Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2AM ET
Up won
Total volume
$21,199
Trades
1,933
Unique wallets
254
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-12
First seen
2026-10-11
last 10-12 07:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.8¢
(top1%: 47% YES on $12.9K
vs crowd: 45% YES on $20.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 42 | $6.2K | $8.3K | $2.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 60 | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 82 | $1.0K | $1.1K | $64 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 70 | $170 | $214 | $44 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 50 | $6.1K | $6.8K | $663 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 36 | $705 | $1.1K | $382 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $79 | $96 | $17 |
| Median | 28 | $91 | $74 | +$17 |
| Below median | 51 | $253 | $179 | +$74 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 29 | $440 | $532 | $92 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 24 | $641 | $494 | +$147 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 22 | $613 | $1.9K | $1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +2,303 | $1,195 | $1,195 | 40 | 10-12 06:55 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +2,024 | $1,016 | $1,016 | 30 | 10-12 06:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Up | +1,867 | $809 | $809 | 64 | 10-12 06:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Down | +1,816 | $1,140 | $1,140 | 59 | 10-12 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8816…567e | Up | +1,400 | $271 | $271 | 3 | 10-12 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Down | +1,367 | $597 | $597 | 30 | 10-12 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | +1,326 | $685 | $685 | 27 | 10-12 06:54 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +1,103 | $854 | $854 | 38 | 10-12 06:55 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +1,078 | $383 | $383 | 18 | 10-12 06:56 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +881 | $242 | $242 | 35 | 10-12 06:48 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Up | +797 | $261 | $261 | 31 | 10-12 06:44 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +771 | $231 | $231 | 22 | 10-12 06:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4961…de13 | Down | +751 | $671 | $671 | 24 | 10-12 06:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Up | +730 | $723 | $723 | 1 | 10-12 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Down | +679 | $290 | $290 | 4 | 10-12 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Down | +604 | $394 | $394 | 74 | 10-12 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | +596 | $215 | $215 | 76 | 10-12 06:54 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +594 | $393 | $393 | 28 | 10-12 06:49 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +569 | $382 | $382 | 23 | 10-12 06:44 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | +485 | $235 | $235 | 28 | 10-12 06:54 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | +485 | $237 | $237 | 23 | 10-12 06:55 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +456 | $234 | $234 | 3 | 10-12 05:52 |
| Tame-Crude 0xd825…a76e | Down | +400 | $368 | $368 | 2 | 10-12 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | +386 | $1 | $1 | 19 | 10-12 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b4f…620a | Down | +379 | $193 | $193 | 15 | 10-12 06:35 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +377 | $261 | $261 | 14 | 10-12 06:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x191f…4a8d | Up | +354 | $106 | $106 | 28 | 10-12 06:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +304 | $171 | $171 | 19 | 10-12 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cb…e987 | Down | +299 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 10-12 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +284 | $88 | $88 | 12 | 10-12 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | +257 | $98 | $98 | 16 | 10-12 06:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6ba…b8ce | Up | +249 | $224 | $224 | 9 | 10-12 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf0f…6e5c | Down | +247 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 10-12 06:38 |
| Vigorous-Cargo 0xd535…9fae | Down | +246 | $115 | $115 | 17 | 10-12 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | +245 | $130 | $130 | 12 | 10-12 06:54 |
| Vigorous-Cargo 0xd535…9fae | Up | +245 | $111 | $111 | 21 | 10-12 06:54 |
| Occasional-Pressurization 0x5a78…4ae1 | Down | +234 | $147 | $147 | 14 | 10-12 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Up | +230 | $118 | $118 | 44 | 10-12 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2367…71a1 | Down | +222 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-12 06:31 |
