Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.83K

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

19.0%

Resolved

145

Trades

1,083

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$841

18 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-29 09:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

57% 36% -$567

Sports

38% 17% -$1,200

Politics

3% — —

Tech

1% 25% -$65

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	+210	$141	88¢	$185	+$44	10-26 09:29
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	+160	$118	98¢	$156	+$38	10-26 19:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+175	$90	54¢	$94	+$3	10-28 02:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+175	$82	46¢	$81	-$1	10-28 02:02
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	+68	$42	66¢	$45	+$3	10-29 10:03
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$44	79¢	$40	-$4	10-26 17:38
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	+71	$37	50¢	$35	-$2	10-29 00:20
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	+70	$33	50¢	$35	+$2	10-28 00:20
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	+100	$38	34¢	$34	-$4	10-28 12:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+50	$30	62¢	$31	+$1	10-27 06:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+35	$28	84¢	$29	+$1	10-28 14:36
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	+211	$68	12¢	$25	-$43	10-26 09:24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	+50	$20	38¢	$19	-$1	10-27 22:27
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$8	21¢	$11	+$2	10-25 11:59
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	+12	$8	70¢	$8	+$0	10-24 20:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+35	$13	16¢	$6	-$7	10-27 20:30
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	No	+160	$66	2¢	$4	-$62	10-26 16:56
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	+13	$4	30¢	$4	$0	10-24 20:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta sramkov marcink 2026 04 17	6	$1.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	Petra Marcinko	-$100	04-17 11:10
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broom	11	$1.3K	1,391	1,391	+0	Li Tu	-$13	04-17 23:58
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians	14	$1.0K	1,000	999	+1	Houston Astros	-$20	04-19 23:56
mlb tex oak 2026 04 15	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Athletics	+$10	04-15 07:50
Shymkent: Ivan Gakhov vs Zangar Nurlanuly	4	$1.0K	1,015	508	+507	Ivan Gakhov	-$11	04-21 10:46
mlb nym lad 2026 04 15	2	$982	767	767	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$15	04-15 22:48
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees	14	$951	827	827	+0	New York Yankees	-$8	04-19 03:32
nba por phx 2026 04 14	2	$840	1,000	1,000	+0	Trail Blazers	+$0	04-15 01:38
mlb sea sd 2026 04 15	5	$735	742	741	+0	San Diego Padres	-$7	04-15 02:54
wta noskova svitoli 2026 04 17	3	$630	1,000	1,000	+0	Elina Svitolina	-$30	04-17 10:40
wta muchova gauff 2026 04 17	8	$530	1,000	1,000	+0	Karolina Muchova	+$10	04-17 11:27
Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	33	$442	765	237	+528	Thiago Agustin Tirante	-$6	04-22 10:01
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedy	10	$441	622	577	+45	Joao Lucas Da Silva	+$3	04-18 12:01
nhl van edm 2026 04 16	13	$417	773	773	+0	Oilers	$0	04-16 06:03
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays	2	$407	903	888	+15	Toronto Blue Jays	-$370	04-25 21:24
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs	60	$396	866	0	+866	Chicago Cubs	-$224	04-22 01:45
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaur	30	$389	636	139	+497	Rafael Jodar	-$5	04-23 17:17
nhl sea las 2026 04 15	2	$366	642	642	+0	Golden Knights	-$6	04-15 13:57
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	1	$346	787	0	+787	Kansas City Royals	-$346	04-25 21:29
Rome: Nerman Fatic vs Chun-Hsin Tseng	20	$338	332	166	+166	Nerman Fatic	-$5	04-21 13:56
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmane	17	$323	638	0	+638	Terence Atmane	-$38	04-25 00:36
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	6	$288	572	0	+572	No	-$2	10-26 19:15
wta semenis kraus 2026 04 17	12	$278	2,339	2,257	+82	Sinja Kraus	-$142	04-17 11:11
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	39	$277	482	111	+371	San Francisco Giants	-$96	04-22 03:26
Abidjan: Massimo Giunta vs Andrew Fenty	19	$220	477	0	+477	Massimo Giunta	-$3	04-21 16:29
Abidjan: Karim Bennani vs Paul Jubb	8	$211	415	2	+413	Karim Bennani	-$3	04-22 19:41
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	11	$210	421	0	+421	open	—	10-26 09:29
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	5	$184	320	0	+320	open	—	10-26 19:15
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	10	$173	338	0	+338	open	—	10-26 16:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	10	$173	350	0	+350	open	—	10-28 02:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:03:52	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xe3300a…
10-29 10:03:49	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x2db0b3…
10-29 09:57:38	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xe12380…
10-29 09:33:16	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x5487b2…
10-29 09:01:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 60%-65%?	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x768b52…
10-29 09:00:04	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0x4d28f0…
10-29 09:00:04	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x195924…
10-29 07:11:50	Will Alfajer play for Gentle Mates in 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x674ace…
10-29 06:56:47	Will Alfajer play for Gentle Mates in 2027?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xe58158…
10-29 01:47:14	Will William Contreras lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x872367…
10-29 01:11:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xf7ebfb…
10-29 00:35:53	Will Wilson Merino win the next Quito mayoral election?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xe8b0bb…
10-29 00:20:43	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x729f79…
10-29 00:05:26	Will Cap reach $0.15 before 2027?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x23dc5a…
10-29 00:04:25	Will Cap reach $0.15 before 2027?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x8682ba…
10-28 23:36:28	Will brawk play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0xaac662…
10-28 21:31:52	Will brawk play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1658ae…
10-28 19:51:49	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	Yes	BUY	27	58¢	$16	0x7fcc33…
