Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the January interest rate announcement?
open
Total volume
$9,474
$1,499 in 24h
Trades
588
Unique wallets
87
Liquidity
$908
Latest YES mid
52¢
Latest NO mid
48¢
End date
2027-01-27
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-05 13:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-52.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $40
vs crowd: 52% YES on $6.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $1.3K | $1.3K | $61 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $841 | $693 | +$148 |
| 🐟 Fish | 23 | $571 | $452 | +$118 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $700 | $595 | +$106 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $40 | $40 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $291 | $217 | +$74 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $124 | $248 | $125 |
| Median | 5 | $688 | $238 | +$450 |
| Below median | 14 | $303 | $171 | +$132 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $71 | $127 | $56 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 21 | $606 | $377 | +$229 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 21 | $1.3K | $1.6K | $360 |
| unranked | 3 | $33 | $27 | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +831 | $392 | $392 | 26 | 11-05 08:47 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +623 | $262 | $262 | 18 | 11-04 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +410 | $217 | $217 | 13 | 11-04 15:02 |
| Small-Freckle 0x1966…25c0 | Yes | +353 | $185 | $263 | 6 | 11-05 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +286 | $149 | $149 | 8 | 11-04 14:43 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +280 | $146 | $197 | 11 | 11-04 06:10 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +280 | $146 | $184 | 12 | 11-04 06:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +218 | $117 | $133 | 13 | 11-04 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +218 | $107 | $109 | 12 | 11-04 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +150 | $75 | $141 | 11 | 11-04 05:39 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +139 | $69 | $70 | 9 | 11-04 05:39 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | +139 | $74 | $74 | 7 | 11-04 05:39 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +112 | $54 | $61 | 7 | 11-04 14:43 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | +112 | $61 | $78 | 8 | 11-04 14:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | Yes | +110 | $54 | $81 | 8 | 11-03 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | +110 | $58 | $58 | 5 | 11-03 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +107 | $54 | $74 | 3 | 11-03 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +107 | $58 | $99 | 4 | 11-03 06:03 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +97 | $50 | $50 | 6 | 11-04 01:50 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +90 | $44 | $72 | 7 | 11-04 06:10 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | +76 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 11-04 14:43 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | +75 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 11-04 14:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x85ed…a122 | Yes | +74 | $32 | $37 | 6 | 11-03 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x85ed…a122 | No | +74 | $45 | $79 | 8 | 11-03 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x03a4…92ea | No | +60 | $32 | $52 | 2 | 11-05 13:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | No | +60 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 11-04 05:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa589…96fc | No | +60 | $31 | $31 | 5 | 11-04 14:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa589…96fc | Yes | +60 | $32 | $32 | 4 | 11-04 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b8e…9f20 | No | +58 | $29 | $34 | 5 | 11-04 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b8e…9f20 | Yes | +58 | $30 | $46 | 6 | 11-04 05:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +57 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 11-03 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +57 | $33 | $46 | 2 | 11-03 06:03 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +53 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 11-04 10:14 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | +41 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 11-04 06:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | +40 | $18 | $82 | 9 | 11-04 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | +40 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 10-31 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | +40 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 11-03 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +40 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 11-04 06:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | +40 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 11-04 05:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +40 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 11-04 06:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | +40 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 10-31 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | No | +40 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 11-03 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | +38 | $20 | $21 | 3 | 11-04 05:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | +38 | $19 | $20 | 3 | 11-04 05:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | +26 | $14 | $35 | 3 | 11-04 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | +26 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-04 15:02 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | +25 | $17 | $32 | 3 | 11-04 05:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0bf…3d56 | Yes | +25 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-01 07:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0bf…3d56 | No | +25 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 11-01 07:28 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | +25 | $13 | $34 | 4 | 11-04 05:39 |
| Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | +22 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-04 06:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | +21 | $14 | $128 | 8 | 11-04 12:25 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | +21 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-01 02:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x96bf…403e | No | +20 | $11 | $53 | 4 | 11-01 02:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x96bf…403e | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-01 02:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-04 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e98…5389 | Yes | +20 | $16 | $70 | 5 | 11-05 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xf550…ae8c | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-30 13:43 |
| Scary-Holder 0xdc53…cb5e | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-02 08:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2d3…7bb3 | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-01 15:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-05 13:43:10 | (anonymous) 0x03a4…92ea | No | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x8d13dd… |
| 11-05 13:43:10 | (anonymous) 0x226f…41e3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x8d13dd… |
| 11-05 08:47:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 101 | 46¢ | $46 | 0xce18f4… |
| 11-05 08:47:57 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | No | SELL | 81 | 46¢ | $37 | 0xce18f4… |
| 11-05 08:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x3e98…5389 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0xce18f4… |
| 11-05 03:46:21 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | No | SELL | 30 | 45¢ | $14 | 0xf693ca… |
| 11-05 03:46:21 | Small-Freckle 0x1966…25c0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 55¢ | $16 | 0xf693ca… |
| 11-05 01:50:03 | (anonymous) 0xef3d…80e0 | No | SELL | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0xc59b40… |
| 11-05 01:50:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0xc59b40… |
| 11-04 17:07:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x844884… |
| 11-04 17:07:22 | Orderly-Conflict 0x6f0e…ce42 | No | SELL | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x844884… |
| 11-04 17:05:18 | Small-Freckle 0x1966…25c0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 55¢ | $22 | 0xd04bcb… |
| 11-04 17:05:18 | (anonymous) 0x2c6b…8227 | No | SELL | 40 | 45¢ | $18 | 0xd04bcb… |
| 11-04 17:05:13 | Orderly-Conflict 0x6f0e…ce42 | No | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x23fefe… |
| 11-04 17:05:13 | (anonymous) 0x2c6b…8227 | No | SELL | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x23fefe… |
| 11-04 17:05:10 | (anonymous) 0x2c6b…8227 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x9ff09c… |
| 11-04 17:05:10 | (anonymous) 0xef3d…80e0 | No | SELL | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x9ff09c… |
| 11-04 15:02:52 | Joint-Pawnshop 0x6ae0…7483 | Yes | SELL | 540 | 53¢ | $288 | 0x15ec0f… |
| 11-04 15:02:52 | (anonymous) 0x226f…41e3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x15ec0f… |
| 11-04 15:02:52 | (anonymous) 0x14e6…90df | No | SELL | 40 | 45¢ | $18 | 0x15ec0f… |
| 11-04 15:02:52 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | SELL | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x15ec0f… |
| 11-04 15:02:52 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x15ec0f… |
| 11-04 15:02:52 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x15ec0f… |
| 11-04 15:02:52 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 53¢ | $12 | 0x15ec0f… |
| 11-04 15:02:52 | Small-Freckle 0x1966…25c0 | Yes | BUY | 357 | 53¢ | $189 | 0x15ec0f… |
| 11-04 15:02:52 | (anonymous) 0xa589…96fc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x15ec0f… |
| 11-04 15:02:52 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x15ec0f… |
| 11-04 15:02:51 | Small-Freckle 0x1966…25c0 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 53¢ | $14 | 0x983960… |
| 11-04 15:02:51 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | BUY | 26 | 47¢ | $12 | 0x983960… |
| 11-04 15:02:51 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xf48906… |
| 11-04 15:02:51 | Small-Freckle 0x1966…25c0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0xc0c07e… |
| 11-04 15:02:51 | Small-Freckle 0x1966…25c0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0xf48906… |
| 11-04 15:02:51 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xc0c07e… |
| 11-04 14:47:54 | (anonymous) 0x3e98…5389 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x410920… |
| 11-04 14:47:54 | (anonymous) 0xed38…0f2a | No | SELL | 30 | 44¢ | $13 | 0x410920… |
| 11-04 14:47:54 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | SELL | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x410920… |
| 11-04 14:43:48 | Joint-Pawnshop 0x6ae0…7483 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0xab13c8… |
| 11-04 14:43:48 | (anonymous) 0x2c6b…8227 | No | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0xab13c8… |
| 11-04 14:43:39 | (anonymous) 0x2c6b…8227 | No | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x9369bb… |
