Thunderous-Stock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$210

Unrealized P&L

-$438

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

842

lifetime

Volume

$80.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$146

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-11 15:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

50% — —

Other

38% 100% +$210

Politics

10% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		+1,085	$584	14¢	$146	$-438	06-11 15:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba orl chi 2026 01 02	25	$4.0K	5,206	5,234	-29	open	—	01-02 15:38
nba bos lac 2026 01 03	15	$3.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	01-03 15:21
nba phi nyk 2026 01 03	4	$3.5K	2,903	2,903	+0	open	—	01-03 15:20
nba phx mia 2026 01 13	10	$3.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	01-13 14:12
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	24	$2.9K	1,541	1,540	+0	open	—	04-10 14:08
nba bos ind 2026 01 12	6	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	01-12 15:05
nba mil sac 2026 01 04	12	$2.8K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	01-04 17:45
nba lal sac 2026 01 12	40	$2.4K	4,988	5,000	-12	open	—	01-12 14:55
nba nop mia 2026 01 04	17	$2.3K	4,995	4,998	-3	open	—	01-04 17:44
nba bkn was 2026 01 02	21	$2.1K	3,800	36	+3,764	open	—	01-02 14:55
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	8	$2.0K	2,287	11	+2,276	open	—	04-27 17:45
nba sas ind 2026 01 02	11	$1.9K	3,050	3,050	+0	open	—	01-02 15:30
nba uta chi 2026 01 14	21	$1.8K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	01-14 15:08
nba phi tor 2026 01 12	4	$1.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	01-12 15:05
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	5	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-27 17:44
nba cle phi 2026 01 14	26	$1.4K	1,060	1,830	-770	open	—	01-14 14:57
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	11	$1.3K	927	1,021	-95	open	—	04-10 15:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	41	$1.3K	7,532	7,532	+0	open	—	03-19 07:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$1.2K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-16 11:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-03 12:02
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	6	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	02-28 18:06
nba chi bkn 2026 02 09	2	$1.1K	960	960	+0	open	—	02-09 02:35
nba min was 2026 01 04	17	$1.1K	666	666	+0	open	—	01-04 17:46
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	1	$1.0K	1,200	0	+1,200	Michael	+$168	04-28 15:19
nba det cha 2026 02 09	5	$1.0K	900	900	+0	open	—	02-09 18:50
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in february 876 736 952 866	3	$1.0K	1,067	0	+1,067	open	—	03-04 17:18
nba uta mia 2026 02 09	3	$1.0K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-09 18:51
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$996	8,300	8,300	+0	open	—	02-14 17:04
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	72	$996	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-03 11:33
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	1	$986	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-30 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 15:11:30	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0x71de29…
06-10 20:44:49	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	785	53¢	$416	0xf1bf22…
05-09 18:22:00	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	379	99¢	$375	0x62aded…
04-29 16:35:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	910	3¢	$27	0x9d2045…
04-28 15:19:04	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	BUY	1,200	86¢	$1,032	0x7021b0…
04-28 10:35:20	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x3d015a…
04-27 20:59:34	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	723	91¢	$658	0xb2e2c9…
04-27 20:22:34	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbb33bd…
04-27 19:40:44	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x5fe50a…
04-27 17:45:46	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf8e05b…
04-27 17:45:44	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x5de587…
04-27 17:45:26	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x727485…
04-27 17:45:26	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x25e46c…
04-27 17:45:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x76e3d3…
04-27 17:45:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x190a27…
04-27 17:44:50	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$799	0x4af730…
04-27 17:22:28	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	235	91¢	$214	0xeaea81…
04-26 19:03:14	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	BUY	557	36¢	$200	0x91e614…
04-26 12:00:44	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x87bde4…
04-26 04:55:14	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	600	96¢	$574	0xc79df0…
04-26 04:54:14	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x44b43e…
04-26 02:28:02	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0xd48a7b…
04-25 00:02:44	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	576	63¢	$365	0x18ec0d…
04-24 23:57:40	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xdcd183…
04-24 23:27:50	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9da6ce…
04-23 23:58:28	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	650	70¢	$455	0xbed5a5…
04-23 07:29:24	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	88¢	$123	0xbf7d33…
04-23 05:30:30	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x394192…
04-23 02:42:30	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0x1508b0…
04-22 23:58:40	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	No	BUY	254	93¢	$237	0x532821…
04-22 23:22:02	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0xd89537…
04-22 22:20:48	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	No	BUY	524	93¢	$489	0xace675…
04-22 15:59:28	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8cfb19…
04-22 15:39:08	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	88¢	$183	0x6233c8…
04-22 03:44:36	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	92	69¢	$64	0x77d848…
04-22 03:07:26	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	155	69¢	$107	0x0c593f…
