Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
open
Total volume
$8,655
$396 in 24h
Trades
91
Unique wallets
59
Liquidity
$2,225
Latest YES mid
84¢
Latest NO mid
16¢
End date
2026-05-18
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-17 03:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+49.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $12
vs crowd: 50% YES on $6.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $384 | $222 | +$162 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 44 | $3.1K | $3.2K | $141 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $776 | $3.2K | $2.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $982 | — | +$982 |
| Median | 8 | $24 | $43 | $19 |
| Below median | 14 | $42 | $116 | $74 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $365 | $75 | +$290 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $925 | — | +$925 |
| unranked | 11 | $344 | $8 | +$336 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troubled-Warden 0xb037…71f0 | No | +6,465 | $3,000 | $3,000 | 1 | 05-15 18:49 |
| Nocturnal-Alluvium 0x9f11…ddc4 | Yes | +1,404 | $982 | $982 | 1 | 05-16 05:10 |
| Drafty-Afterlife 0xb028…8686 | Yes | +1,213 | $701 | $701 | 4 | 05-17 00:47 |
| Passionate-Conflict 0x3c11…1535 | Yes | +1,008 | $268 | $268 | 1 | 05-15 21:28 |
| Piercing-Sentiment 0x0f23…dc0c | Yes | +532 | $267 | $267 | 2 | 05-17 00:45 |
| Motionless-Something 0x233b…1f2c | Yes | +414 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-16 05:10 |
| Hard-Public 0xe562…4fa9 | Yes | +403 | $225 | $225 | 6 | 05-17 00:08 |
| Parallel-Trader 0x5e39…352c | Yes | +346 | $270 | $270 | 2 | 05-17 03:52 |
| Jaded-Confidentiality 0x5d5a…4289 | No | +203 | $84 | $84 | 2 | 05-16 12:46 |
| Shameless-Temporary 0xfcf2…7279 | Yes | +200 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 05-16 03:51 |
| Unsteady-Convert 0x389a…397d | No | +190 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-16 15:21 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +176 | $94 | $94 | 4 | 05-17 01:23 |
| Impartial-Tatami 0x789a…1dda | No | +147 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-16 23:56 |
| Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | +135 | $43 | $43 | 4 | 05-16 17:52 |
| Giving-Gain 0x2482…67b1 | Yes | +100 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-16 13:36 |
| Reasonable-Pork 0xf2f5…137e | No | +82 | $34 | $98 | 2 | 05-16 15:26 |
| Dutiful-Cartload 0x9b5d…fbb6 | No | +74 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-15 17:44 |
| Slushy-Nurse 0x55cb…10d9 | Yes | +74 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 22:39 |
| Elastic-Line 0xac59…8ee2 | Yes | +60 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-15 21:30 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +60 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-16 17:26 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +41 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-16 17:26 |
| Tattered-Offense 0x498f…ec61 | Yes | +36 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 05-15 21:55 |
| Shy-Yam 0x02fe…5af0 | Yes | +35 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-16 21:17 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +27 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-16 15:21 |
| Prime-Qualification 0x4eef…3fcb | Yes | +25 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-17 00:42 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +19 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-14 13:33 |
| Appropriate-Layout 0x87e8…b760 | Yes | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 17:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xed3f…ab1c | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-17 00:17 |
| Surprised-Snowstorm-Butcher 0xe5cd…4249 | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 23:02 |
| French-Sweets-Right 0x153a…cb6c | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-17 03:33 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | +5 | $4 | $13 | 2 | 05-15 21:05 |
| Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 12:46 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 16:46 |
| Adorable-Female 0x0925…f4ed | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 08:59 |
| Wilted-King 0x39ca…7605 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 12:46 |
| United-Premier 0xdbe5…72da | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3b6…90d3 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 11:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 03:52:28 | Parallel-Trader 0x5e39…352c | Yes | BUY | 246 | 82¢ | $202 | 0x3a9940… |
| 05-17 03:33:46 | French-Sweets-Right 0x153a…cb6c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x1f0808… |
