(anonymous) 0xfe91ab…cd4cd3
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$161
Unrealized P&L
+$369
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
284
Trades
8,777
lifetime
Volume
$33.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$3.98K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-02 11:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
49% 51% -$120
Politics
47% 75% +$277
Sports
4% 75% $0
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +817 $543 92¢ $747 +$205 11-01 20:38
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +330 $319 98¢ $322 +$3 11-02 12:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +335 $311 96¢ $320 +$9 10-29 17:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +380 $311 84¢ $317 +$7 11-02 10:17
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +207 $199 97¢ $200 +$2 11-02 02:16
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +243 $210 82¢ $199 -$11 11-02 04:45
Trump out as President before 2027? No +155 $146 96¢ $149 +$3 11-01 17:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +145 $134 94¢ $137 +$3 10-22 05:25
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +135 $127 98¢ $132 +$6 10-21 18:03
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +140 $123 92¢ $128 +$5 11-01 06:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +114 $104 95¢ $108 +$4 10-31 18:44
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +985 -$11 9¢ $93 +$104 11-02 12:11
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +95 $89 96¢ $91 +$3 11-02 10:47
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +95 $81 94¢ $89 +$9 11-01 03:46
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +102 $94 88¢ $89 -$4 11-02 00:59
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +105 $73 76¢ $79 +$6 11-01 19:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +90 $77 86¢ $77 +$0 11-01 18:56
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +90 $75 82¢ $73 -$2 10-21 11:08
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +95 $64 76¢ $72 +$8 10-31 19:32
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +70 $65 96¢ $68 +$3 11-01 17:52
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +66 $50 92¢ $61 +$11 10-21 19:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +64 $57 92¢ $59 +$2 10-24 23:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +80 $60 72¢ $58 -$2 10-31 12:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +80 $62 66¢ $53 -$9 10-21 18:26
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +60 $46 80¢ $48 +$2 11-02 09:44
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +50 $47 95¢ $48 +$1 10-27 16:31
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +45 $44 98¢ $44 +$1 10-20 18:59
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +45 $40 92¢ $41 +$2 11-02 05:03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +39 $37 98¢ $38 +$2 10-21 17:47
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +37 $35 95¢ $35 $0 11-01 12:14