Striped-Alder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

7,330

Trades

54,849

lifetime

Volume

$6.72M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 301 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 91% +$22,493

Other

5% 91% -$281

Politics

1% 64% -$6,439

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 332 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	—	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-28 12:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	300	$52.6K	32,909	29,244	+3,665	No	+$731	03-24 03:47
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	272	$27.1K	20,131	20,131	+0	No	-$5,906	06-03 22:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	229	$23.3K	16,055	16,055	+0	Yes	+$141	06-15 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	72	$13.2K	8,876	4,335	+4,541	Up	+$39	05-10 22:58
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7pm et	111	$11.8K	6,612	5,309	+1,304	Up	+$66	04-21 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	42	$10.6K	7,033	3,577	+3,457	Down	+$27	04-27 05:51
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 8am et	63	$10.2K	8,405	1,965	+6,440	Down	+$101	03-18 12:54
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4am et	84	$9.9K	5,966	3,966	+2,000	Down	+$55	03-27 08:56
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 3am et	66	$9.7K	5,990	3,989	+2,001	Down	+$24	03-19 07:57
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 7pm et	22	$9.7K	5,406	4,400	+1,006	Up	+$52	04-07 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	31	$9.6K	7,513	2,115	+5,398	Down	+$47	04-30 02:56
bitcoin up or down march 11 9am et	69	$9.5K	5,871	3,871	+2,000	Up	+$173	03-11 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	43	$9.5K	7,104	2,540	+4,565	Up	+$107	05-01 04:00
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 9pm et	81	$9.5K	5,229	5,224	+5	Up	+$47	03-17 03:43
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 8pm et	58	$9.4K	5,784	3,776	+2,008	Up	+$90	04-15 00:58
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 6pm et	256	$9.4K	5,447	3,995	+1,452	Up	+$42	04-13 23:02
bitcoin up or down march 14 10pm et	171	$9.3K	5,463	3,957	+1,507	Up	+$52	03-15 02:54
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 10am et	34	$9.3K	6,242	3,233	+3,009	Up	+$96	04-10 14:57
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 10am et	62	$9.1K	5,227	5,227	+0	Down	-$1,085	03-24 14:56
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1am et	45	$9.0K	7,030	1,999	+5,031	Up	+$43	04-22 05:55
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 4am et	141	$8.9K	5,964	3,204	+2,759	Down	+$135	03-16 08:57
bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 4am et	31	$8.9K	7,486	1,486	+6,000	Up	+$111	08-20 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	28	$8.6K	8,142	642	+7,500	Up	+$193	08-25 02:25
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 2am et	37	$8.5K	5,772	2,772	+3,000	Down	+$48	03-23 06:50
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-18 04:00 UTC	20	$8.4K	7,743	699	+7,044	Down	+$52	03-18 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	11	$8.3K	7,451	951	+6,500	Down	+$88	05-03 23:53
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 7am et	10	$8.3K	4,200	4,199	+1	Up	+$82	03-23 11:48
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 10am et	36	$8.3K	5,721	2,720	+3,001	Down	+$110	03-19 14:57
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 8am et	36	$8.3K	5,687	2,691	+2,996	Up	+$97	03-23 12:56
bitcoin up or down march 14 2am et	27	$8.1K	5,200	3,000	+2,200	Down	+$87	03-14 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x86b0af…
10-28 12:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x098802…
10-28 12:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd20cd9…
10-28 12:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb80922…
10-28 12:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5ad770…
10-28 12:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	628	100¢	$628	0x3a4547…
10-28 12:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	372	100¢	$371	0xeb9544…
10-28 12:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x85b115…
10-28 12:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2f6857…
10-28 12:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0x9a545d…
10-28 12:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0x9108f0…
10-28 12:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd39f7b…
10-28 12:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x95db6c…
10-28 12:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa67470…
10-28 12:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x835b66…
10-28 12:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd74de2…
10-28 11:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8ac751…
10-28 11:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x368ee2…
10-28 11:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x96cdf0…
10-28 11:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x5d5dfe…
10-28 11:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xbb339d…
10-28 11:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x0bf639…
10-28 11:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x501cb8…
10-28 11:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xde182c…
10-28 11:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc1401d…
10-28 11:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb47382…
10-28 11:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4ace88…
10-28 11:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x97abc1…
10-28 11:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3d163e…
10-28 11:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe20ebc…
10-28 11:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdb4487…
10-28 11:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3f8dd4…
10-28 10:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb94e82…
10-28 09:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x90f2e1…
10-28 09:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	64	100¢	$63	0x5c3556…
10-28 09:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd8ee23…
10-28 09:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc78d43…
10-28 09:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0xb2eb2c…
10-28 09:24:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0a374e…
10-28 09:23:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb1120b…
10-28 09:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	337	100¢	$337	0x3a0738…
10-28 08:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x8ee6c8…
10-28 08:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe34aed…
10-28 08:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	836	100¢	$835	0x04b1be…
10-28 08:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	164	100¢	$163	0x75936c…
10-28 08:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc4b168…
10-28 08:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa85917…
10-28 08:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xf356ee…
10-28 08:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x185c7b…
10-28 08:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x39b7da…
10-28 08:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x408aa4…
10-28 08:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xaf4446…
10-28 08:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x10d74d…
10-28 08:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc80060…
10-28 08:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd96e94…
10-28 08:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x0e5a9c…
10-28 08:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc6d7ab…
10-28 08:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xcd63dd…
10-28 07:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x31f35d…
10-28 07:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x305f48…
10-28 07:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaaedf3…
10-28 07:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x59ca28…
10-28 07:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xa0859b…
10-28 07:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x268415…
10-28 07:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xbb52ea…
10-28 07:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xfd6bb4…
10-28 07:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x93ba61…
10-28 07:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4b40ae…
10-28 07:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$2	0xe7de86…
10-28 07:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xfbf3ae…
10-28 07:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x976d5a…
10-28 07:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x54897b…
10-28 07:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x497365…
10-28 07:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9aa802…
10-28 07:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 30?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x3e0c46…
10-28 07:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x169c48…
10-28 07:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 30?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xc94557…
10-28 07:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 30?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x730ddb…
10-28 07:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 30?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xfda93b…
10-28 06:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc3b919…
10-28 06:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x1fdf95…
10-28 06:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xaa15b3…
10-28 06:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc33b40…
10-28 05:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9b1522…
10-28 05:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb7fd72…
10-28 05:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x981124…
10-28 05:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc528c2…
10-28 05:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x015930…
10-28 05:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xba5370…
10-28 04:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c6b1e…
10-28 04:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xed7db7…
10-28 04:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	821	100¢	$820	0x8f3135…
10-28 04:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe504bc…
10-28 04:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0a3e1b…
10-28 04:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x1da5a2…
10-28 04:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	936	100¢	$935	0xb77d64…
10-28 04:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x737ca1…
10-28 03:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xe3d26c…
10-28 03:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x361368…
10-28 03:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5517c5…