Realized P&L
-$924
Unrealized P&L
+$555
Hit rate
10.5%
Resolved
114
Trades
20,100
lifetime
Volume
$897.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$26.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 07-20 23:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
54% 6% $-781
Politics
24% 6% $-141
Sports
11% 0% $-2
Tech
6%
Crypto
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 443 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +3,517 $3,070 86¢ $3.0K $-46 07-13 17:10
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +1,791 $1,698 99¢ $1.8K +$67 06-14 16:10
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,838 $1,664 92¢ $1.7K +$36 06-23 00:56
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1,640 $1,541 97¢ $1.6K +$47 07-04 21:32
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +1,658 $1,523 96¢ $1.6K +$62 07-18 00:29
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +1,628 $1,564 97¢ $1.6K +$14 07-11 08:53
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +1,515 $1,434 96¢ $1.4K +$15 06-19 14:55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,789 $834 70¢ $1.2K +$409 06-07 16:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +960 $621 99¢ $947 +$326 06-28 09:39
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +1,060 $906 88¢ $928 +$22 07-13 12:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,250 $774 64¢ $806 +$32 07-05 23:39
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? No +814 $777 96¢ $779 +$3 07-12 04:16
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +910 $667 80¢ $728 +$61 06-11 13:01
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +770 $736 87¢ $673 $-63 06-12 11:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +754 $653 88¢ $665 +$13 07-19 17:55
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +736 $664 87¢ $640 $-24 07-10 14:43
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +650 $552 92¢ $601 +$50 05-31 15:53
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +688 $587 86¢ $595 +$8 07-11 00:46
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? No +570 $555 98¢ $558 +$3 07-01 03:09
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,789 $1,024 30¢ $546 $-478 06-05 19:26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +3,517 $509 14¢ $492 $-17 07-13 17:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +550 $409 83¢ $456 +$48 07-11 16:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,250 $494 36¢ $444 $-51 07-05 23:39
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +425 $384 92¢ $393 +$9 07-01 14:18
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +366 $357 96¢ $353 $-4 07-02 07:23
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +466 $298 72¢ $335 +$36 07-10 21:05
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +385 $315 86¢ $329 +$14 06-14 14:55
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +455 $386 70¢ $321 $-65 07-05 16:57
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No +300 $286 96¢ $288 +$2 06-19 23:27
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +545 $261 52¢ $286 +$25 07-03 19:54