Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

235

Trades

239

lifetime

Volume

$1.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-30 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

60% 99% -$7

Crypto

26% 100% +$3

Politics

12% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+4	$4	100¢	$4	$0	10-25 23:56
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+4	$4	100¢	$4	$0	10-25 23:57
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+4	$4	97¢	$4	$0	10-25 23:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb missr ala 2026 01 27	1	$5	5	+5	Alabama Crimson Tide	+$0	01-28 01:55
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	01-27 16:55
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-27 23:55
spx up or down on january 26 2026	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	01-26 20:55
will mexico gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 0pt0	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-29 23:55
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by january 31	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-30 23:55
will trump say too big to rig this week january 25	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-24 23:55
msft close above 420 on february 2 2026	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	02-02 20:57
will melania score at least 20 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	02-01 23:55
spx up or down on february 4 2026	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	02-04 20:55
will melania score at least 5 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	02-01 23:55
cbb monm camp 2026 01 24	1	$5	5	+5	Monmouth Hawks	+$0	01-24 20:55
val loud 100t1 2026 01 23 total rounds over under 49pt5	1	$5	5	+5	Over	+$0	01-24 03:55
val loud 100t1 2026 01 23 total rounds over under 50pt5	1	$5	5	+5	Over	+$0	01-24 03:55
hok wb tcgrou 2026 01 24 game1	1	$5	5	+5	Weibo Gaming	+$0	01-24 15:55
val te wol 2026 01 22 wol to win 0 maps	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-22 14:55
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	01-22 23:55
val 1m gnga 2026 02 08 game1	1	$5	5	+5	One More Esports	+$0	02-08 19:55
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 26 be between 2300000 and 2400000	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-25 23:55
cs2 fdb pls 2026 02 08 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$5	5	+5	Fake do Biru	+$0	02-08 21:55
cs2 8s mis 2026 02 10 total games 2pt5	1	$5	5	+5	Under	+$0	02-10 14:55
will hamnet be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	01-21 23:55
googl up or down on february 11 2026	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	02-11 20:57
lol ot doc 2026 02 14	1	$5	5	+5	Onion Team	+$0	02-14 15:55
will han duck soo be sentenced to no prison time	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-20 23:55
will the uks septembernovember 2025 unemployment rate be 5pt3	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-19 23:55
will japan gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 0pt1 and 0pt3	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	-$5	02-15 23:55
r6siege liquid enx 2026 01 16 total games 2pt5	1	$5	5	+5	Over	+$0	01-17 02:55
lol drg anb 2026 01 16	1	$5	5	+5	Dragons Esports	+$0	01-16 21:55
dota2 ivo rnx 2026 01 16 game2	1	$5	5	+5	REKONIX	+$0	01-16 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:00:28	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa0c177…
10-29 00:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf6e4d1…
10-27 01:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc2aec0…
10-27 00:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2d3313…
10-27 00:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa70f3b…
10-26 23:59:03	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x725b5d…
10-26 12:56:59	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x44629c…
10-25 23:59:06	Will Nadeem Akbar win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xa1ccf6…
10-25 23:57:12	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa8bf52…
10-25 23:56:47	Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf9df32…
10-25 23:56:12	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2d9167…
10-23 15:59:09	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8c4447…
10-23 15:58:41	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5225d3…
10-23 13:57:14	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in October?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x66757b…
10-23 13:56:56	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8480ba…
10-22 23:57:47	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc21881…
10-22 10:58:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x24969f…
10-21 05:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf03316…
10-20 12:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc8e2fa…
10-19 08:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x462781…
10-18 07:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7b2ba0…
10-17 23:57:24	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x60a653…
10-17 03:57:18	Will Jynxzi reach Gold rank in League of Legends by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6b6e41…
10-17 03:56:53	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x812f8d…
10-15 03:56:56	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 14 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2bd311…
10-14 23:57:36	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x99551d…
10-14 20:58:40	dxy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x051264…
10-14 06:58:52	Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbddc66…
10-14 00:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x037d74…
10-13 21:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbb9087…
10-13 20:58:09	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x88a85d…
10-13 19:58:39	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4fdcbc…
10-13 19:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9520ab…
10-13 07:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x16dea8…
10-13 00:58:35	HYPE Up or Down - October 12, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9992f4…
10-12 20:59:08	BNB Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x32506d…
10-12 06:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe6c191…
10-12 00:56:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0a9cb1…
10-12 00:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x88e5f9…
10-10 17:58:00	Will Ségolène Royal win the first round of the French Socialist primary?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x10a408…
10-09 19:58:40	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf098b4…
10-09 07:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7d28cf…
10-08 21:58:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x232b86…
10-08 01:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xf7b28f…
10-08 00:56:26	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6af067…
10-06 18:00:15	Will the biggest earthquake on October 5, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc1327d…
10-06 07:58:58	BNB Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf675f3…
10-06 00:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x7c8cc9…
10-05 13:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x04c56f…
10-05 08:59:11	xrp up or down october 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xef254a…
10-04 07:59:41	Solana Up or Down - October 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd65a4…
10-04 07:59:23	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9476d4…
10-02 09:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5ee816…
10-01 14:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x798002…
10-01 13:01:12	Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x91659b…
10-01 09:57:02	ethereum up or down october 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xbaa4aa…
10-01 09:56:33	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4cd177…
10-01 04:58:48	solana up or down october 1 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8f9cca…
10-01 00:00:09	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x50bb1a…
09-30 15:58:39	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x55cd57…
09-30 15:56:53	Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x496000…
09-30 14:58:51	xrp up or down september 30 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x555f49…
09-30 13:56:36	M15 Columbia, SC, Main Draw: Completed Match: Teodor Davidov vs Michael Bassem Sobhy	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe7f336…
09-30 12:03:36	M25 Setubal, Main Draw: Completed Match: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x58ce4f…
09-30 12:03:26	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5ca928…
09-30 12:03:14	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2cf558…
09-30 12:03:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcf1815…
09-30 12:02:32	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf95e82…
09-30 12:01:12	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3d2787…
09-29 14:57:15	ethereum up or down september 29 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbb02e3…
09-29 02:58:57	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xf248ee…
09-29 00:58:33	xrp up or down september 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0f9122…
09-28 23:56:48	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x83a08d…
09-27 05:56:26	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4dc42c…
09-26 14:58:23	ethereum up or down september 26 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd1ba0f…
09-25 23:58:02	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 25?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x681ee0…
09-25 04:58:08	XRP Up or Down - September 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x0f7fe0…
09-25 04:57:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x304f4b…
09-25 02:58:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 24, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x218e47…
09-24 21:58:30	wti up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x660a1f…
09-24 05:58:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x9e71d5…
09-24 00:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5759e4…
09-23 14:56:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb5b049…
09-23 06:57:19	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x403742…
09-22 23:59:16	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 22?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcc63bf…
09-22 14:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x3f0705…
09-22 06:58:28	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd2d056…
09-20 11:59:42	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2ff2ff…
09-20 08:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xeea8fb…
09-20 05:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1c9b42…
09-20 04:59:40	BNB Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6084da…
09-20 04:59:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3e0824…
09-18 04:58:16	xrp up or down september 18 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xdb4e62…
09-17 23:59:06	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xff37ec…
09-17 22:59:01	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb01933…
09-17 10:59:09	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbf8de2…
09-17 04:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1357cd…
09-15 23:59:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6c33ef…
09-14 20:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf66ee4…
09-14 04:57:31	XRP Up or Down - September 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2701ee…