(anonymous) 0xfe91ab…cd4cd3
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$58
Unrealized P&L
+$287
Hit rate
85.2%
Resolved (30d)
102
Trades (30d)
2,904
8,457 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$11.0K
$32.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$3.84K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 10-31 19:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
50% 48% -$131
Politics
45% 74% +$266
Sports
4% 100% +$1
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +807 $534 90¢ $726 +$192 10-30 17:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +335 $311 94¢ $317 +$6 10-29 17:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +345 $282 82¢ $285 +$3 10-31 15:00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +290 $280 97¢ $282 +$3 10-26 12:58
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +253 $219 85¢ $215 -$4 10-30 16:30
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +202 $194 96¢ $193 -$1 10-31 05:51
Trump out as President before 2027? No +195 $185 97¢ $188 +$4 10-31 20:16
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +160 $141 88¢ $140 -$1 10-30 16:16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +145 $134 94¢ $136 +$2 10-22 05:25
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +135 $127 97¢ $132 +$5 10-21 18:03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +130 $114 94¢ $123 +$8 10-31 06:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +114 $104 90¢ $103 -$1 10-31 18:44
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +97 $89 91¢ $88 -$1 10-21 02:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +95 $81 86¢ $81 +$0 10-20 22:02
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +80 $74 92¢ $74 -$1 10-31 01:23
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +90 $75 80¢ $72 -$3 10-21 11:08
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +95 $64 70¢ $67 +$3 10-31 19:32
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +66 $50 92¢ $61 +$10 10-21 19:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +64 $57 90¢ $58 +$1 10-24 23:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +80 $60 72¢ $58 -$2 10-31 12:14
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +60 $55 96¢ $57 +$2 10-09 07:56
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +80 $62 71¢ $57 -$5 10-21 18:26
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,185 $5 5¢ $56 +$51 10-31 20:11
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +50 $47 91¢ $46 -$1 10-27 16:31
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $44 90¢ $45 +$1 10-29 20:33
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +45 $44 98¢ $44 +$1 10-20 18:59
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +39 $37 97¢ $38 +$1 10-21 17:47
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +40 $28 91¢ $36 +$8 10-29 01:00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +35 $31 96¢ $33 +$2 10-31 14:56
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +40 $33 84¢ $33 +$1 10-21 15:58