| 05-17 03:24:30 | Frozen-Sensitive 0xda71…799d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0x352f6b… |
| 05-17 01:43:17 | Foolhardy-Entrance 0x3b27…0b98 | No | SELL | 1,335 | 19¢ | $248 | 0xb60b0d… |
| 05-17 01:23:38 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0xcf4246… |
| 05-17 00:47:33 | Drafty-Afterlife 0xb028…8686 | Yes | BUY | 439 | 54¢ | $237 | 0x04e924… |
| 05-17 00:47:23 | Drafty-Afterlife 0xb028…8686 | Yes | BUY | 135 | 51¢ | $69 | 0xd93483… |
| 05-17 00:45:34 | Piercing-Sentiment 0x0f23…dc0c | Yes | BUY | 450 | 48¢ | $214 | 0x1e064d… |
| 05-17 00:42:32 | Prime-Qualification 0x4eef…3fcb | Yes | BUY | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xe3d4be… |
| 05-17 00:41:10 | Foolhardy-Entrance 0x3b27…0b98 | No | BUY | 90 | 54¢ | $48 | 0xa470e7… |
| 05-17 00:37:31 | Decent-Poncho 0xbe78…c533 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xe8a4c2… |
| 05-17 00:21:34 | Decent-Poncho 0xbe78…c533 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 43¢ | $22 | 0x5a0744… |
| 05-17 00:17:27 | (anonymous) 0xed3f…ab1c | No | BUY | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0x804d74… |
| 05-17 00:08:07 | Hard-Public 0xe562…4fa9 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 43¢ | $27 | 0xe0bd36… |
| 05-16 23:57:21 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 49¢ | $18 | 0x2b8dc9… |
| 05-16 23:57:11 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 48¢ | $16 | 0xf494cc… |
| 05-16 23:57:09 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 48¢ | $36 | 0x7ac4a2… |
| 05-16 23:56:48 | Impartial-Tatami 0x789a…1dda | No | BUY | 147 | 51¢ | $75 | 0x20f505… |
| 05-16 23:08:37 | Dutiful-Highland 0xec69…d6d8 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 54¢ | $13 | 0x83926a… |
| 05-16 21:17:14 | Shy-Yam 0x02fe…5af0 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 55¢ | $19 | 0xae4c31… |
| 05-16 20:24:02 | Reasonable-Pork 0xf2f5…137e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 53¢ | $26 | 0x289ffb… |
| 05-16 19:02:22 | Honest-Cufflink 0x40c2…b2fc | Yes | SELL | 22 | 56¢ | $13 | 0x763388… |
| 05-16 18:17:09 | Hard-Public 0xe562…4fa9 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 56¢ | $60 | 0x037f8a… |
| 05-16 18:16:59 | Hard-Public 0xe562…4fa9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 55¢ | $8 | 0x44196e… |
| 05-16 18:16:50 | Outstanding-Mortality 0xdc5e…ff63 | No | SELL | 100 | 47¢ | $46 | 0x1102ae… |
| 05-16 17:52:01 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 50 | 41¢ | $20 | 0xe3972f… |
| 05-16 17:35:09 | Appropriate-Layout 0x87e8…b760 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 58¢ | $10 | 0xa771a5… |
| 05-16 17:27:59 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 56¢ | $31 | 0xd73492… |
| 05-16 17:26:56 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 44¢ | $13 | 0xd72da6… |
| 05-16 17:26:56 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 21 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xbe304c… |
| 05-16 17:26:56 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 56¢ | $56 | 0x466cb7… |
| 05-16 17:12:59 | Unfinished-Precedence 0x8031…c84c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 62¢ | $11 | 0x9cd74e… |
| 05-16 16:56:41 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xc631c8… |
| 05-16 16:46:44 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0ca71b… |
| 05-16 16:36:34 | Safe-Toothpaste 0x383d…cb90 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x31547f… |
| 05-16 15:26:27 | Reasonable-Pork 0xf2f5…137e | No | SELL | 118 | 27¢ | $32 | 0xf90815… |
| 05-16 15:25:25 | Noisy-Underwire 0x1e12…7bd7 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 70¢ | $351 | 0x6ed9ff… |
| 05-16 15:21:48 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | BUY | 27 | 26¢ | $7 | 0x4822e3… |
| 05-16 15:21:41 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 21 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x5ab00f… |
| 05-16 15:21:40 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xfc2105… |
| 05-16 15:21:34 | Unsteady-Convert 0x389a…397d | No | BUY | 190 | 26¢ | $50 | 0x555e3e… |
| 05-16 15:15:02 | Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0xabe606… |
| 05-16 13:39:35 | Piercing-Sentiment 0x0f23…dc0c | Yes | BUY | 82 | 64¢ | $53 | 0x704ada… |
| 05-16 13:36:22 | Giving-Gain 0x2482…67b1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 64¢ | $64 | 0x78b1fe… |
| 05-16 12:46:49 | Hard-Public 0xe562…4fa9 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 60¢ | $20 | 0x3fb65c… |
| 05-16 12:46:40 | Wilted-King 0x39ca…7605 | No | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x006e09… |
| 05-16 12:46:05 | Jaded-Confidentiality 0x5d5a…4289 | No | BUY | 156 | 42¢ | $65 | 0x24d409… |
