Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?
No won
Total volume
$9,648
Trades
369
Unique wallets
149
Liquidity
$12,649
End date
2026-10-31
First seen
2026-08-29
last 10-31 22:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.3¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $2.5K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $8.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 26 | $83 | $3.0K | $2.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 22 | $59 | $3.3K | $3.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 27 | $11 | $983 | $972 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 74 | $94 | $900 | $806 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 20 | $68 | $2.5K | $2.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $0 | $3.3K | $3.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $6 | $516 | $510 |
| Median | 42 | $50 | $479 | $429 |
| Below median | 32 | $38 | $535 | $497 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $5 | $144 | $140 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $38 | $5 | +$33 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 20 | $42 | $689 | $646 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immense-Patriot 0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | +3,000 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 10-14 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xef97…ab2c | No | +3,000 | $2,955 | $2,955 | 2 | 10-14 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x60e2…6fb0 | Yes | +1,120 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 09-27 13:33 |
| Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | No | +944 | $902 | $902 | 2 | 09-27 13:33 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +422 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 10-31 04:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6a2…c9b7 | No | +369 | $365 | $365 | 2 | 10-30 12:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xee6b…046b | Yes | +347 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 09-03 00:22 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | +330 | $307 | $682 | 8 | 09-27 13:33 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | Yes | +330 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 10-29 17:00 |
| Elliptical-Perspective 0x7f1d…45dc | No | +320 | $314 | $314 | 14 | 10-27 21:04 |
| Fancy-Kill 0x6bc7…4ad4 | Yes | +300 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 10-15 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | +280 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 10-31 22:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x01f3…d4ab | No | +240 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 10-31 22:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc65a…a0cb | Yes | +223 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-16 12:00 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +200 | $5 | $9 | 12 | 10-27 21:26 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | No | +200 | $195 | $195 | 1 | 10-02 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b92…76a8 | No | +121 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 10-15 10:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf84…9de9 | No | +120 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 10-15 05:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +113 | $4 | $4 | 9 | 10-25 16:51 |
| Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | +109 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 10-25 16:51 |
| Reckless-Accuracy 0x6979…9774 | No | +106 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 10-15 07:23 |
| Weighty-Pimple 0x475b…7ad3 | No | +102 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 10-08 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 24 | 10-31 22:57 |
| Cavernous-Proportion 0xe192…7689 | No | +98 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 10-07 03:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +82 | $77 | $116 | 4 | 10-05 20:36 |
| Infamous-Tatami 0x91d3…18be | No | +71 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 10-15 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x44d4…e119 | No | +71 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 10-15 10:10 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +69 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 09-15 10:09 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +62 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 10-23 14:52 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +52 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 08-30 03:34 |
| Astonishing-Illness 0x7d7a…bc1f | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 09-22 05:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 12 | 10-31 22:57 |
| Intentional-Inhibition 0xd0d9…d6db | Yes | +48 | $1 | $6 | 3 | 10-25 12:22 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +40 | $2 | $6 | 7 | 10-25 16:51 |
| Complex-Antechamber 0x17de…b94e | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 10-26 02:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x217a…86db | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-23 18:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +31 | $0 | $1 | 7 | 10-31 16:47 |
| Amusing-Maybe 0x277a…86cf | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 09-21 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | +28 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 10-25 16:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +27 | $2 | $5 | 7 | 10-25 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 10-31 13:20 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +22 | $2 | $12 | 12 | 10-25 16:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x434c…88b6 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 10-31 22:57 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +20 | $19 | $31 | 3 | 10-25 16:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xf35c…8934 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-25 16:51 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-05 19:15 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-30 03:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-30 03:43 |
| Rotten-Gland 0x1c5b…5d75 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-29 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a8e…89d8 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-12 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-30 03:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf35c…8934 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-25 16:51 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 08-31 03:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8c2…105e | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 09-27 13:33 |
| Ajar-Hatchet 0xd38c…d6aa | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-31 13:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-31 22:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x9afc…314b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-27 01:19 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-31 22:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x2eec…3de6 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-29 23:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-23 15:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:57:58 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x177731… |
| 10-31 22:57:58 | (anonymous) 0x7f8d…301b | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x177731… |
| 10-31 22:57:40 | (anonymous) 0xe4d0…a47d | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x24d9a1… |
| 10-31 22:57:40 | (anonymous) 0xe7d1…e74a | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3103a8… |
| 10-31 22:57:40 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3103a8… |
| 10-31 22:57:40 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24d9a1… |
| 10-31 22:57:39 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd9a86… |
| 10-31 22:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x4d0b…b099 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfd9a86… |
| 10-31 22:57:39 | (anonymous) 0xa5ff…1d2f | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x99c9ad… |
| 10-31 22:57:39 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x99c9ad… |
| 10-31 22:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x0328…b22e | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x3394a7… |