| Occasional-Pressurization 0x5a78…4ae1 | Up | +222 | $102 | $102 | 19 | 10-12 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f8b…ba14 | Up | +216 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 10-12 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Down | +205 | $94 | $94 | 32 | 10-12 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | +200 | $2 | $2 | 13 | 10-12 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd245…356a | Up | +198 | $79 | $79 | 7 | 10-12 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd245…356a | Down | +197 | $79 | $79 | 6 | 10-12 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xc545…64c5 | Up | +194 | $177 | $265 | 10 | 10-12 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4163…521c | Up | +189 | $24 | $24 | 5 | 10-12 06:37 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Up | +186 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 10-12 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fc7…cde4 | Down | +180 | $157 | $157 | 1 | 10-12 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b8c…4d31 | Down | +177 | $85 | $85 | 40 | 10-12 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b8c…4d31 | Up | +171 | $75 | $75 | 38 | 10-12 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x4961…de13 | Up | +151 | $111 | $111 | 5 | 10-12 06:54 |
| Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | +150 | $148 | $148 | 3 | 10-12 06:55 |
| Intelligent-Flair 0x94ce…edf2 | Down | +150 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 10-12 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x191f…4a8d | Down | +141 | $71 | $71 | 9 | 10-12 06:46 |
| Enchanting-Donor 0xe357…b709 | Down | +137 | $73 | $73 | 11 | 10-12 06:54 |
| Enchanting-Donor 0xe357…b709 | Up | +131 | $36 | $36 | 8 | 10-12 06:45 |
| Dangerous-Supporter 0x409a…b58d | Up | +128 | $74 | $74 | 10 | 10-12 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x24ce…da46 | Up | +120 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 10-12 06:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x56e5…6be4 | Up | +113 | $52 | $52 | 12 | 10-12 06:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 07:01:41 | (anonymous) 0x1a0a…f528 | Up | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x71004d… |
| 10-12 07:01:41 | Pleased-County 0xb21e…99bb | Up | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x71004d… |
| 10-12 06:57:26 | Pleased-County 0xb21e…99bb | Up | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xf68117… |
| 10-12 06:57:26 | (anonymous) 0x1faa…435e | Up | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xf68117… |
| 10-12 06:57:16 | (anonymous) 0x1d7b…0d94 | Up | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1821ce… |
| 10-12 06:57:16 | Pleased-County 0xb21e…99bb | Up | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1821ce… |
| 10-12 06:56:52 | (anonymous) 0xa5ff…1d2f | Up | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xe6c191… |
| 10-12 06:56:52 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6c191… |
| 10-12 06:56:50 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x749550… |
| 10-12 06:56:50 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x06dbe2… |
| 10-12 06:56:50 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x749550… |
| 10-12 06:56:50 | (anonymous) 0xf0b0…0120 | Up | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x06dbe2… |
| 10-12 06:56:49 | (anonymous) 0x0c34…dfc0 | Up | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xd3aac3… |
| 10-12 06:56:49 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd3aac3… |
| 10-12 06:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe57227… |
| 10-12 06:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xbab2…e175 | Up | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xe57227… |
| 10-12 06:56:46 | (anonymous) 0x434c…88b6 | Up | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x710826… |
| 10-12 06:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x710826… |
| 10-12 06:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x326633… |
| 10-12 06:56:46 | (anonymous) 0xcae4…3378 | Up | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x326633… |
| 10-12 06:56:44 | (anonymous) 0x5934…6852 | Up | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4ad4d4… |
| 10-12 06:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x890a9b… |
| 10-12 06:56:44 | (anonymous) 0x988b…17be | Up | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x890a9b… |
| 10-12 06:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ad4d4… |
| 10-12 06:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x91098e… |
| 10-12 06:56:43 | Menacing-Geyser 0x3e87…1c98 | Up | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x91098e… |
| 10-12 06:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x423aa5… |
| 10-12 06:56:41 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x423aa5… |
| 10-12 06:56:37 | (anonymous) 0xe7d1…e74a | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6e754a… |
| 10-12 06:56:37 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e754a… |
| 10-12 06:56:35 | (anonymous) 0xb348…6434 | Up | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x421a5c… |
| 10-12 06:56:35 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x421a5c… |
| 10-12 06:56:31 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1971d… |
| 10-12 06:56:31 | (anonymous) 0x20d6…3f43 | Up | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xf1971d… |
| 10-12 06:56:28 | (anonymous) 0xa385…6702 | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x09ce91… |
| 10-12 06:56:28 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0f2b20… |
| 10-12 06:56:28 | (anonymous) 0xe4d0…a47d | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0f2b20… |
| 10-12 06:56:28 | (anonymous) 0x4d0b…b099 | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd11944… |
| 10-12 06:56:28 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x09ce91… |
| 10-12 06:56:28 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd11944… |
| 10-12 06:56:25 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf486db… |
| 10-12 06:56:25 | Sweaty-Transport 0x624b…d25e | Up | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0xf486db… |
