Realized P&L
-$12.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.90K
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
1,793
Trades
15,402
lifetime
Volume
$327.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$68.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-26 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
52%
26%
-$790
Crypto
32%
29%
-$11,191
Politics
14%
25%
-$1,804
Sports
2%
56%
+$1,194
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk
• peak 1343 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | +20,152 | $17,852 | 100¢ | $20.1K | +$2,280 | 10-26 21:55 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | +11,580 | $8,433 | 100¢ | $11.6K | +$3,135 | 10-26 22:07 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | +9,253 | $8,306 | 94¢ | $8.7K | +$346 | 10-26 16:22 | |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | +6,129 | $4,731 | 80¢ | $4.9K | +$203 | 10-26 13:42 | |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | No | +3,752 | $3,326 | 88¢ | $3.3K | -$5 | 10-26 18:54 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | +2,862 | $2,534 | 92¢ | $2.6K | +$113 | 10-26 10:45 | |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Mbappé | +1,782 | $1,296 | 100¢ | $1.8K | +$477 | 10-26 22:04 | |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | No | +1,515 | $1,257 | 84¢ | $1.3K | +$15 | 10-26 03:32 | |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | +1,376 | $1,157 | 84¢ | $1.2K | -$5 | 10-23 16:38 | |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Team Liquid | — | +1,071 | $840 | 100¢ | $1.1K | +$231 | 10-26 21:34 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | +1,158 | $1,075 | 92¢ | $1.1K | -$15 | 10-26 10:35 | |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? | No | +1,779 | $1,081 | 56¢ | $1.0K | -$76 | 10-26 17:01 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | No | +1,015 | $552 | 96¢ | $970 | +$418 | 10-22 18:45 | |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | No | +4,234 | $1,283 | 20¢ | $826 | -$457 | 10-26 17:06 | |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? | Yes | +1,818 | $677 | 44¢ | $791 | +$113 | 10-25 22:34 | |
| Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? | No | +778 | $738 | 98¢ | $766 | +$27 | 10-26 12:13 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? | No | +693 | $250 | 98¢ | $675 | +$425 | 10-25 17:02 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | Yes | +1,302 | $508 | 50¢ | $644 | +$137 | 10-26 04:53 | |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | Yes | +3,657 | $602 | 16¢ | $585 | -$17 | 10-26 20:08 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | No | +583 | $448 | 98¢ | $571 | +$123 | 10-23 16:45 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +600 | $427 | 94¢ | $567 | +$139 | 10-24 07:27 | |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | Yes | +4,848 | $707 | 12¢ | $558 | -$149 | 10-26 21:34 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? | No | +504 | $453 | 99¢ | $497 | +$44 | 10-20 14:15 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | +7,180 | $1,134 | 6¢ | $467 | -$668 | 10-26 19:26 | |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | Team Liquid | +424 | $232 | 98¢ | $417 | +$185 | 10-26 22:04 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | +743 | $392 | 56¢ | $412 | +$21 | 10-23 02:35 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | No | +800 | $522 | 50¢ | $404 | -$119 | 10-26 01:43 | |
| will bitcoin dip to 75k in october 2026 | No | +463 | $349 | 84¢ | $386 | +$37 | 10-26 01:46 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | No | +362 | $302 | 95¢ | $342 | +$41 | 10-25 20:59 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | +761 | $440 | 44¢ | $339 | -$102 | 10-24 06:10 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 598 | $23.3K | 46,346 | 4,654 | +41,693 | open | — | 10-26 22:06 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 181 | $15.0K | 23,344 | 3,572 | +19,772 | open | — | 10-26 22:07 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | 12 | $11.9K | 6,662 | 6,352 | +310 | open | — | 10-26 10:41 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 79 | $11.8K | 22,376 | 5,943 | +16,434 | open | — | 10-26 19:26 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 17 | $11.0K | 6,643 | 5,496 | +1,148 | open | — | 10-26 10:35 |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | 138 | $10.1K | 16,082 | 5,719 | +10,363 | open | — | 10-26 17:06 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 54 | $5.8K | 7,844 | 1,352 | +6,492 | No | -$929 | 10-25 23:49 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | 45 | $5.5K | 9,461 | 3,735 | +5,726 | open | — | 10-26 10:45 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | 39 | $4.7K | 4,101 | 2,000 | +2,101 | Gen.G | +$1,097 | 10-25 23:42 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 46 | $4.6K | 8,617 | 6 | +8,611 | Yes | -$1,078 | 10-25 23:09 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | 50 | $4.5K | 5,583 | 2,339 | +3,243 | No | +$948 | 10-16 03:04 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | 120 | $4.3K | 10,133 | 3,152 | +6,982 | open | — | 10-26 22:04 |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | 105 | $4.3K | 9,607 | 1,006 | +8,600 | open | — | 10-26 21:34 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26? | 126 | $4.0K | 12,369 | 26 | +12,343 | Down | -$2,624 | 10-26 15:54 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | 22 | $3.9K | 2,229 | 2,050 | +179 | Hanwha Life Esports | +$231 | 10-23 18:56 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | 208 | $3.8K | 12,443 | 318 | +12,124 | Down | +$269 | 10-18 15:55 |
| LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | 29 | $3.7K | 3,222 | 1,568 | +1,654 | T1 | +$289 | 10-26 17:41 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 3 | $3.3K | 1,791 | 1,800 | -9 | open | — | 10-24 17:58 |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? | 18 | $3.0K | 4,567 | 971 | +3,596 | open | — | 10-26 17:01 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner | 17 | $2.9K | 1,876 | 1,455 | +421 | Karmine Corp | +$168 | 10-18 20:19 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | 12 | $2.8K | 2,690 | 2,690 | +0 | open | — | 10-19 11:44 |
| bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026 | 113 | $2.7K | 10,556 | 21 | +10,535 | Up | -$1,349 | 10-17 16:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | 93 | $2.7K | 9,232 | 17 | +9,216 | Up | -$1,588 | 10-02 15:27 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 31 | $2.7K | 1,847 | 1,583 | +263 | Under | +$624 | 10-26 17:47 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | 32 | $2.6K | 3,720 | 0 | +3,720 | G2 Esports | +$294 | 10-24 19:40 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | 18 | $2.5K | 2,337 | 1,047 | +1,290 | Bilibili Gaming | +$248 | 10-26 18:50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23? | 111 | $2.2K | 4,589 | 15 | +4,574 | Down | -$1,655 | 10-23 15:52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | 82 | $2.2K | 11,239 | 10 | +11,229 | Up | +$93 | 10-19 15:37 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | 5 | $2.1K | 1,796 | 1,408 | +388 | open | — | 10-24 01:30 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | 22 | $2.1K | 2,672 | 0 | +2,672 | Top Esports | -$12 | 10-25 18:45 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||