| 05-16 12:46:03 | Hard-Public 0xe562…4fa9 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 60¢ | $100 | 0xa49401… |
| 05-16 12:46:03 | Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x809e4a… |
| 05-16 11:20:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3b6…90d3 | No | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x3ba07d… |
| 05-16 11:20:39 | Jaded-Confidentiality 0x5d5a…4289 | No | BUY | 46 | 42¢ | $19 | 0xf0a2ee… |
| 05-16 11:20:38 | Inexperienced-Grandfather 0xa99b…1211 | No | SELL | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0x8c355f… |
| 05-16 05:51:17 | Decent-Poncho 0xbe78…c533 | Yes | SELL | 208 | 66¢ | $137 | 0xd89e2a… |
| 05-16 05:46:09 | Babyish-Protest 0xe09b…0a70 | No | SELL | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xc9ea42… |
| 05-16 05:10:58 | Nocturnal-Alluvium 0x9f11…ddc4 | Yes | BUY | 1,404 | 70¢ | $982 | 0xcc50e6… |
| 05-16 05:10:58 | Motionless-Something 0x233b…1f2c | Yes | BUY | 414 | 72¢ | $300 | 0x8f4a3f… |
| 05-16 04:56:04 | White-Goodbye 0x7615…e395 | No | SELL | 50 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x5ac2c1… |
| 05-16 04:16:08 | Drafty-Afterlife 0xb028…8686 | Yes | BUY | 131 | 62¢ | $81 | 0x9aa95c… |
| 05-16 04:15:54 | Drafty-Afterlife 0xb028…8686 | Yes | BUY | 509 | 62¢ | $314 | 0x54e362… |
| 05-16 03:51:08 | Shameless-Temporary 0xfcf2…7279 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 57¢ | $114 | 0x2fa9cc… |
| 05-15 23:45:47 | Hard-Public 0xe562…4fa9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x05e2a5… |
| 05-15 22:13:55 | Ragged-Permission 0x4a5a…78c7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0xd59b5c… |
| 05-15 21:55:34 | Tattered-Offense 0x498f…ec61 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x4e625f… |
| 05-15 21:53:46 | Tattered-Offense 0x498f…ec61 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0x1c0917… |
| 05-15 21:30:40 | Elastic-Line 0xac59…8ee2 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 28¢ | $17 | 0x8017ef… |
| 05-15 21:28:51 | Passionate-Conflict 0x3c11…1535 | Yes | BUY | 1,008 | 27¢ | $268 | 0x24f8f8… |
| 05-15 21:05:26 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | SELL | 17 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x688de8… |
| 05-15 19:20:00 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | BUY | 22 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x1f79fc… |
| 05-15 18:49:55 | Troubled-Warden 0xb037…71f0 | No | BUY | 6,465 | 46¢ | $3,000 | 0x91dd6e… |
| 05-15 17:44:55 | Dutiful-Cartload 0x9b5d…fbb6 | No | BUY | 74 | 34¢ | $25 | 0x782316… |
| 05-15 15:21:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 67¢ | $37 | 0xb771b3… |
| 05-15 15:19:52 | Cultured-Coconut 0x8444…1cf9 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0x497176… |
| 05-15 15:19:43 | Thunderous-Stock 0xf7bb…a9f7 | Yes | SELL | 520 | 67¢ | $348 | 0xc47d16… |
| 05-15 12:34:43 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 50 | 31¢ | $16 | 0xc703cd… |
| 05-15 12:29:41 | Parallel-Trader 0x5e39…352c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 68¢ | $68 | 0xfe7262… |
| 05-15 10:31:42 | Reasonable-Pork 0xf2f5…137e | No | BUY | 200 | 33¢ | $66 | 0x466224… |
| 05-15 06:49:37 | Confused-Network 0x1a0d…c27b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x214027… |
| 05-15 06:49:25 | Bronze-Toll-Chasuble 0xb94c…b5b5 | Yes | SELL | 191 | 67¢ | $128 | 0x69937c… |
| 05-14 23:02:42 | Surprised-Snowstorm-Butcher 0xe5cd…4249 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0xdd96b7… |
| 05-14 22:39:32 | Slushy-Nurse 0x55cb…10d9 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 68¢ | $50 | 0x9b0429… |
| 05-14 22:37:35 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 22 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xb539a1… |
| 05-14 14:26:18 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x9e844e… |
| 05-14 13:59:26 | Inexperienced-Grandfather 0xa99b…1211 | No | SELL | 50 | 32¢ | $16 | 0xcec470… |
| 05-14 13:33:22 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x434afd… |
| 05-14 13:33:22 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 50 | 33¢ | $16 | 0x1031a6… |
| 05-14 13:33:22 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 59 | 32¢ | $19 | 0x8726e0… |
| 05-14 13:33:20 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x59afc5… |
| 05-14 13:27:14 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x32d171… |
| 05-14 13:04:15 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x902d45… |
| 05-14 08:59:27 | Adorable-Female 0x0925…f4ed | Yes | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x7266c0… |
| 05-13 21:40:31 | United-Premier 0xdbe5…72da | No | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x9fb754… |