:33:12 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x044c74… |
| 05-07 07:29:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xbd0007… |
| 05-07 07:29:42 | Astonishing-Pseudoscience 0x1bce…24cd | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xe1f951… |
| 05-07 07:29:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xdb110a… |
| 05-07 07:28:09 | Astonishing-Pseudoscience 0x1bce…24cd | No | BUY | 67 | 96¢ | $64 | 0x72851d… |
| 05-07 07:24:27 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd46936… |
| 05-07 07:24:23 | Gentle-Passport 0xe59d…b97b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x368999… |
| 05-07 07:13:27 | Generous-Chateau 0x9f3f…af73 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5679c6… |
| 05-07 07:13:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf5bb34… |
| 05-07 07:08:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc6ceaa… |
| 05-07 07:08:24 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0062fc… |
| 05-07 06:59:32 | Submissive-Pupa 0x8122…4ced | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x5ac1c8… |
| 05-07 06:58:12 | Bowed-Postbox 0x099c…18e8 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x05e35b… |
| 05-07 06:19:21 | (anonymous) 0x26ea…de4f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xbd100e… |
| 05-07 05:59:41 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | SELL | 44 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x401f85… |
| 05-07 05:58:17 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | SELL | 41 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x52f210… |
| 05-07 05:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | SELL | 90 | 10¢ | $9 | 0x5e6c78… |
| 05-07 05:38:11 | Necessary-Tag 0x06f7…53e0 | No | BUY | 14 | 88¢ | $12 | 0x90a79f… |
| 05-07 04:53:50 | (anonymous) 0xc6be…cbf7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xc484f6… |
| 05-07 04:43:42 | Fickle-Talk 0x67e9…7827 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xcd0867… |
| 05-07 04:18:06 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | SELL | 94 | 21¢ | $20 | 0x16b816… |
| 05-07 04:13:54 | Soft-Tattler 0x59b6…fb20 | No | BUY | 94 | 78¢ | $74 | 0xb126c9… |
| 05-07 03:28:22 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 14 | 77¢ | $11 | 0xd466a3… |
| 05-07 03:28:17 | Pristine-Waiter-Pasture 0x2dbb…f7ff | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x1d8eb5… |
| 05-07 03:27:58 | Pristine-Waiter-Pasture 0x2dbb…f7ff | Yes | BUY | 15 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xefbeea… |
| 05-07 03:03:35 | Pristine-Waiter-Pasture 0x2dbb…f7ff | Yes | BUY | 23 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xc015e9… |
| 05-07 02:57:55 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x0384af… |
| 05-07 02:48:16 | (anonymous) 0x5ece…5efa | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x4c1fbc… |
| 05-07 02:48:16 | (anonymous) 0x32a9…7722 | No | BUY | 4 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x806265… |
| 05-06 23:33:05 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x109d9e… |
| 05-06 23:32:02 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x8b78a0… |
| 05-06 22:16:43 | (anonymous) 0xef68…d402 | No | BUY | 183 | 88¢ | $161 | 0xe013c9… |
| 05-06 22:11:41 | Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x70c5f2… |
| 05-06 21:51:37 | (anonymous) 0xef68…d402 | No | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x7b3f4e… |
| 05-06 21:12:04 | (anonymous) 0xef68…d402 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x0a0a76… |
| 05-06 21:06:21 | (anonymous) 0xef68…d402 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf03706… |
| 05-06 21:01:37 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xc31435… |
| 05-06 20:41:23 | Wiggly-Strawman 0x15cb…515f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf55461… |
| 05-06 18:59:42 | (anonymous) 0xef68…d402 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x8d65f0… |
| 05-06 18:30:43 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xfc4cae… |
| 05-06 18:21:16 | (anonymous) 0x6e61…931b | No | BUY | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0x836a13… |
| 05-06 17:22:07 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf75611… |
| 05-06 17:22:07 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe61d04… |
| 05-06 17:18:05 | Wrong-Pitching 0x8a5a…6df4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2eb28d… |
| 05-06 17:18:03 | Wrong-Pitching 0x8a5a…6df4 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3dc599… |
| 05-06 17:03:34 | (anonymous) 0xef68…d402 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x5b936c… |
| 05-06 17:02:59 | (anonymous) 0x32e0…3884 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x874392… |
| 05-06 16:57:44 | (anonymous) 0xef68…d402 | No | BUY | 139 | 95¢ | $132 | 0xc25cd2… |
| 05-06 16:52:43 | Prize-Carport 0xdbdb…f5b8 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xde014c… |
| 05-06 16:49:35 | Prize-Carport 0xdbdb…f5b8 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x530847… |
| 05-06 16:48:27 | Reckless-Whisper 0x95fe…8c71 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x797bd5… |
| 05-06 16:13:43 | Necessary-Tag 0x06f7…53e0 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x00d369… |
| 05-06 16:02:57 | (anonymous) 0x32e0…3884 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x756448… |
| 05-06 15:47:54 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa48042… |
| 05-06 14:07:36 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6f2104… |
| 05-06 09:55:06 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe255f3… |