Menacing-Geyser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

85.2%

Resolved

491

Trades

862

lifetime

Volume

$5.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-27 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

62% 44% -$29

Crypto

38% 89% -$4

Politics

0% 50% +$3

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	—	+7	$2	18¢	$1	-$1	10-27 11:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cricipl che del 2026 04 11	4	$338	404	308	+96	Chennai Super Kings	+$11	04-11 16:08
cricpsl que kar 2026 03 27	4	$199	180	151	+29	Karachi Kings	+$0	03-27 15:09
cricipl roy sun 2026 03 28	3	$189	149	149	+0	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$28	03-28 16:52
cricpsl pes raw 2026 03 28	2	$156	159	124	+35	Peshawar Zalmi	+$4	03-28 09:50
crint nzl zaf 2026 03 25	6	$141	145	102	+43	South Africa	+$3	03-25 08:59
cricpsl lah kar 2026 03 29	4	$120	89	89	+0	Karachi Kings	+$10	03-29 17:34
crint lka pak 2026 02 28	3	$97	67	67	+0	Pakistan	+$15	02-28 14:29
crint nam omn 2026 04 04	8	$82	131	127	+3	Oman	+$46	04-04 14:57
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	2	$82	58	57	+1	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$31	04-13 16:25
crint gbr nzl 2026 02 27	2	$81	94	50	+44	England	+$1	02-27 16:02
cricipl kol sun 2026 04 02	8	$77	70	69	+1	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$9	04-02 17:05
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	2	$76	53	52	+1	Chennai Super Kings	+$20	04-14 17:07
cricipl che pun 2026 04 03	5	$67	73	72	+1	Punjab Kings	+$3	04-03 17:11
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs Vanuatu	4	$63	190	100	+90	Italy	+$56	04-28 13:57
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	2	$59	156	0	+156	Chennai Super Kings	-$59	05-05 14:44
cricpsl que raw 2026 04 10	1	$58	105	0	+105	Quetta Gladiators	-$58	04-10 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	3	$57	38	19	+19	Up	+$0	10-26 08:55
cricipl guj kol 2026 04 17	2	$48	32	31	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$10	04-17 16:19
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders	7	$47	48	44	+4	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$3	04-26 18:02
cricipl pun guj 2026 03 31	3	$46	61	31	+30	Punjab Kings	-$14	03-31 14:27
crint mys bhr 2026 03 15	5	$43	120	120	+0	Bahrain	+$20	03-16 08:32
cricipl raj che 2026 03 30	5	$40	49	49	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$0	03-30 16:19
cricipl luc del 2026 04 01	3	$39	26	26	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$11	04-01 17:17
cricpsl que hyd 2026 03 29	3	$38	29	29	+0	Quetta Gladiators	+$5	03-29 12:22
Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs St. Lucia Kings	2	$37	19	19	+0	Guyana Amazon Warriors	+$2	09-10 02:26
crint nga zaf 2026 03 26	1	$35	116	0	+116	Nigeria	+$82	03-25 10:39
crint nzl zaf 2026 03 28	4	$32	74	54	+20	South Africa	+$19	03-29 05:21
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians	2	$32	22	22	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$11	04-20 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET	2	$31	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	10-18 15:12
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans	4	$31	23	23	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$7	04-24 17:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x19fab0…
10-27 11:34:23	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6c7be7…
10-27 11:21:50	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdccb17…
10-27 10:01:20	Cricket World Cup League 2: Netherlands vs Oman	Oman	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd9c7ef…
10-27 09:55:09	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xbea678…
10-27 09:25:33	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x61fb38…
10-27 09:11:38	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc394c9…
10-27 08:39:41	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x7e66ff…
10-27 07:32:32	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x5ebd92…
10-27 07:09:23	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe452f0…
10-26 16:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1bc8e7…
10-26 14:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x986cbc…
10-26 13:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x8ecb6b…
10-26 08:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4969b2…
10-26 08:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x156d50…
10-26 08:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x9ea5a7…
10-26 04:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4fbb33…
10-25 14:28:00	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	Pakistan	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xf465d2…
10-25 14:21:59	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	Pakistan	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x8b7311…
10-25 14:04:50	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	Pakistan	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x790627…
10-25 11:40:57	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x6526d5…
10-25 09:51:29	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x9046e2…
10-25 08:56:14	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbdfdff…
10-24 15:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcd0fdb…
10-24 14:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9d6bf3…
10-24 11:07:21	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4b3822…
10-24 10:33:27	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x57eba6…
10-24 10:08:33	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1bdb57…
10-24 10:07:47	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x6a0599…
10-24 09:53:18	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x317642…
10-24 09:31:00	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x8b11b4…
