(anonymous) 0x30fb41…1a7db4
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$202.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.82K
Hit rate
45.7%
Resolved
35,140
Trades
303,667
lifetime
Volume
$4.58M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$31.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-19
last 10-27 10:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
90% 41% -$180,252
Politics
6% 36% -$14,323
Tech
2% 32% -$4,006
Sports
1% 36% -$1,402
Crypto
0% 30% -$892
Pop-Culture
0% 12% -$1,289
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4561 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +2,721 $1,228 80¢ $2.2K +$949 09-16 04:07
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,252 $1,389 94¢ $2.1K +$723 09-18 01:51
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,088 $1,212 88¢ $1.8K +$636 10-26 10:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,632 $1,081 90¢ $1.5K +$382 10-20 15:11
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,808 $1,536 76¢ $1.4K -$154 10-01 16:11
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +1,533 $842 86¢ $1.3K +$483 09-25 18:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +1,307 $427 98¢ $1.3K +$859 10-08 03:56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +1,463 $915 87¢ $1.3K +$365 10-07 10:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,291 $887 92¢ $1.2K +$307 10-01 17:55
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +1,871 $1,186 62¢ $1.2K -$24 10-26 00:06
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +1,399 $909 82¢ $1.2K +$245 10-18 13:31
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +1,512 $1,175 72¢ $1.1K -$79 10-27 00:33
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? No +1,004 $639 100¢ $1.0K +$364 10-21 23:56
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +1,046 $823 92¢ $957 +$134 10-20 01:20
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +1,314 $629 70¢ $913 +$285 10-16 21:12
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +900 $810 98¢ $886 +$76 10-19 18:16
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +899 $305 96¢ $863 +$558 09-21 22:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +975 $793 88¢ $854 +$60 10-25 20:55
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +1,010 $564 82¢ $823 +$259 09-11 16:10
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +983 $609 82¢ $811 +$203 10-13 19:07
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +818 $350 98¢ $800 +$450 09-30 22:47
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551 No +914 $696 87¢ $792 +$96 10-23 23:33
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +897 $519 84¢ $757 +$238 10-20 01:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +1,341 $813 53¢ $711 -$102 10-08 01:13
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +1,019 $570 68¢ $698 +$128 09-25 09:23
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +1,227 $585 53¢ $650 +$65 09-25 20:45
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +669 $544 97¢ $650 +$106 10-18 00:25
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +926 $272 70¢ $650 +$378 10-26 11:27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +1,200 $587 53¢ $636 +$49 10-02 16:23
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,150 $1,852 20¢ $630 -$1,222 09-16 09:42