(anonymous) 0xfe91ab…cd4cd3 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$156
Unrealized P&L
+$355
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
289
Trades
8,857
lifetime
Volume
$33.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$4.00K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-02 21:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
48% 51% -$126
Politics
47% 75% +$277
Sports
4% 75% $0
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +817 $543 92¢ $747 +$205 11-01 20:38
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +330 $319 98¢ $323 +$4 11-02 12:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +335 $311 96¢ $320 +$9 10-29 17:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +320 $261 82¢ $264 +$3 11-02 23:00
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +212 $204 97¢ $205 +$2 11-02 19:00
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +238 $206 82¢ $196 -$10 11-02 16:00
Trump out as President before 2027? No +155 $146 96¢ $149 +$3 11-01 17:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +145 $134 94¢ $137 +$3 10-22 05:25
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +135 $127 98¢ $132 +$6 10-21 18:03
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +135 $119 92¢ $124 +$5 11-02 17:05
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +120 $113 98¢ $117 +$5 11-02 18:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +114 $104 94¢ $108 +$4 10-31 18:44
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +95 $81 94¢ $89 +$9 11-01 03:46
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +102 $94 88¢ $89 -$4 11-02 00:59
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +90 $86 94¢ $85 $0 11-02 21:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +90 $77 86¢ $78 +$1 11-01 18:56
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +985 -$11 8¢ $77 +$88 11-02 12:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $70 74¢ $74 +$5 11-02 21:06
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +90 $75 82¢ $74 -$1 10-21 11:08
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +95 $64 74¢ $71 +$7 10-31 19:32
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +70 $65 96¢ $68 +$3 11-01 17:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +85 $60 74¢ $63 +$3 11-02 20:14
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +66 $50 94¢ $62 +$12 10-21 19:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +64 $57 92¢ $59 +$2 10-24 23:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +75 $56 74¢ $56 -$1 11-02 13:56
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +80 $62 65¢ $52 -$10 10-21 18:26
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +50 $47 95¢ $48 +$1 10-27 16:31
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +45 $44 98¢ $44 +$1 10-20 18:59
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +55 $42 78¢ $43 +$1 11-02 23:27
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +45 $40 92¢ $41 +$2 11-02 05:03