Realized P&L
-$924
Unrealized P&L
+$283
Hit rate
10.5%
Resolved
114
Trades
10,490
lifetime
Volume
$383.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$16.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 06-10 06:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
57% 6% $-781
Politics
33% 6% $-141
Crypto
4%
Tech
4%
Sports
2% 0% $-2
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 443 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +1,295 $1,223 96¢ $1.2K +$20 06-09 18:10
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +1,210 $1,168 97¢ $1.2K +$5 06-09 08:51
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +1,176 $1,062 94¢ $1.1K +$39 06-08 18:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +1,241 $1,047 88¢ $1.1K +$45 06-10 02:59
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,199 $998 90¢ $1.1K +$87 06-07 23:49
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,789 $1,024 53¢ $948 $-76 06-05 19:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +960 $913 94¢ $907 $-6 06-09 16:39
Trump out as President before 2027? No +975 $882 90¢ $873 $-10 06-08 09:40
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,789 $834 47¢ $841 +$7 06-07 16:33
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +852 $820 95¢ $813 $-7 06-09 13:54
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +756 $740 99¢ $747 +$7 06-03 13:16
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +650 $552 84¢ $549 $-2 05-31 15:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +696 $441 74¢ $518 +$78 06-06 17:21
Will s1mple retire by June 30? No +480 $453 97¢ $466 +$13 06-03 08:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +500 $452 90¢ $448 $-4 05-31 15:04
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +360 $300 72¢ $261 $-39 06-08 06:03
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? No +270 $248 95¢ $256 +$8 05-31 23:11
Another Elon baby by June 30? No +275 $268 92¢ $254 $-14 06-10 04:38
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +275 $250 92¢ $253 +$3 06-07 16:22
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No +265 $251 95¢ $252 +$1 06-09 06:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +268 $252 94¢ $250 $-1 06-09 07:59
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +250 $145 90¢ $225 +$80 05-30 15:50
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +223 $167 100¢ $223 +$56 05-30 03:20
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +228 $213 94¢ $215 +$2 06-10 04:32
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +270 $221 72¢ $193 $-28 05-31 05:47
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No +195 $192 98¢ $191 $-1 06-09 15:35
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +205 $183 90¢ $183 +$0 05-30 18:21
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +195 $181 94¢ $182 +$1 06-09 15:57
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +195 $181 93¢ $181 +$0 06-08 13:28
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +297 $158 60¢ $177 +$18 06-09 13:09