04-21 19:38:56	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xa1638c…
04-21 17:44:18	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x4ad394…
04-21 17:43:58	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x305416…
04-20 21:47:36	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xb6a7dd…
04-20 21:47:30	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x6c574f…
04-20 21:13:18	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	140	73¢	$102	0x9a7290…
04-20 21:13:18	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x68cf4f…
04-20 18:46:14	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x84f6a7…
04-20 17:47:12	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0x7c0cbc…
04-20 17:05:50	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	66	73¢	$48	0x2ee630…
04-17 16:06:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	498	98¢	$489	0xae18de…
04-17 15:50:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	296	89¢	$264	0xabaadc…
04-14 23:31:44	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be less than 10m	No	BUY	313	86¢	$269	0x9639ec…
04-14 22:21:14	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be less than 10m	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x51b2f7…
04-14 20:17:58	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be less than 44m	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x416aec…
04-14 20:14:36	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be less than 44m	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x086769…
04-14 20:11:06	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be less than 10m	No	BUY	165	87¢	$143	0x5de0c7…
04-12 14:15:05	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb644cd…
04-11 18:13:23	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	No	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x922821…
04-11 18:08:41	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x27a7e8…
04-11 18:08:25	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x6cb0e2…
04-11 18:01:09	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x9d3886…
04-11 18:01:07	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	No	BUY	98	92¢	$90	0x5f53c4…
04-11 17:20:21	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	No	SELL	35	64¢	$22	0x44942d…
04-11 16:19:47	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x3ff611…
04-10 22:35:41	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	No	BUY	500	63¢	$317	0xfa83da…
04-10 15:19:13	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be greater than 11m	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xc3457c…
04-10 15:18:01	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	BUY	130	92¢	$119	0xdacf90…
04-10 15:13:45	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	No	SELL	43	60¢	$26	0xa6987f…
04-10 15:12:13	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	No	SELL	39	60¢	$24	0xb2e816…
04-10 15:12:13	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x51e535…
04-10 15:10:39	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	No	SELL	9	60¢	$6	0x29d154…
04-10 15:10:37	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	No	SELL	537	60¢	$322	0x5ce649…
04-10 15:10:21	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	No	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x1e3956…
04-10 15:10:17	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	No	SELL	325	59¢	$190	0x94a894…
04-10 14:09:39	will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xd77c79…
04-10 14:08:07	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	SELL	1,540	100¢	$1,539	0xf659dd…
04-10 04:00:11	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	Yes	SELL	46	23¢	$11	0xe222cb…
04-10 03:44:53	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	Yes	BUY	46	23¢	$11	0x355ed1…
04-10 03:20:55	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xffee06…
04-10 03:08:55	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be greater than 11m	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xdd25bb…
04-10 03:05:21	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	No	BUY	680	84¢	$570	0xba8953…
04-10 02:57:51	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x72c0d6…
04-10 02:57:11	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be greater than 11m	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xca13e1…
04-10 02:56:53	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be greater than 11m	No	BUY	510	88¢	$448	0x84d34c…
04-09 19:15:31	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x21e534…
04-09 19:04:05	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xa1eca5…
04-09 18:52:37	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xd58fc8…
04-09 18:41:09	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xbf51af…
04-09 17:09:35	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0xb49e23…
04-09 16:58:07	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xd84228…
04-09 16:55:49	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x31e8e7…
04-09 15:38:41	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0xd86db6…
04-09 15:04:05	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xd2cc69…
04-09 15:04:05	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0x359792…
04-09 14:10:01	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	214	93¢	$199	0xfff214…
04-09 14:07:07	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	133	93¢	$124	0x3c1f55…
04-09 13:47:31	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0xcc970c…
04-09 04:16:25	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	87¢	$433	0xefc23c…
04-09 01:45:53	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be greater than 11m	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x50839c…
04-09 00:33:15	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be greater than 11m	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x0da407…
04-08 23:42:11	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	No	BUY	262	80¢	$210	0x45d93b…
04-08 23:39:31	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be greater than 11m	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x791831…
04-08 23:01:55	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x417a22…