(anonymous) 0xfe91ab…cd4cd3
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
201
lifetime
Volume
$755
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$256
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-29
last 07-24 18:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58% — —
Politics
40% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +56 $53 96¢ $53 +$0 07-17 07:32
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes +15 $12 94¢ $14 +$2 07-20 15:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +15 $14 91¢ $14 $-0 07-23 13:11
US recession by end of 2026? No +15 $13 90¢ $13 +$0 07-24 02:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +15 $12 86¢ $13 +$0 07-17 21:41
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No +15 $14 84¢ $13 $-1 07-20 05:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15 $12 70¢ $11 $-1 07-18 17:20
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 07-18 05:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 07-17 16:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 07-17 05:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 07-18 14:09
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +10 $9 85¢ $8 $-0 07-17 16:12
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 $-0 07-21 19:33
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +10 $8 75¢ $8 $-0 07-17 16:12
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +10 $7 59¢ $6 $-2 07-21 21:17
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-20 01:42
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 07-17 11:50
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$0 06-29 18:08
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-17 16:35
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-29 08:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 07-17 09:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 07-17 04:02
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-29 12:13
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5 $5 82¢ $4 $-0 07-17 07:29
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 $-0 07-22 21:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-29 11:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 $-0 07-19 23:03
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +5 $3 63¢ $3 $-0 07-20 08:42
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +5 $2 34¢ $2 $-0 07-17 11:59
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +5 $2 30¢ $1 $-1 07-17 17:12