| 11-04 14:43:39 | Joint-Pawnshop 0x6ae0…7483 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x9369bb… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | BUY | 56 | 49¢ | $27 | 0x1cd494… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | No | BUY | 81 | 52¢ | $42 | 0x7d16a7… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | (anonymous) 0x14e6…90df | No | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x1cd494… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | (anonymous) 0x2c6b…8227 | No | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x1cd494… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x4c9934… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | (anonymous) 0xa589…96fc | No | BUY | 16 | 51¢ | $8 | 0x1cd494… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x2c8809… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x7d16a7… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x4c9934… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | (anonymous) 0x03a4…92ea | No | BUY | 80 | 52¢ | $42 | 0x7d16a7… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | BUY | 55 | 52¢ | $28 | 0x7d16a7… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 50 | 53¢ | $26 | 0x7d16a7… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | (anonymous) 0xa589…96fc | No | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x2c8809… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | Joint-Pawnshop 0x6ae0…7483 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 48¢ | $239 | 0x7d16a7… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 214 | 52¢ | $111 | 0x7d16a7… |
| 11-04 14:43:30 | (anonymous) 0xef3d…80e0 | No | BUY | 16 | 50¢ | $8 | 0x2c8809… |
| 11-04 12:25:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 47¢ | $10 | 0xd22c93… |
| 11-04 12:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | BUY | 21 | 53¢ | $11 | 0xd22c93… |
| 11-04 10:14:45 | (anonymous) 0x14e6…90df | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x5b3340… |
| 11-04 10:14:45 | (anonymous) 0x14e6…90df | Yes | SELL | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x5b3340… |
| 11-04 10:14:45 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 28 | 61¢ | $17 | 0x5b3340… |
| 11-04 10:14:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 39¢ | $27 | 0x5b3340… |
| 11-04 09:28:46 | (anonymous) 0xed38…0f2a | No | BUY | 30 | 67¢ | $20 | 0x83de72… |
| 11-04 09:28:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x83de72… |
| 11-04 09:03:58 | (anonymous) 0x406d…1132 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x310960… |
| 11-04 09:03:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x310960… |
| 11-04 09:03:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x7d880a… |
| 11-04 09:03:04 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x7d880a… |
| 11-04 09:02:57 | (anonymous) 0x406d…1132 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x8026fb… |
| 11-04 09:02:57 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x8026fb… |
| 11-04 09:02:54 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xffa8ce… |
| 11-04 09:02:54 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x130791… |
| 11-04 09:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x2c6b…8227 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xffa8ce… |
| 11-04 09:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x2c6b…8227 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x130791… |
| 11-04 08:50:45 | (anonymous) 0xa5e0…6ead | Yes | SELL | 65 | 27¢ | $18 | 0x0063da… |
| 11-04 08:50:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 27¢ | $18 | 0x0063da… |
| 11-04 07:09:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 11 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xfceb0a… |
| 11-04 07:09:10 | (anonymous) 0xb123…8e0e | No | SELL | 11 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xfceb0a… |
| 11-04 06:22:27 | (anonymous) 0xef3d…80e0 | No | SELL | 9 | 48¢ | $4 | 0x0df4dd… |
| 11-04 06:22:27 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | SELL | 21 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x0df4dd… |
| 11-04 06:22:27 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x0df4dd… |
| 11-04 06:22:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0x0df4dd… |
| 11-04 06:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xef3d…80e0 | No | SELL | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xafdb3d… |
| 11-04 06:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xafdb3d… |
| 11-04 06:11:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xc87baf… |
| 11-04 06:11:15 | (anonymous) 0x2c6b…8227 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xc87baf… |
| 11-04 06:10:37 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x84d2d3… |
| 11-04 06:10:37 | (anonymous) 0x406d…1132 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x84d2d3… |
| 11-04 06:10:34 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x0fe7c3… |
| 11-04 06:10:34 | (anonymous) 0x14e6…90df | Yes | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x0fe7c3… |
| 11-04 06:10:34 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 62 | 48¢ | $30 | 0x0fe7c3… |
| 11-04 06:10:34 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 55¢ | $28 | 0x0fe7c3… |
| 11-04 06:10:34 | (anonymous) 0x4eaf…b2b5 | Yes | SELL | 371 | 54¢ | $198 | 0x0fe7c3… |
| 11-04 06:10:34 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x0fe7c3… |
| 11-04 06:10:34 | (anonymous) 0xef3d…80e0 | No | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xdc84c8… |
| 11-04 06:10:34 | (anonymous) 0xef3d…80e0 | No | SELL | 11 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x0fe7c3… |
| 11-04 06:10:34 | (anonymous) 0x1a44…6d3f | No | SELL | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x0fe7c3… |
| 11-04 06:10:34 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x0fe7c3… |
| 11-04 06:10:34 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x0fe7c3… |
| 11-04 06:10:34 | (anonymous) 0x14e6…90df | No | SELL | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x0fe7c3… |