(anonymous) 0xfe91ab…cd4cd3 Create alert
bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$210
Unrealized P&L
+$345
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved (30d)
166
Trades (30d)
4,327
9,978 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$16.8K
$38.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$3.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-04 13:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Politics
51% 77% +$423
Other
45% 56% -$122
Sports
3% 75% $0
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +842 $565 90¢ $754 +$188 11-04 13:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +720 $598 88¢ $630 +$32 11-04 12:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +235 $215 96¢ $226 +$11 11-04 11:33
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +192 $184 96¢ $185 +$0 11-04 16:11
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +193 $169 84¢ $162 -$6 11-04 16:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +150 $138 96¢ $144 +$6 11-04 16:03
Trump out as President before 2027? No +140 $132 97¢ $136 +$4 11-03 22:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +119 $108 94¢ $112 +$3 11-04 13:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +95 $81 92¢ $87 +$6 11-04 06:01
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +90 $75 86¢ $77 +$2 10-21 11:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +95 $73 80¢ $76 +$3 11-04 16:03
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +65 $60 97¢ $63 +$3 11-03 19:27
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +66 $50 90¢ $60 +$10 10-21 19:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +64 $57 92¢ $59 +$2 10-24 23:12
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +90 $68 64¢ $58 -$10 11-04 03:24
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +50 $47 96¢ $48 +$1 10-27 16:31
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +45 $44 98¢ $44 +$1 10-20 18:59
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +45 $37 86¢ $38 +$2 11-04 15:56
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +478 -$51 8¢ $36 +$87 11-04 13:20
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +32 $30 96¢ $31 +$0 11-04 09:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +55 $40 56¢ $31 -$9 11-04 15:08
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? Yes +50 $27 59¢ $30 +$2 11-03 12:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +55 $27 48¢ $26 $0 10-21 14:30
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +25 $24 98¢ $24 +$1 11-04 05:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +25 $23 94¢ $23 +$0 11-04 04:24
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +25 $21 92¢ $23 +$2 11-03 15:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +25 $22 91¢ $23 +$1 11-04 04:36
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236 No +22 $21 96¢ $21 +$0 10-24 18:41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 97¢ $19 +$1 11-04 11:25
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 11-04 12:05