Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

252

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$5.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$42

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-28 02:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

56% 99% -$35

Crypto

26% 97% +$23

Politics

15% 100% +$5

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+22	$22	98¢	$21	$0	10-25 23:56
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+22	$22	97¢	$21	-$1	10-25 23:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa32d96…
10-27 05:58:39	bitcoin above 80200 on october 27 2026 2am et	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad4927…
10-27 01:56:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x69a70f…
10-27 00:59:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0xe13678…
10-27 00:58:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x9c6551…
10-26 23:59:15	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc9ffe7…
10-25 23:56:48	Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3a7d50…
10-25 23:56:14	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x97c8f1…
10-25 03:56:54	Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2247f2…
10-25 00:00:51	Will CentreBC win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03e5e7…
10-25 00:00:38	Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xaf789a…
10-25 00:00:24	Will NDP win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb256ef…
10-24 23:59:36	Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xecda8c…
10-24 08:58:21	bitcoin above 81200 on october 24 2026 5am et	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfb8b18…
10-23 23:58:41	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9dde46…
10-22 19:57:51	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $345 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x309386…
10-22 19:57:30	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa1c8e4…
10-22 19:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa8c09e…
10-21 14:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x88de36…
10-21 05:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0e6df1…
10-21 03:58:00	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x071ee4…
10-20 19:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xca23fa…
10-20 10:56:27	BNB Up or Down - October 20, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x628adb…
10-20 09:57:50	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x5eb447…
10-20 08:56:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2187bb…
10-20 06:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xfbf580…
10-19 03:58:15	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x59275e…
10-18 07:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc69f80…
10-17 23:58:26	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9c7af2…
10-17 03:56:54	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x2e167a…
10-16 19:58:56	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfaa096…
10-16 12:59:07	HYPE Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9964ae…
10-16 06:56:52	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9d4af7…
10-15 23:58:49	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc78c37…
10-15 08:57:04	xrp up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x21f0ca…
10-15 08:56:37	ethereum up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xf755ce…
10-14 23:57:36	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8e400e…
10-14 20:59:57	dxy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe34739…
10-14 00:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2bb0d5…
10-13 19:57:18	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf6d580…
10-13 07:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x802c62…
10-12 20:59:15	BNB Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xcbb62b…
10-12 20:58:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0x84322e…
10-12 06:57:07	BNB Up or Down - October 12, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x996dda…
10-12 06:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x710826…
10-12 00:56:54	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfdc12e…
10-12 00:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x26cd12…
10-10 17:58:52	Will Ségolène Royal win the first round of the French Socialist primary?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xde5288…
10-10 03:58:40	Will Václav Trojan be the next Mayor of Brno?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xf3aba2…
10-09 23:56:34	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb5fe50…
10-09 02:58:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 8, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x9ef29a…
10-08 07:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x9e23f2…
10-07 19:56:46	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7b32de…
10-06 05:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x148f1b…
10-05 17:57:13	Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xee14e9…
10-05 13:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x86d76f…
10-05 12:58:22	BNB Up or Down - October 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x016437…
10-05 08:59:25	xrp up or down october 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2c886c…
10-05 07:56:37	xrp up or down october 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x617958…
10-05 05:59:11	Will ISM Services PMI be at least 59.0 in September?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x259c9b…
10-05 05:58:58	Will ISM Services PMI be between 58.0 and 58.9 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1744b…
10-05 02:57:04	Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0d8a46…
10-04 00:00:55	Will Arvils Ašeradens be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xebe9aa…
10-04 00:00:35	Will Andris Šuvajevs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x172aed…
10-04 00:00:22	Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0e32d7…
10-04 00:00:07	Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa09034…
10-03 23:59:50	Lula participates in debate before first round?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6219ca…
10-03 16:59:09	Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xbf6114…
10-03 16:58:27	Spread: Notre Dame (-1.5)	Notre Dame	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x6e26ba…
10-03 00:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1fa134…
10-01 09:57:02	ethereum up or down october 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xc756db…
10-01 09:56:33	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd3968d…
10-01 05:59:12	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in September?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf3fcc8…
10-01 02:58:42	XRP Up or Down - September 30, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd45ee0…
10-01 00:00:09	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x65bc96…
09-30 13:56:51	M15 Columbia, SC, Main Draw: Completed Match: Teodor Davidov vs Michael Bassem Sobhy	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd84b95…
09-30 04:58:24	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xd1f2ff…
09-29 14:56:20	ethereum up or down september 29 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6be2ec…
09-29 07:56:45	solana up or down september 29 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xcdcd00…
09-29 00:58:38	xrp up or down september 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x26c6b8…
09-28 23:56:50	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8eb59a…
09-28 03:56:32	Will ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xefb79d…
09-27 14:58:41	ethereum up or down september 27 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3aabba…
09-27 06:57:06	solana up or down september 27 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x08b310…
09-26 08:57:27	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2b27de…
09-26 05:56:17	xrp up or down september 26 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x98a5f4…
09-25 23:58:39	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 25?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4167e7…
09-25 06:57:57	Solana Up or Down - September 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x44caf1…
09-25 04:58:08	XRP Up or Down - September 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x73ca02…
09-25 04:57:47	Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x2dffe6…
09-24 05:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	24	94¢	$22	0xcfbb1b…
09-24 00:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x3c75c8…
09-23 08:58:34	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11ba23…
09-23 06:59:26	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x37cfe6…
09-23 06:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa32c02…
09-23 05:01:20	Will PAM get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf6f0ca…
09-21 16:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0x060b2e…
09-21 13:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x49c192…
09-20 12:00:10	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaed324…
09-20 11:59:33	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xda2c2b…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 12PM ET	1	$23	45	+45	Down	-$23	09-21 16:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Down	+$0	09-18 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET	1	$23	26	+26	Up	+$3	09-21 13:58
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	09-20 00:02
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	09-20 00:01
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	09-20 12:00
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	09-20 11:59
bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 6am et	1	$23	23	+23	Down	+$0	09-17 10:59
xrp up or down september 18 2026 12am et	1	$23	23	+23	Down	+$0	09-18 04:58
ethereum up or down september 17 2026 6pm et	1	$23	23	+23	Down	+$0	09-17 22:59
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	09-17 23:59
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in August?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	09-11 03:59
Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$2.60 in August?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	09-11 04:01
Solana Up or Down - September 16, 4PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Up	+$0	09-16 20:56
XRP Up or Down - September 10, 6PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Down	+$0	09-10 22:59
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	09-11 20:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	09-15 23:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	09-15 23:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 1AM ET	1	$22	23	+23	Up	+$0	09-15 05:57
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 11, 2AM ET	1	$22	23	+23	Down	+$0	09-11 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1AM ET	1	$22	22	+22	Up	+$0	09-11 05:57
BNB Up or Down - September 14, 3AM ET	1	$22	23	+23	Up	+$0	09-14 07:57
Solana Up or Down - September 14, 12AM ET	1	$22	23	+23	Up	+$0	09-14 04:56
XRP Up or Down - September 14, 12AM ET	1	$22	22	+22	Up	+$0	09-14 04:57
will mexico gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 0pt0	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	01-29 23:55
hok drg hero 2026 02 01	1	$22	22	+22	Hero JiuJing	+$0	02-01 11:55
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-24 23:55
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by january 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	01-30 23:55
val th1 ulf 2026 01 28 round handicap away 10pt5	1	$22	22	+22	Team Heretics	+$0	01-29 00:55
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-26 23:55