(anonymous) 0x8dc6b0…2e22a3
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
215
Trades
976
lifetime
Volume
$6.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$431
25 positions
First seen
2026-02-26
last 10-27 11:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
66% 72% -$24
Politics
19% 32% +$79
Crypto
13% 20% -$103
Sports
2% 100% +$8
Tech
1% 0% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 399 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +799 $149 24¢ $190 +$41 10-22 10:52
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1,000 $120 6¢ $65 -$55 10-22 12:59
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +25 $4 82¢ $21 +$17 10-24 16:55
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +80 $15 20¢ $16 +$1 10-22 12:14
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +12 $12 99¢ $12 $0 10-24 21:19
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +12 $11 96¢ $12 +$1 10-24 21:19
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +11 $11 99¢ $11 $0 10-27 12:22
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 $0 10-27 12:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +49 $9 17¢ $8 -$1 10-26 08:06
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +36 $8 22¢ $8 +$0 10-26 08:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +147 $7 6¢ $8 +$1 10-26 08:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +70 $8 12¢ $8 $0 10-26 08:06
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +77 $8 10¢ $8 $0 10-26 08:06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +85 $8 9¢ $7 $0 10-26 08:06
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +30 $8 24¢ $7 $0 10-26 08:06
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +91 $8 8¢ $7 -$1 10-26 08:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +84 $7 8¢ $6 $0 10-26 08:06
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +6 $4 98¢ $6 +$1 10-25 08:47
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-26 18:10
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 10-24 17:44
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6 $4 69¢ $4 $0 10-24 17:44
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6 $3 55¢ $3 $0 10-24 17:44
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +5 $2 30¢ $2 -$1 10-26 18:10
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +7 $2 19¢ $1 $0 10-26 19:15
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +12 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 10-24 21:19