Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$68
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
38
lifetime
Volume
$457
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$465
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 20:25
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64%
Politics
35%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5? Yes -60 $-18 100¢ $-60 $-42 05-05 12:51
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election? No -55 $-52 85¢ $-47 +$5 05-05 09:45
Israel closes its airspace by May 8? No -35 $-29 94¢ $-33 $-4 05-05 03:14
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No -30 $-21 99¢ $-30 $-9 05-05 04:15
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? No -30 $-29 96¢ $-29 +$0 05-05 13:00
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election? No -55 $-26 50¢ $-28 $-2 05-05 06:55
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31? Yes -30 $-26 86¢ $-26 +$1 05-05 04:20
Will Seven Dark win LRS 2026 Split 1? No -25 $-24 97¢ $-24 $-0 05-05 14:00
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-28 57¢ $-20 +$8 05-05 07:30
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election? Yes -100 $-5 20¢ $-20 $-15 05-05 02:44
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? Yes -25 $-15 70¢ $-17 $-2 05-05 09:00
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500? No -20 $-14 77¢ $-15 $-1 05-05 02:55
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? No -40 $-10 36¢ $-14 $-4 05-05 17:27
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election? Yes -16 $-15 85¢ $-14 +$1 05-05 10:10
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No -23 $-14 58¢ $-13 +$1 05-05 02:49
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes -40 $-13 32¢ $-13 $-0 05-05 02:55
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? Yes -35 $-13 28¢ $-10 +$3 05-05 02:50
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31? No -30 $-11 32¢ $-10 +$2 05-05 10:40
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes -80 $-6 11¢ $-8 $-2 05-05 17:27
Will Fuego win LRN 2026 Split 1? No -30 $-0 17¢ $-5 $-5 05-05 03:00
Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election? No -7 $-6 66¢ $-5 +$1 05-05 10:16
Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026? Yes -25 $-5 18¢ $-4 +$0 05-05 02:49
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May? No -4 $-4 96¢ $-4 $-0 05-05 17:29
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026? Yes -100 $-1 $-4 $-2 05-05 04:20
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3? Yes -50 $-4 $-3 +$1 05-05 16:27
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31? Yes -4 $-3 68¢ $-3 $-0 05-05 17:29
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? No -2 $-2 88¢ $-2 $-0 05-05 04:19
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? No -6 $-2 32¢ $-2 $-0 05-05 20:25
Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? No -20 $-2 $-2 +$0 05-05 10:16
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -50 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-05 06:55