10-24 07:31:32	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x4694d5…
10-24 07:23:08	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbed792…
10-24 06:51:42	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5690e9…
10-23 15:01:29	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xf779ce…
10-23 12:17:11	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc81d85…
10-22 15:30:21	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x8880ac…
10-22 15:22:48	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x6521c9…
10-22 12:36:50	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x5dae00…
10-22 12:19:11	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x418daa…
10-22 11:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd1761d…
10-22 11:53:02	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa6a150…
10-22 09:07:08	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xecfdaf…
10-22 07:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd76338…
10-22 07:31:23	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4ec709…
10-22 06:58:02	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x165cf7…
10-22 03:41:12	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xebbdb5…
10-21 14:58:35	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Afghanistan vs Bangladesh	Bangladesh	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x390a7a…
10-21 14:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x118a0d…
10-21 13:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0x1df016…
10-21 11:48:30	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Afghanistan vs Bangladesh	Bangladesh	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa3e373…
10-21 08:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xfda2ac…
10-20 15:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdab4e3…
10-20 14:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x2dba9f…
10-20 13:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x508435…
10-20 12:18:56	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	Pakistan	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0xa8ed6b…
10-20 09:23:09	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	Pakistan	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6d7984…
10-19 15:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x875ff7…
10-19 14:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4d7514…
10-19 13:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x684660…
10-19 13:45:57	Afghanistan U19 vs Bangladesh U19 Youth ODIs in Oman: Afghanistan Under-19s vs Bangladesh Under-19s	Bangladesh Under-19s	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xfd333d…
10-19 11:53:36	Cricket World Cup League 2: Oman vs Nepal	Oman	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x1bf756…
10-19 11:14:18	Afghanistan U19 vs Bangladesh U19 Youth ODIs in Oman: Afghanistan Under-19s vs Bangladesh Under-19s	Bangladesh Under-19s	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x296b31…
10-19 10:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xacc820…
10-19 04:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3c0d01…
10-18 18:30:08	World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs West Indies Champions	West Indies Champions	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x395d15…
10-18 17:50:12	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x16c6d9…
10-18 15:14:11	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2ce85c…
10-18 15:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x651aeb…
10-18 14:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x810360…
10-18 13:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf6494e…
10-18 10:49:33	New Zealand Women Tour of Australia T20s: Australia Women vs New Zealand Women	Australia Women	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0f915a…
10-17 15:56:59	bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe7e5b7…
10-16 17:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe03f13…
10-16 15:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x5bb9b3…
10-16 14:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x84f9a5…
10-16 12:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x56d11e…
10-16 12:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc68440…
10-16 12:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3525de…
10-16 11:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbab96c…
10-16 11:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9404c4…
10-16 03:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdf0767…
10-15 16:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x11fc89…
10-15 15:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa84150…
10-15 15:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc51ccb…
10-15 14:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x94382f…
10-15 14:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc2695b…
10-15 13:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x337095…
10-15 12:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf7e45a…
10-15 10:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc35d37…
10-15 10:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x630584…
10-15 09:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x52efa1…
10-15 08:55:10	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xea139b…
10-15 07:50:08	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x06b74d…
10-15 07:42:23	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa9c8df…
10-15 06:57:32	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9da41d…
10-15 06:45:26	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x35341f…
10-15 05:48:10	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaa72d9…
10-15 05:43:13	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7a7bc8…
10-15 04:49:02	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc2244e…