10-28 19:51:38	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xb02367…
10-28 18:46:55	Will brawk play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xfd7452…
10-28 17:59:49	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x8be111…
10-28 17:43:04	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xe86b6f…
10-28 17:19:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x36543a…
10-28 17:10:35	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xda42ab…
10-28 17:10:35	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc80963…
10-28 16:37:02	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x656c12…
10-28 16:37:01	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2daa94…
10-28 16:37:01	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x143b24…
10-28 16:19:07	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xf91399…
10-28 16:12:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x72370f…
10-28 15:44:08	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0xe899a8…
10-28 15:10:19	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x67e402…
10-28 14:36:08	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x33bafe…
10-28 13:08:02	Will brawk play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x6ffb14…
10-28 13:08:02	Will brawk play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4ab35c…
10-28 13:04:26	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x65f52c…
10-28 13:04:22	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x6f1b04…
10-28 12:34:50	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x304767…
10-28 12:31:13	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x7a033a…
10-28 12:31:13	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$6	0x298b6e…
10-28 12:25:47	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x1384a4…
10-28 12:25:43	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xc0707a…
10-28 12:24:13	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x96922c…
10-28 12:10:22	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x7fb772…
10-28 10:44:28	Will Wilson Merino win the next Quito mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xd517f4…
10-28 10:24:32	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x8a1337…
10-28 09:33:29	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0xf3bfe2…
10-28 09:33:16	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xe2af07…
10-28 09:27:56	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x82b646…
10-28 09:27:56	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x4079b9…
10-28 09:08:31	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x01d9aa…
10-28 07:36:50	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xf6b31d…
10-28 07:36:50	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xe491c0…
10-28 07:36:50	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x8c9a62…
10-28 07:35:26	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x73fda9…
10-28 07:35:26	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0x72d41a…
10-28 06:01:55	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x64a3d8…
10-28 05:50:34	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x998178…
10-28 05:39:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xe6433f…
10-28 05:22:49	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa2db63…
10-28 05:19:20	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe43595…
10-28 04:35:59	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x38be3f…
10-28 04:30:35	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x3f58ba…
10-28 04:20:31	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x74ee69…
10-28 03:35:48	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x09cefa…
10-28 03:00:48	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xf864c8…
10-28 03:00:47	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xf4262f…
10-28 03:00:45	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x32ab94…
10-28 02:42:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x3c2e10…
10-28 02:20:54	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.04 before 2027?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xa3fce4…
10-28 02:02:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xe22987…
10-28 01:47:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x077c47…
10-28 00:20:41	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x0e35e5…
10-28 00:11:47	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x31dbf2…
10-27 23:16:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x34297f…
10-27 22:27:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x9a3eca…
10-27 22:07:54	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	38¢	$14	0xa54642…
10-27 21:45:48	Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x712ac0…
10-27 21:41:11	Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xa92a79…
10-27 20:36:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x148dcc…
10-27 20:30:29	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x8d8f7e…
10-27 10:41:17	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x87ab82…
10-27 10:15:42	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xe13e86…
10-27 09:43:24	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x5c7348…
10-27 08:53:20	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xbcab4f…
10-27 08:53:20	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x37f958…
10-27 06:32:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe385c7…
10-27 04:20:30	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xa43e3b…
10-27 04:20:30	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0x3840d5…
10-27 04:20:30	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2a3579…
10-27 04:12:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x0e7b1a…
10-27 01:07:57	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x569ece…
10-26 23:56:15	Will Cap reach $0.15 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0x319022…
10-26 23:46:24	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.06 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x15b952…
10-26 23:39:45	Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1edecb…
10-26 23:14:27	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x915cd9…
10-26 23:08:12	Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x130fb0…
10-26 22:07:47	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x648de3…
10-26 22:07:47	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	37	71¢	$26	0x260266…
10-26 19:46:23	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.06 before 2027?	No	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x4a40af…