(anonymous) 0xfe91ab…cd4cd3
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$246
Unrealized P&L
+$258
Hit rate
84.7%
Resolved
249
Trades
7,572
lifetime
Volume
$28.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$3.85K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 10-27 11:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Other
48% 48% -$63
Politics
47% 75% +$307
Sports
4% 100% +$1
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +802 $530 88¢ $710 +$180 10-25 16:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +340 $316 94¢ $318 +$2 10-27 11:14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +290 $280 98¢ $283 +$3 10-26 12:58
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +301 $257 86¢ $259 +$2 10-25 22:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +260 $212 83¢ $216 +$4 10-27 12:02
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +212 $203 96¢ $204 +$1 10-26 15:51
Trump out as President before 2027? No +180 $170 96¢ $173 +$2 10-27 03:56
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +220 $179 76¢ $168 -$10 10-25 19:40
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +172 $156 97¢ $167 +$11 10-24 03:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +145 $134 94¢ $137 +$3 10-22 05:25
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +135 $127 97¢ $131 +$5 10-21 18:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +109 $100 94¢ $103 +$3 10-21 09:05
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +97 $89 90¢ $88 -$1 10-21 02:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +90 $77 92¢ $82 +$5 10-26 18:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +95 $81 86¢ $82 +$1 10-20 22:02
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +90 $75 81¢ $73 -$2 10-21 11:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +70 $64 92¢ $65 +$1 10-23 13:30
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +66 $50 89¢ $59 +$9 10-21 19:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +64 $57 89¢ $57 +$0 10-24 23:12
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +60 $55 96¢ $57 +$2 10-09 07:56
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +80 $62 72¢ $57 -$5 10-21 18:26
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +55 $51 88¢ $49 -$3 10-26 10:21
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +45 $44 98¢ $44 +$0 10-20 18:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +46 $9 94¢ $44 +$34 10-27 02:34
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +45 $42 94¢ $42 +$1 10-27 12:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +55 $37 76¢ $42 +$4 10-20 12:55
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +39 $37 97¢ $38 +$1 10-21 17:47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +50 $37 74¢ $37 $0 10-26 09:36
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +40 $33 82¢ $33 +$0 10-21 15:58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +70 $27 45¢ $32 +$5 10-25 23:06