Realized P&L
+$349
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
76.7%
Resolved
8,871
Trades
27,917
lifetime
Volume
$148.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$150
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 05-14 20:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
90% 62% +$564
Politics
7% 73% -$251
Crypto
2% 67% +$130
Tech
0% 57% -$95
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +56 $35 99¢ $55 +$20 05-06 21:11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-06 13:50
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-07 07:30
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12 $12 98¢ $12 +$0 05-06 15:34
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-07 09:04
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +19 $11 44¢ $8 -$2 05-07 22:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12 $7 55¢ $7 -$1 05-06 15:34
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No +6 $3 87¢ $5 +$2 05-06 02:41
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-14 18:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 05-05 13:46
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 05-04 21:55
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 05-05 13:37
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +12 $12 22¢ $3 -$9 05-06 13:50
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No -3 -$2 72¢ $-2 $0 05-04 21:55
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2 $2 85¢ $2 $0 04-28 21:11
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No -3 -$1 55¢ $-2 $0 05-04 21:55
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? No +6 $4 25¢ $2 -$3 05-06 02:41
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +15 $4 6¢ $1 -$3 05-10 13:33
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No -1 -$1 84¢ $-1 +$0 05-04 21:56
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +5 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 04-28 17:32