Realized P&L
-$8.88K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.84K
Hit rate
37.7%
Resolved
7,452
Trades
45,037
lifetime
Volume
$383.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$15.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 10-29 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
70% 42% -$6,585
Politics
16% 33% -$579
Crypto
7% 45% -$909
Sports
5% 64% -$670
Tech
2% 21% -$47
Pop-Culture
0% 12% -$87
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 2054 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +2,249 $1,754 68¢ $1.5K -$213 10-27 23:42
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +1,325 $1,191 95¢ $1.3K +$67 10-20 14:32
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,220 $359 95¢ $1.2K +$802 10-28 14:11
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,055 $903 79¢ $830 -$73 10-19 17:34
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +1,033 $721 71¢ $733 +$12 10-28 09:06
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +2,249 $533 32¢ $708 +$175 10-29 22:47
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +681 $631 96¢ $650 +$19 10-20 02:16
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +636 $402 100¢ $636 +$234 10-27 22:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +671 $510 90¢ $607 +$97 10-21 21:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +817 $365 69¢ $561 +$196 10-27 23:25
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +577 $509 93¢ $534 +$25 10-20 20:34
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +600 $507 87¢ $522 +$15 10-21 12:56
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +500 $450 99¢ $494 +$44 10-20 04:30
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +486 $424 99¢ $482 +$57 10-20 03:42
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +433 $120 100¢ $433 +$313 10-19 18:00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +480 $437 89¢ $427 -$11 10-21 12:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +460 $401 90¢ $416 +$15 10-19 20:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +500 $345 76¢ $380 +$35 10-20 01:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +570 $328 61¢ $346 +$18 10-20 19:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +485 $389 70¢ $340 -$50 10-21 20:59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +343 $294 97¢ $333 +$39 10-29 01:51
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +1,033 $333 29¢ $299 -$33 10-28 05:34
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +322 $281 87¢ $281 $0 10-19 22:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +821 $472 31¢ $257 -$214 10-27 23:25
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +450 $168 54¢ $243 +$75 10-28 16:49
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +230 $85 98¢ $227 +$142 10-27 19:47
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,055 $173 21¢ $225 +$52 10-19 19:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +570 $244 39¢ $224 -$20 10-19 19:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +400 $180 54¢ $218 +$38 10-29 07:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +304 $228 70¢ $214 -$14 10-20 20:14