Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
45.3%
Resolved
23
Trades
784
lifetime
Volume
$7.25K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$414
18 positions
First seen
2026-10-10
last 11-04 15:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
68% 48% +$12
Politics
17% — —
Tech
10% — —
Sports
3% — —
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 233 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? No +109 $63 53¢ $58 -$5 10-31 21:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +110 $48 47¢ $52 +$4 10-31 21:30
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026? No — +50 $36 99¢ $50 +$14 11-01 22:32
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +50 $47 95¢ $48 +$0 10-30 00:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +50 $36 78¢ $39 +$3 10-31 00:50
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +55 $38 65¢ $36 -$3 11-01 20:53
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by December 31? No +53 $33 60¢ $32 -$1 11-04 11:03
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by December 31? Yes +50 $20 40¢ $20 -$1 11-04 11:03
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +50 $16 35¢ $18 +$2 11-01 20:53
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +20 $12 72¢ $14 +$2 10-30 11:34
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? No +21 $19 58¢ $12 -$6 11-03 23:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +50 $14 22¢ $11 -$3 10-31 00:50
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 42¢ $8 +$5 11-03 23:40
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +8 $6 78¢ $6 +$0 11-03 05:38
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +20 $9 28¢ $6 -$4 10-30 11:34
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +50 $3 5¢ $2 $0 10-30 00:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +10 $2 22¢ $2 $0 11-03 05:38
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026? Yes — +55 $18 1¢ $1 -$17 11-01 22:32