Striped-Alder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

8,104

Trades

57,575

lifetime

Volume

$7.15M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$116

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-14 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 318 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 91% +$22,973

Other

4% 90% -$469

Politics

1% 64% -$6,439

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 326 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8AM ET	Down		+116	$115	100¢	$116	+$1	11-14 13:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	300	$52.6K	32,909	29,244	+3,665	No	+$731	03-24 03:47
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	272	$27.1K	20,131	20,131	+0	No	-$5,906	06-03 22:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	229	$23.3K	16,055	16,055	+0	Yes	+$141	06-15 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	72	$13.2K	8,876	4,335	+4,541	Up	+$39	05-10 22:58
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7pm et	111	$11.8K	6,612	5,309	+1,304	Up	+$66	04-21 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	42	$10.6K	7,033	3,577	+3,457	Down	+$27	04-27 05:51
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 8am et	63	$10.2K	8,405	1,965	+6,440	Down	+$101	03-18 12:54
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4am et	84	$9.9K	5,966	3,966	+2,000	Down	+$55	03-27 08:56
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 3am et	66	$9.7K	5,990	3,989	+2,001	Down	+$24	03-19 07:57
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 7pm et	22	$9.7K	5,406	4,400	+1,006	Up	+$52	04-07 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	31	$9.6K	7,513	2,115	+5,398	Down	+$47	04-30 02:56
bitcoin up or down march 11 9am et	69	$9.5K	5,871	3,871	+2,000	Up	+$173	03-11 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	43	$9.5K	7,104	2,540	+4,565	Up	+$107	05-01 04:00
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 9pm et	81	$9.5K	5,229	5,224	+5	Up	+$47	03-17 03:43
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 8pm et	58	$9.4K	5,784	3,776	+2,008	Up	+$90	04-15 00:58
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 6pm et	256	$9.4K	5,447	3,995	+1,452	Up	+$42	04-13 23:02
bitcoin up or down march 14 10pm et	171	$9.3K	5,463	3,957	+1,507	Up	+$52	03-15 02:54
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 10am et	34	$9.3K	6,242	3,233	+3,009	Up	+$96	04-10 14:57
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 10am et	62	$9.1K	5,227	5,227	+0	Down	-$1,085	03-24 14:56
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1am et	45	$9.0K	7,030	1,999	+5,031	Up	+$43	04-22 05:55
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 4am et	141	$8.9K	5,964	3,204	+2,759	Down	+$135	03-16 08:57
bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 4am et	31	$8.9K	7,486	1,486	+6,000	Up	+$111	08-20 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	28	$8.6K	8,142	642	+7,500	Up	+$193	08-25 02:25
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 2am et	37	$8.5K	5,772	2,772	+3,000	Down	+$48	03-23 06:50
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-18 04:00 UTC	20	$8.4K	7,743	699	+7,044	Down	+$52	03-18 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	11	$8.3K	7,451	951	+6,500	Down	+$88	05-03 23:53
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 7am et	10	$8.3K	4,200	4,199	+1	Up	+$82	03-23 11:48
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 10am et	36	$8.3K	5,721	2,720	+3,001	Down	+$110	03-19 14:57
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 8am et	36	$8.3K	5,687	2,691	+2,996	Up	+$97	03-23 12:56
bitcoin up or down march 14 2am et	27	$8.1K	5,200	3,000	+2,200	Down	+$87	03-14 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 13:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	86	99¢	$86	0x308b9a…
11-14 13:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xad230f…
11-14 13:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3825a1…
11-14 13:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x7f45cf…
11-14 13:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x06553a…
11-14 13:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x99aa7c…
11-14 13:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xfa1d57…
11-14 13:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6307ab…
11-14 13:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x42ffc6…
11-14 09:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2f26d1…
11-14 09:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xaecd80…
11-14 09:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x612ece…
11-14 09:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf4ec5b…
11-14 09:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2466fa…
11-14 09:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x019488…
11-14 09:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7dc018…
11-14 09:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x34a5b6…
11-14 09:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e830b…
11-14 09:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	316	100¢	$316	0x6367e0…
11-14 08:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0bdbf3…
11-14 08:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd5c525…
11-14 08:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x13c5ac…
11-14 08:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf7b910…
11-14 08:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x59659f…
11-14 08:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7122ba…
11-14 08:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1a8361…
11-14 08:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc1a460…
11-14 07:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x910ddb…
11-14 07:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x225e5c…
11-14 07:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0x9f6e42…
11-14 07:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x67ccba…
11-14 07:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x852396…
11-14 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xae76c2…
11-14 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x285dbe…
11-14 07:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfdebcd…
11-14 07:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x20f438…
11-14 07:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe5bcb7…
11-14 07:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2d679d…
11-14 07:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcee26e…
11-14 07:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	100¢	$47	0x663c1b…
11-14 07:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x532142…
11-14 07:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x33361a…
11-14 07:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x495d05…
11-14 07:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x993f9a…
11-14 07:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x928014…
11-14 06:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x32a642…
11-14 06:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc03cd3…
11-14 06:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa75c7a…
11-14 06:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0eb77c…
11-14 06:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x941a8e…
11-14 06:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf54b4b…
11-14 05:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	701	100¢	$699	0x234092…
11-14 05:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	299	100¢	$299	0xf27a0b…
11-14 05:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x830fd5…
11-14 05:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfce16b…
11-14 05:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe69b97…
11-14 05:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0d61fd…
11-14 05:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x787e17…
11-14 04:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe0eaa9…
11-14 04:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf5c142…
11-14 04:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xc2eba1…
11-14 04:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa28d28…
11-14 04:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xe9625b…
11-14 04:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x42c32e…
11-14 04:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x69ecb9…
11-14 04:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x8f0c98…
11-14 04:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x127c9e…
11-14 04:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2962a7…
11-14 04:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x26370a…
11-14 04:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x43179b…
11-14 04:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xcbe145…
11-14 04:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x284db2…
11-14 04:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0xcb8a98…
11-14 03:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x381584…
11-14 03:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x489918…
11-14 03:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xc0c41a…
11-14 03:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x37a573…
11-14 03:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x83d39e…
11-14 03:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x68751a…
11-14 03:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xa07e58…
11-14 03:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xbe42ee…
11-14 03:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x62ffb0…
11-14 03:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x5197b4…
11-14 03:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x90b1e5…
11-14 03:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x64b762…
11-14 03:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8aa131…
11-14 03:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x76dc3b…
11-14 03:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x09d0af…
11-14 03:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xccb8cf…
11-14 03:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2992af…
11-14 03:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf2afc9…
11-14 02:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	826	100¢	$825	0x258e1e…
11-14 02:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	948	100¢	$947	0x884563…
11-14 02:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd69e9f…
11-14 02:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x09513d…
11-14 02:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa00012…
11-14 02:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf90705…
11-14 02:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	510	100¢	$509	0x3dc386…
11-14 02:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9fe953…
11-14 02:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd835b3…