Realized P&L
-$31.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$858
Hit rate
63.1%
Resolved
3,572
Trades
10,576
lifetime
Volume
$906.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$8.92K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-16
last 10-17 16:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
73% 44% -$18,931
Crypto
15% 33% -$15,608
Sports
11% 45% +$3,565
Politics
1% 50% -$144
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 574 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,742 $2,407 98¢ $3.7K +$1,272 10-02 07:13
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +900 $863 97¢ $874 +$11 10-13 17:05
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +700 $652 100¢ $699 +$47 10-15 15:13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +560 $330 99¢ $557 +$226 10-02 07:13
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +538 $384 94¢ $508 +$124 10-15 20:19
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +595 $480 74¢ $443 -$37 10-16 12:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +294 $273 99¢ $292 +$19 10-15 13:54
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +1,064 $191 26¢ $271 +$81 10-15 12:15
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Over +449 $121 38¢ $171 +$50 10-10 13:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +151 $96 100¢ $151 +$55 10-12 01:01
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +160 $125 90¢ $143 +$18 10-17 16:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +182 $95 70¢ $128 +$34 10-10 21:09
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +290 $88 44¢ $126 +$39 10-15 07:24
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +222 $122 54¢ $120 -$2 10-07 11:21
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +343 $51 28¢ $96 +$45 10-14 12:30
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +335 $113 28¢ $92 -$21 10-16 04:41
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +100 $58 72¢ $72 +$15 10-15 12:31
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +88 $69 72¢ $63 -$6 10-16 05:41
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +900 $72 7¢ $63 -$9 10-17 08:30
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +597 $110 11¢ $63 -$47 10-16 10:53
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +53 $17 100¢ $53 +$36 10-16 11:21
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +438 $11 8¢ $37 +$26 10-16 09:31
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +227 $35 16¢ $35 +$1 10-12 14:05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +2,035 $683 2¢ $35 -$649 10-17 13:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +116 $27 30¢ $34 +$8 10-14 12:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? Yes +109 $24 30¢ $32 +$9 10-16 07:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +92 $17 26¢ $23 +$7 10-14 18:07
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +387 $80 6¢ $21 -$58 10-13 20:30
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +685 $456 3¢ $21 -$435 10-16 21:37
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +384 $15 5¢ $17 +$3 10-16 02:51