(anonymous) 0xfe91ab…cd4cd3
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$158
Unrealized P&L
+$295
Hit rate
85.4%
Resolved (90d)
259
Trades (90d)
3,076
3,422 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$10.1K
$11.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$3.83K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-01 20:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
49% 51% -$120
Politics
47% 75% +$272
Sports
4% 100% +$1
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +817 $543 89¢ $727 +$184 11-01 20:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +335 $311 96¢ $320 +$9 10-29 17:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +345 $282 82¢ $285 +$3 11-01 17:20
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +290 $280 97¢ $282 +$3 10-26 12:58
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +248 $214 84¢ $207 -$7 10-31 20:47
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +202 $194 96¢ $194 +$0 11-01 13:54
Trump out as President before 2027? No +155 $146 96¢ $149 +$3 11-01 17:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +145 $134 94¢ $137 +$3 10-22 05:25
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +135 $127 98¢ $132 +$5 10-21 18:03
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +140 $123 92¢ $128 +$5 11-01 06:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +114 $104 92¢ $104 +$0 10-31 18:44
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +95 $81 94¢ $89 +$9 11-01 03:46
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +97 $89 90¢ $88 -$1 10-21 02:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +90 $77 86¢ $78 +$1 11-01 18:56
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +80 $74 96¢ $77 +$2 11-01 07:27
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +105 $73 70¢ $74 +$1 11-01 19:20
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +90 $75 82¢ $73 -$2 10-21 11:08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +70 $65 96¢ $67 +$2 11-01 17:52
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,135 $2 6¢ $67 +$65 11-01 09:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +95 $64 70¢ $66 +$2 10-31 19:32
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +66 $50 92¢ $61 +$11 10-21 19:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +64 $57 92¢ $59 +$2 10-24 23:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +80 $60 72¢ $58 -$2 10-31 12:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +80 $62 70¢ $56 -$6 10-21 18:26
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +50 $47 92¢ $46 $0 10-27 16:31
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $44 90¢ $45 +$1 10-29 20:33
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +45 $44 98¢ $44 +$1 10-20 18:59
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +39 $37 97¢ $38 +$1 10-21 17:47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +50 $37 72¢ $36 -$1 10-26 09:36
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +37 $35 96¢ $36 +$0 11-01 12:14