(anonymous) 0x30fb41…1a7db4
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$85
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
4,651
lifetime
Volume
$131.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$389
21 positions
First seen
2026-06-19
last 07-10 02:34
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61% — —
Politics
21% — —
Sports
9% — —
Tech
8% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 1047 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +312 $202 46¢ $142 $-60 07-08 12:45
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +110 $53 55¢ $60 +$7 07-07 11:08
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +96 $61 60¢ $57 $-4 07-07 10:19
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +109 $53 40¢ $44 $-9 07-07 18:02
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +56 $25 38¢ $22 $-4 07-06 10:14
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $26 40¢ $17 $-9 07-08 06:37
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +18 $16 80¢ $14 $-2 07-01 20:02
Hotstuff FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +20 $4 50¢ $10 +$6 06-28 09:59
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $15 16¢ $8 $-7 07-06 11:56
SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +17 $4 26¢ $4 +$0 06-28 04:14
Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +15 $4 26¢ $4 +$0 06-28 06:06
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +21 $4 17¢ $4 $-0 07-02 03:05
SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-28 05:49
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-30 19:45
Will Santander fail by end of 2026? Yes +30 $1 2¢ $1 $-1 06-30 22:50
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +20 $1 2¢ $0 $-1 06-30 22:36
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +1 $3 14¢ $0 $-3 06-30 17:37
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +0 $-2 20¢ $0 +$2 06-30 22:01
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 $-0 07-03 08:13
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 $-0 06-30 20:16
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 $-0 06-30 03:59