Appropriate-Layout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$4.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 07-05 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

94% 42% -$58

Politics

4% 100% +$13

Sports

2% 25% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	9	$334	278	278	+0	Yes	+$14	05-17 08:19
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	4	$231	168	168	+0	Yes	-$9	06-01 17:46
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	7	$193	1,173	986	+187	No	+$13	05-09 16:23
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	6	$183	392	392	+0	Yes	-$57	05-21 06:17
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	8	$165	110	110	+0	Yes	+$25	05-24 15:14
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	5	$147	156	119	+37	No	+$7	05-22 04:30
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	7	$145	214	57	+156	Yes	+$78	05-16 17:35
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?	4	$127	231	231	+0	No	-$3	06-20 04:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$118	64	64	+0	No	+$8	05-31 14:46
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	4	$117	70	70	+0	Yes	+$17	05-17 08:19
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	6	$110	298	298	+0	No	-$10	05-09 15:50
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	2	$109	64	64	+0	No	+$9	05-24 15:14
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	9	$108	217	70	+147	Yes	+$136	05-04 07:54
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	3	$98	155	0	+155	Yes	+$57	05-10 18:02
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	2	$89	96	96	+0	No	-$11	07-03 07:51
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	4	$86	117	117	+0	No	+$6	05-16 11:14
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?	2	$80	120	0	+120	Yes	+$40	05-24 18:49
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?	2	$75	56	56	+0	No	+$35	06-14 13:15
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$73	88	88	+0	Yes	+$13	05-18 09:45
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$73	43	43	+0	No	+$13	05-15 09:45
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	2	$73	133	0	+133	Yes	+$60	06-20 11:26
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?	1	$70	97	0	+97	Yes	+$27	06-14 13:22
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?	3	$70	93	0	+93	Yes	+$23	06-28 07:41
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	4	$68	231	59	+172	No	-$32	05-11 13:08
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	2	$66	77	77	+0	Yes	+$26	05-07 15:06
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?	2	$63	44	44	+0	Yes	+$23	05-16 15:04
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	3	$62	141	75	+66	No	+$2	04-13 14:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$50	55	0	+55	No	+$5	05-25 18:57
Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	2	$49	80	80	+0	Yes	-$47	05-24 18:52
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	2	$49	29	29	+0	No	+$9	05-02 08:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 10:05:49	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	No	BUY	575	2¢	$10	0xc47b82…
07-03 07:51:53	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	No	SELL	96	41¢	$39	0x9c95b8…
07-03 07:51:31	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?	Yes	SELL	191	0¢	$0	0x44d6bb…
07-03 07:51:28	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?	Yes	SELL	107	2¢	$2	0x08920b…
07-02 19:09:38	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	No	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x9e0f8f…
07-01 15:11:17	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	191	16¢	$30	0xe84bf1…
07-01 15:11:13	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x2e236c…
07-01 15:10:49	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x56b091…
06-28 07:41:56	Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x50cf68…
06-28 07:41:43	Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xfb9d47…
06-28 07:40:53	Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xaee675…
06-27 15:16:04	Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xd55955…
06-26 06:21:16	Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x04c81f…
06-20 11:26:40	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	BUY	61	78¢	$48	0xaa1336…
06-20 04:55:43	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?	Yes	SELL	118	7¢	$9	0xbbc3f6…
06-19 20:18:59	Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?	Yes	SELL	84	11¢	$9	0xbc928b…
06-19 20:18:44	Will "Disclosure Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xaa06ac…
06-19 08:59:53	Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x2d9ce7…
06-19 08:59:46	Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0xbc1333…
06-19 08:54:40	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?	Yes	SELL	142	9¢	$13	0x055999…
06-19 08:54:29	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?	Yes	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0xbd5f4f…
06-18 09:37:59	Will "Disclosure Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc4072e…
06-18 09:32:14	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x47480d…
06-18 09:30:26	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?	Yes	SELL	114	47¢	$54	0x7e1dab…
06-17 11:49:20	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?	Yes	BUY	142	14¢	$20	0xe83eee…
06-17 11:49:11	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x124516…
06-14 17:03:45	Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x837582…
06-14 13:22:43	Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?	Yes	BUY	97	72¢	$70	0x49638f…
06-14 13:15:19	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x97bcab…
06-14 13:15:10	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0xd44067…
06-14 13:15:07	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	SELL	107	5¢	$5	0xb7e67d…
06-12 10:36:12	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x512dde…
06-12 10:35:45	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	Yes	SELL	56	23¢	$13	0x4834af…
06-11 21:13:52	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x0242d6…
06-11 21:12:55	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x2a41c7…
