Pointless-Casket 0x081a3b…8c66d0
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$511
Unrealized P&L
-$74
Hit rate
10.4%
Resolved
115
Trades
26,615
lifetime
Volume
$841.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$477
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 07-21 10:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
70% 6% $-373
Sports
13% 33% $-13
Politics
13% 17% $-100
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
1% 0% $-12
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 582 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +201 $129 38¢ $77 $-51 07-04 06:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +100 $60 74¢ $74 +$14 06-27 01:13
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -101 $-60 54¢ $-54 +$6 07-14 01:51
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +35 $32 95¢ $33 +$2 05-28 20:45
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +35 $30 88¢ $31 +$1 05-28 22:59
Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +34 $28 77¢ $26 $-2 06-01 18:16
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -30 $-15 78¢ $-23 $-8 06-14 22:09
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? No +22 $21 96¢ $21 +$0 05-31 15:20
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +51 $32 37¢ $19 $-13 07-20 11:49
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +20 $17 80¢ $16 $-1 06-11 04:49
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +35 $14 39¢ $14 $-1 06-13 13:43
City Protocol FDV above $20M one day after launch? No -21 $-4 53¢ $-11 $-7 06-15 20:07
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $16 16¢ $10 $-6 06-25 19:49
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -44 $-15 20¢ $-9 +$6 06-26 10:02
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? Yes -100 $-12 8¢ $-8 +$4 05-31 17:38
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No -38 $-4 20¢ $-8 $-4 06-15 12:38
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +73 $13 9¢ $7 $-7 05-31 20:19
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? No +40 $7 16¢ $6 $-1 06-14 18:38
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? No -40 $-18 11¢ $-4 +$14 06-10 12:43
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes -45 $-2 8¢ $-4 $-1 06-16 09:11
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -21 $-2 16¢ $-3 $-1 06-13 18:30
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -65 $-3 4¢ $-3 $-0 06-17 02:48
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8 $4 34¢ $3 $-1 05-28 05:14
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $4 96¢ $3 $-1 06-21 23:07
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -29 $-2 8¢ $-2 $-0 06-15 06:39
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -8 $-0 22¢ $-2 $-2 06-16 02:10
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $-0 06-10 06:00
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? Yes +70 $5 2¢ $2 $-3 05-30 07:45
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -20 $3 7¢ $-1 $-4 06-09 02:19
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +50 $6 3¢ $1 $-4 06-01 20:30