Realized P&L
-$74.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.05K
Hit rate
2.4%
Resolved
9,022
Trades
92,933
lifetime
Volume
$2.87M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$64.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-27 20:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 237 days
Categories
Other
62% 7% -$55,346
Politics
23% 5% -$11,455
Sports
9% 8% -$4,160
Tech
4% 4% -$2,108
Crypto
2% 10% -$744
Pop-Culture
1% 8% -$251
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 672 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +8,087 $6,047 97¢ $7.8K +$1,769 06-22 20:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,337 $4,850 64¢ $4.7K -$192 08-27 16:34
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +4,224 $3,709 98¢ $4.2K +$452 06-11 15:45
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3,925 $3,642 100¢ $3.9K +$278 06-07 23:19
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,469 $3,956 84¢ $3.8K -$201 10-24 03:31
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +3,399 $2,187 100¢ $3.4K +$1,199 09-16 10:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3,889 $2,959 79¢ $3.1K +$115 09-19 23:26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +3,517 $3,070 86¢ $3.0K -$28 07-13 17:10
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3,115 $2,872 97¢ $3.0K +$140 06-18 22:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,337 $2,651 36¢ $2.7K +$27 08-31 17:32
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +2,127 $1,938 95¢ $2.0K +$76 09-20 19:43
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,838 $1,669 96¢ $1.8K +$92 06-23 00:56
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,744 $1,670 100¢ $1.7K +$72 06-17 19:00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,789 $838 92¢ $1.7K +$817 06-07 16:33
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +1,708 $1,582 95¢ $1.6K +$39 07-30 18:50
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +1,628 $1,565 95¢ $1.6K -$13 07-11 08:53
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +1,515 $1,441 95¢ $1.4K -$8 06-19 14:55
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,503 $1,346 93¢ $1.4K +$48 07-05 23:42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,653 $1,262 83¢ $1.4K +$117 06-22 06:54
jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison No +1,296 $1,213 96¢ $1.2K +$26 08-03 08:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,400 $893 84¢ $1.2K +$276 09-24 17:59
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,021 $1,539 56¢ $1.1K -$400 07-27 04:46
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +1,060 $910 92¢ $975 +$65 07-13 12:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,533 $975 62¢ $943 -$32 06-27 08:09
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,021 $490 44¢ $882 +$392 08-11 20:12
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +870 $657 99¢ $860 +$202 07-07 13:21
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +867 $357 96¢ $833 +$476 07-13 18:00
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +931 $482 88¢ $824 +$341 09-28 21:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +3,889 $1,056 21¢ $815 -$242 09-09 07:57
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +910 $667 89¢ $810 +$143 06-11 13:01