06-07 11:45:37	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xdf27e5…
06-07 08:29:03	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x5f090b…
06-07 08:21:19	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	Yes	SELL	47	23¢	$11	0x76ab6b…
06-05 20:57:24	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x75be7f…
06-05 20:56:15	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x710ca0…
06-05 20:55:36	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x69b9e8…
06-01 17:46:38	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	Yes	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x2faced…
05-31 15:08:50	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	111	15¢	$17	0xd6843f…
05-31 14:50:20	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	218	14¢	$30	0xb32cbc…
05-31 14:47:08	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x195140…
05-31 14:46:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x97646b…
05-31 14:45:42	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	No	SELL	61	7¢	$4	0x54a26d…
05-28 21:57:19	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x4bb299…
05-28 21:00:54	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x494cdf…
05-28 20:57:26	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	No	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x60eba3…
05-28 16:52:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	86¢	$55	0xbd4474…
05-28 13:13:45	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?	No	BUY	600	3¢	$20	0x4f4534…
05-25 18:57:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x573b65…
05-24 18:52:09	Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	No	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0xcb5092…
05-24 18:49:43	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x10b29f…
05-24 17:07:02	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?	Yes	SELL	74	1¢	$1	0x94cd8f…
05-24 15:34:03	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xf2a63c…
05-24 15:19:35	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 10.5m and 11.5m?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x683ec0…
05-24 15:19:15	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xf52485…
05-24 15:14:49	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	No	SELL	64	93¢	$59	0x2dbb61…
05-24 15:14:42	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0x3d5eb4…
05-23 08:25:31	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xf44b94…
05-22 18:42:03	Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	No	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x42914f…
05-22 18:25:22	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	No	BUY	64	79¢	$50	0x320ea2…
05-22 18:20:26	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0xb318dc…
05-22 04:57:06	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xd50cb4…
05-22 04:30:54	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd4396f…
05-22 03:44:35	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x43b750…
05-22 02:42:31	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x721d84…
05-22 02:05:17	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xff648d…
05-22 01:58:13	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x576cfe…
05-21 21:39:36	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	SELL	65	62¢	$40	0x7c1a7b…
05-21 06:17:00	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	No	SELL	214	8¢	$16	0x6e7d3e…
05-20 15:29:10	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	No	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x4dad40…
05-19 18:38:47	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	No	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x7c4a43…
05-19 18:37:51	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x9201cc…
05-19 18:37:43	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xc80199…
05-19 18:37:15	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	No	SELL	54	69¢	$37	0xb87f7a…
05-19 18:36:40	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	No	SELL	178	26¢	$46	0xc74195…
05-19 18:04:36	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	No	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x80b068…
05-18 20:40:36	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x5f6fa0…
05-18 20:37:55	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	No	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x6c6dbd…
05-18 09:45:52	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	88	49¢	$43	0xb7e011…
05-17 18:20:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xa129e9…
05-17 08:19:42	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	Yes	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0x04da72…
05-17 08:19:03	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xb828d0…
05-16 17:35:09	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa771a5…
05-16 17:35:08	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xf9bb4a…
05-16 17:32:49	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	Yes	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x76a542…
05-16 17:31:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7af9c2…
05-16 17:31:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x32efef…
05-16 17:29:58	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	Yes	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x8e336e…
05-16 17:27:24	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xefd4c9…
05-16 15:12:27	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	BUY	61	83¢	$50	0xf12b8a…
05-16 15:04:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x643293…
05-16 15:04:25	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?	Yes	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x3f4da4…
05-16 14:10:47	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?	Yes	SELL	84	12¢	$10	0x68dd39…
05-16 11:17:36	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x94016d…
05-16 11:17:16	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?	Yes	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0x29b2a9…
05-16 11:16:38	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	SELL	95	62¢	$59	0x9259d6…