(anonymous) 0xfe91ab…cd4cd3
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$42
Unrealized P&L
+$253
Hit rate
78.0%
Resolved (7d)
46
Trades (7d)
1,598
8,223 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$6.05K
$31.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$3.58K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 10-30 06:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
49% 48% -$131
Politics
46% 74% +$303
Sports
4% 100% +$1
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +787 $516 90¢ $704 +$188 10-28 15:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +335 $311 94¢ $317 +$6 10-29 17:31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +290 $280 98¢ $283 +$3 10-26 12:58
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +268 $231 84¢ $224 -$7 10-30 07:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +265 $216 82¢ $219 +$3 10-29 17:16
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +192 $184 95¢ $182 -$2 10-29 23:33
Trump out as President before 2027? No +175 $165 96¢ $168 +$3 10-29 23:57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +145 $134 92¢ $134 +$0 10-22 05:25
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +135 $127 98¢ $132 +$5 10-21 18:03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +125 $109 94¢ $117 +$7 10-28 19:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +109 $100 94¢ $103 +$3 10-21 09:05
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +97 $89 90¢ $87 -$2 10-21 02:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +95 $81 86¢ $81 +$0 10-20 22:02
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +90 $75 80¢ $72 -$4 10-21 11:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +70 $64 94¢ $65 +$1 10-23 13:30
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +66 $50 92¢ $61 +$11 10-21 19:19
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +80 $62 72¢ $58 -$4 10-21 18:26
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +64 $57 89¢ $57 +$0 10-24 23:12
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +60 $55 96¢ $57 +$2 10-09 07:56
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +80 $53 72¢ $57 +$4 10-29 17:50
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +50 $46 94¢ $47 +$1 10-29 20:17
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +50 $47 91¢ $46 -$1 10-27 16:31
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,505 $17 3¢ $44 +$28 10-30 07:47
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +45 $44 98¢ $44 +$0 10-20 18:59
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $44 86¢ $43 -$1 10-29 20:33
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +39 $37 97¢ $38 +$1 10-21 17:47
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +40 $28 90¢ $36 +$8 10-29 01:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +50 $37 70¢ $35 -$2 10-26 09:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +35 $33 98¢ $34 +$2 10-30 01:06
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +40 $33 82¢ $33 +$0 10-21 15:58