| 10-31 22:57:37 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3394a7… |
| 10-31 22:57:34 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf027fd… |
| 10-31 22:57:34 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdaa258… |
| 10-31 22:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x3d6b…b046 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x040d7a… |
| 10-31 22:57:34 | (anonymous) 0xbd34…6ad8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf027fd… |
| 10-31 22:57:34 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x040d7a… |
| 10-31 22:57:34 | (anonymous) 0xfc67…92e4 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xdaa258… |
| 10-31 22:57:33 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda4988… |
| 10-31 22:57:33 | (anonymous) 0xc18c…f342 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xda4988… |
| 10-31 22:57:33 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf4f460… |
| 10-31 22:57:33 | (anonymous) 0xb728…c347 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xf4f460… |
| 10-31 22:57:27 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x332c49… |
| 10-31 22:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x940b…1431 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x332c49… |
| 10-31 22:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x332c49… |
| 10-31 22:57:25 | (anonymous) 0xce8f…8986 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6c8270… |
| 10-31 22:57:25 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6c8270… |
| 10-31 22:57:24 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf05333… |
| 10-31 22:57:24 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x548953… |
| 10-31 22:57:24 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf05333… |
| 10-31 22:57:24 | (anonymous) 0x9d0e…1793 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf05333… |
| 10-31 22:57:24 | (anonymous) 0xc18c…f342 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x548953… |
| 10-31 22:57:21 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaff491… |
| 10-31 22:57:21 | (anonymous) 0xabc4…ad83 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xaff491… |
| 10-31 22:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 240 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f22a1… |
| 10-31 22:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x01f3…d4ab | No | BUY | 240 | 100¢ | $240 | 0x1f22a1… |
| 10-31 22:57:18 | (anonymous) 0x8312…18b2 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa4654c… |
| 10-31 22:57:18 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa4654c… |
| 10-31 22:57:09 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc22ee5… |
| 10-31 22:57:09 | (anonymous) 0x434c…88b6 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xc22ee5… |
| 10-31 22:57:09 | (anonymous) 0x0c34…dfc0 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x438709… |
| 10-31 22:57:09 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x438709… |
| 10-31 22:57:09 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc22ee5… |
| 10-31 22:57:00 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbc016f… |
| 10-31 22:57:00 | (anonymous) 0x2b2c…05bd | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xbc016f… |
| 10-31 22:57:00 | (anonymous) 0x4dfe…ed81 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x36670d… |
| 10-31 22:57:00 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x36670d… |
| 10-31 22:56:55 | (anonymous) 0xbc58…1d4e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x22c78a… |
| 10-31 22:56:55 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x22c78a… |
| 10-31 22:56:54 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64fba5… |
| 10-31 22:56:54 | (anonymous) 0xb750…00fc | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x64fba5… |
| 10-31 22:56:51 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4efb03… |
| 10-31 22:56:51 | (anonymous) 0xb863…332f | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x4efb03… |
| 10-31 22:56:49 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e88fc… |
| 10-31 22:56:49 | (anonymous) 0xc47a…7a12 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x4e88fc… |
| 10-31 22:56:48 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8eeda4… |
| 10-31 22:56:48 | (anonymous) 0x4d0b…b099 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8eeda4… |
| 10-31 22:56:36 | (anonymous) 0x321f…9e25 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x680e5a… |
| 10-31 22:56:36 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x680e5a… |
| 10-31 22:56:34 | (anonymous) 0xeb85…6270 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc81c04… |
| 10-31 22:56:34 | (anonymous) 0xdaf4…603c | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcade68… |
| 10-31 22:56:34 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcade68… |
| 10-31 22:56:34 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc81c04… |
| 10-31 22:56:25 | (anonymous) 0xe937…ae56 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x79bf48… |
| 10-31 22:56:25 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79bf48… |
| 10-31 22:56:18 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x611b3d… |
| 10-31 22:56:18 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x91b127… |
| 10-31 22:56:18 | (anonymous) 0x9d0d…f8ae | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x611b3d… |
| 10-31 22:56:18 | (anonymous) 0x84b5…48b5 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x91b127… |
| 10-31 22:56:16 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12528f… |
| 10-31 22:56:16 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3567f2… |
| 10-31 22:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x659c…3788 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa79290… |
| 10-31 22:56:16 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa79290… |
| 10-31 22:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x9635…a71f | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x3567f2… |
| 10-31 22:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x3fa0…8eeb | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x12528f… |
| 10-31 22:56:09 | (anonymous) 0xa385…6702 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb238c3… |
| 10-31 22:56:09 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb238c3… |
| 10-31 22:56:07 | (anonymous) 0xbab2…e175 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2ce168… |
| 10-31 22:56:07 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ce168… |
| 10-31 22:56:07 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x16dfd6… |
| 10-31 22:56:07 | (anonymous) 0xe489…f816 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x16dfd6… |
| 10-31 22:56:06 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x446b64… |
| 10-31 22:56:06 | (anonymous) 0x75cd…1504 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x446b64… |
| 10-31 22:56:04 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x656f04… |
| 10-31 22:56:04 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85e29e… |
| 10-31 22:56:04 | (anonymous) 0xa995…bb16 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x656f04… |
| 10-31 22:56:04 | (anonymous) 0x7bac…a84e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x85e29e… |
| 10-31 22:56:00 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf04352… |
| 10-31 22:56:00 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf04352… |
| 10-31 22:56:00 | (anonymous) 0x9688…ceae | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xf04352… |
| 10-31 16:47:43 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa20947… |
| 10-31 16:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa20947… |
| 10-31 16:47:43 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa20947… |
| 10-31 16:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x7343…8eee | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xa20947… |
| 10-31 13:20:36 | Ajar-Hatchet 0xd38c…d6aa | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x326b22… |
| 10-31 13:20:36 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x326b22… |
| 10-31 13:20:36 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x326b22… |
| 10-31 09:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x945d50… |
| 10-31 09:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xe773…be62 | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x945d50… |
| 10-31 04:33:10 | (anonymous) 0xa92a…a4d8 | No | SELL | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x43bc3f… |