Striped-Alder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

7,289

Trades

54,703

lifetime

Volume

$6.70M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 23:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 300 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 91% +$22,456

Other

5% 91% -$281

Politics

1% 64% -$6,439

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 332 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	300	$52.6K	32,909	29,244	+3,665	No	+$731	03-24 03:47
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	272	$27.1K	20,131	20,131	+0	No	-$5,906	06-03 22:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	229	$23.3K	16,055	16,055	+0	Yes	+$141	06-15 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	72	$13.2K	8,876	4,335	+4,541	Up	+$39	05-10 22:58
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7pm et	111	$11.8K	6,612	5,309	+1,304	Up	+$66	04-21 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	42	$10.6K	7,033	3,577	+3,457	Down	+$27	04-27 05:51
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 8am et	63	$10.2K	8,405	1,965	+6,440	Down	+$101	03-18 12:54
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4am et	84	$9.9K	5,966	3,966	+2,000	Down	+$55	03-27 08:56
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 3am et	66	$9.7K	5,990	3,989	+2,001	Down	+$24	03-19 07:57
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 7pm et	22	$9.7K	5,406	4,400	+1,006	Up	+$52	04-07 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	31	$9.6K	7,513	2,115	+5,398	Down	+$47	04-30 02:56
bitcoin up or down march 11 9am et	69	$9.5K	5,871	3,871	+2,000	Up	+$173	03-11 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	43	$9.5K	7,104	2,540	+4,565	Up	+$107	05-01 04:00
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 9pm et	81	$9.5K	5,229	5,224	+5	Up	+$47	03-17 03:43
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 8pm et	58	$9.4K	5,784	3,776	+2,008	Up	+$90	04-15 00:58
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 6pm et	256	$9.4K	5,447	3,995	+1,452	Up	+$42	04-13 23:02
bitcoin up or down march 14 10pm et	171	$9.3K	5,463	3,957	+1,507	Up	+$52	03-15 02:54
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 10am et	34	$9.3K	6,242	3,233	+3,009	Up	+$96	04-10 14:57
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 10am et	62	$9.1K	5,227	5,227	+0	Down	-$1,085	03-24 14:56
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1am et	45	$9.0K	7,030	1,999	+5,031	Up	+$43	04-22 05:55
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 4am et	141	$8.9K	5,964	3,204	+2,759	Down	+$135	03-16 08:57
bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 4am et	31	$8.9K	7,486	1,486	+6,000	Up	+$111	08-20 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	28	$8.6K	8,142	642	+7,500	Up	+$193	08-25 02:25
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 2am et	37	$8.5K	5,772	2,772	+3,000	Down	+$48	03-23 06:50
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-18 04:00 UTC	20	$8.4K	7,743	699	+7,044	Down	+$52	03-18 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	11	$8.3K	7,451	951	+6,500	Down	+$88	05-03 23:53
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 7am et	10	$8.3K	4,200	4,199	+1	Up	+$82	03-23 11:48
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 10am et	36	$8.3K	5,721	2,720	+3,001	Down	+$110	03-19 14:57
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 8am et	36	$8.3K	5,687	2,691	+2,996	Up	+$97	03-23 12:56
bitcoin up or down march 14 2am et	27	$8.1K	5,200	3,000	+2,200	Down	+$87	03-14 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x158665…
10-27 23:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x6dfe31…
10-27 23:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x0f502b…
10-27 23:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x3b2d64…
10-27 23:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe26c62…
10-27 23:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3cf8de…
10-27 23:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdc7ac5…
10-27 23:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf36c27…
10-27 23:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe25bdf…
10-27 23:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xafdf62…
10-27 14:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xa5e6c0…
10-27 14:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa9e1ad…
10-27 14:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8a66be…
10-27 13:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x94d8f6…
10-27 13:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	69	100¢	$68	0xd518bd…
10-27 13:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x422cbe…
10-27 13:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd939e9…
10-27 13:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x28fcfd…
10-27 13:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd7b402…
10-27 13:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2003d0…
10-27 13:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xbcd2c0…
10-27 13:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0x77bf91…
10-27 12:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x2fd06f…
10-27 12:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x09d7df…
10-27 12:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf25adf…
10-27 12:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x70bc18…
10-27 12:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe55871…
10-27 12:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	888	100¢	$887	0xf9e741…
10-27 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xed3a08…
10-27 11:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x785922…
10-27 11:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x04ffad…
10-27 11:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x0dad12…
10-27 11:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xddb62e…
10-27 11:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf6ee4e…
10-27 11:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x61e6b7…
10-27 11:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x356404…
10-27 11:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf2ea88…
10-27 11:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 28?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0x06007a…
10-27 11:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xea432f…
10-27 11:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xb8d371…
10-27 11:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6052e7…
10-27 10:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xad6163…
10-27 10:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x18b79e…
10-27 10:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x934ad8…
10-27 10:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	963	100¢	$962	0xa6e986…
10-27 10:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd66975…
10-27 10:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0xc3d8e5…
10-27 10:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb008a2…
10-27 10:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x026628…
10-27 10:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x58262f…
10-27 10:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xd3591f…
10-27 10:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x94bbe4…
10-27 10:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x785fb7…
10-27 10:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8b735…
10-27 10:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x50c1fd…
10-27 10:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	269	100¢	$269	0x10f09d…
10-27 09:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x505fd0…
10-27 09:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1670e9…
10-27 09:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd6036a…
10-27 09:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6806c6…
10-27 09:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x61601b…
10-27 09:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcd49c1…
10-27 08:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x24d6be…
10-27 08:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x96146b…
10-27 08:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdae965…
10-27 08:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2dffa6…
10-27 08:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1c50eb…
10-27 08:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xbafe35…
10-27 08:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x67e864…
10-27 08:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62dca6…
10-27 08:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0xefc0c0…
10-27 07:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x18ded9…
10-27 07:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x44066a…
10-27 07:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x659f0e…
10-27 07:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfda16b…
10-27 07:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb3888…
10-27 07:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ce6fd…
10-27 07:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80ea80…
10-27 07:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x71014d…
10-27 07:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6904ed…
10-27 07:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x554430…
10-27 07:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a6573…
10-27 07:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf7a2bc…
10-27 07:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0x710125…
10-27 07:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc11206…
10-27 07:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3e32b1…
10-27 07:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xeb890b…
10-27 07:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x14e1b4…
10-27 07:18:29	highest temperature in guangzhou on october 29 2026 34c	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x6bf948…
10-27 07:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x212246…
10-27 07:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x11f83f…
10-27 07:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x8eceff…
10-27 06:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x941afc…
10-27 06:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcfa53a…
10-27 06:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x092317…
10-27 06:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa56f52…
10-27 06:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xad529b…
10-27 06:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x57ae59…
10-27 05:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb55a3c…
10-27 05:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x545a8e…