| 10-12 06:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x9d43…75ac | Up | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x6f208f… |
| 10-12 06:56:07 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f208f… |
| 10-12 06:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f208f… |
| 10-12 06:56:05 | (anonymous) 0xe248…aa6d | Up | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2ea6a2… |
| 10-12 06:56:05 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2f3d7… |
| 10-12 06:56:05 | (anonymous) 0x84b5…48b5 | Up | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xd2f3d7… |
| 10-12 06:56:05 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2f3d7… |
| 10-12 06:56:05 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ea6a2… |
| 10-12 06:56:04 | (anonymous) 0xc18c…f342 | Up | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x196be5… |
| 10-12 06:56:04 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x196be5… |
| 10-12 06:56:04 | (anonymous) 0x6ddd…49b3 | Up | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe741fe… |
| 10-12 06:56:04 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x21514f… |
| 10-12 06:56:04 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe741fe… |
| 10-12 06:56:04 | (anonymous) 0x321f…9e25 | Up | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x21514f… |
| 10-12 06:56:02 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4eb3e1… |
| 10-12 06:56:02 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4eb3e1… |
| 10-12 06:55:58 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x363c06… |
| 10-12 06:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x3624…8470 | Up | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x363c06… |
| 10-12 06:55:58 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1bcc15… |
| 10-12 06:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xabc4…ad83 | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1bcc15… |
| 10-12 06:55:46 | Lone-Boon 0x4c04…7dca | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xbbcf5c… |
| 10-12 06:55:46 | (anonymous) 0xd4e0…b12e | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xbbcf5c… |
| 10-12 06:55:37 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x5560f7… |
| 10-12 06:55:37 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5560f7… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x4b8c…4d31 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x4832…4f84 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0xc8fd…5efa | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0xd6a1…d362 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x3606…873c | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | Vigorous-Cargo 0xd535…9fae | Down | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | Snappy-Intervenor 0x2bc0…7871 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x1b34…9371 | Up | SELL | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x4286…6dba | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0xefa2…f541 | Up | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x6833…672c | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Up | BUY | 730 | 99¢ | $723 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0xaf46…c2b9 | Up | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x204e…9112 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe9e6f9… |
| 10-12 06:55:16 | (anonymous) 0x1b34…9371 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x42ad5f… |
| 10-12 06:55:16 | (anonymous) 0xe6ba…b8ce | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x42ad5f… |
| 10-12 06:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x9869…55f0 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4a4b94… |
| 10-12 06:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xe6ba…b8ce | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfda073… |
| 10-12 06:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xd269…52be | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a4b94… |
| 10-12 06:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a4b94… |
| 10-12 06:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xd269…52be | Down | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfda073… |
| 10-12 06:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc0b84c… |
| 10-12 06:55:13 | Winding-Leash 0x2c17…b888 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x13b2e7… |
| 10-12 06:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x1b34…9371 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfda073… |
| 10-12 06:55:13 | Winding-Leash 0x2c17…b888 | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xc0b84c… |
| 10-12 06:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x13b2e7… |
| 10-12 06:55:11 | Winding-Leash 0x2c17…b888 | Up | BUY | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0x665837… |
| 10-12 06:55:11 | (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | BUY | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x665837… |
| 10-12 06:55:11 | (anonymous) 0xe6ba…b8ce | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd14d41… |
| 10-12 06:55:11 | (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd14d41… |
| 10-12 06:55:10 | (anonymous) 0xe6ba…b8ce | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4aedb2… |
| 10-12 06:55:10 | (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x858cfc… |
| 10-12 06:55:10 | (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4aedb2… |