Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
49
lifetime
Volume
$169
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$85
16 positions
First seen
2026-06-29
last 07-01 02:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
54%
Other
42%
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 +$0 06-29 06:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 06-29 14:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-29 04:26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-29 05:27
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 06-29 13:18
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 06-29 08:43
US recession by end of 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 07-01 00:12
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 06-29 18:08
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-29 12:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-30 18:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 $-0 06-30 00:37
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes +5 $4 81¢ $4 +$0 06-29 03:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 06-29 11:04
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +5 $4 73¢ $4 +$0 06-29 10:45
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +4 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 06-30 22:30
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +5 $3 56¢ $3 +$0 06-30 15:28