Striped-Alder — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

-$37

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved (30d)

1,198

Trades (30d)

5,027

56,353 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$750.7K

$6.96M lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$327

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 311 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 91% +$22,574

Other

4% 90% -$270

Politics

1% 64% -$6,439

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 332 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 7?	No		+120	$119	98¢	$118	-$1	11-06 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 7?	No		+111	$109	97¢	$108	-$1	11-06 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 8?	No	—	+77	$74	93¢	$72	-$2	11-07 00:47
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 7?	No		+50	$63	58¢	$29	-$33	11-06 11:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	300	$52.6K	32,909	29,244	+3,665	No	+$731	03-24 03:47
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	272	$27.1K	20,131	20,131	+0	No	-$5,906	06-03 22:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	229	$23.3K	16,055	16,055	+0	Yes	+$141	06-15 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	72	$13.2K	8,876	4,335	+4,541	Up	+$39	05-10 22:58
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7pm et	111	$11.8K	6,612	5,309	+1,304	Up	+$66	04-21 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	42	$10.6K	7,033	3,577	+3,457	Down	+$27	04-27 05:51
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 8am et	63	$10.2K	8,405	1,965	+6,440	Down	+$101	03-18 12:54
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4am et	84	$9.9K	5,966	3,966	+2,000	Down	+$55	03-27 08:56
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 3am et	66	$9.7K	5,990	3,989	+2,001	Down	+$24	03-19 07:57
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 7pm et	22	$9.7K	5,406	4,400	+1,006	Up	+$52	04-07 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	31	$9.6K	7,513	2,115	+5,398	Down	+$47	04-30 02:56
bitcoin up or down march 11 9am et	69	$9.5K	5,871	3,871	+2,000	Up	+$173	03-11 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	43	$9.5K	7,104	2,540	+4,565	Up	+$107	05-01 04:00
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 9pm et	81	$9.5K	5,229	5,224	+5	Up	+$47	03-17 03:43
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 8pm et	58	$9.4K	5,784	3,776	+2,008	Up	+$90	04-15 00:58
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 6pm et	256	$9.4K	5,447	3,995	+1,452	Up	+$42	04-13 23:02
bitcoin up or down march 14 10pm et	171	$9.3K	5,463	3,957	+1,507	Up	+$52	03-15 02:54
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 10am et	34	$9.3K	6,242	3,233	+3,009	Up	+$96	04-10 14:57
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 10am et	62	$9.1K	5,227	5,227	+0	Down	-$1,085	03-24 14:56
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1am et	45	$9.0K	7,030	1,999	+5,031	Up	+$43	04-22 05:55
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 4am et	141	$8.9K	5,964	3,204	+2,759	Down	+$135	03-16 08:57
bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 4am et	31	$8.9K	7,486	1,486	+6,000	Up	+$111	08-20 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	28	$8.6K	8,142	642	+7,500	Up	+$193	08-25 02:25
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 2am et	37	$8.5K	5,772	2,772	+3,000	Down	+$48	03-23 06:50
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-18 04:00 UTC	20	$8.4K	7,743	699	+7,044	Down	+$52	03-18 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	11	$8.3K	7,451	951	+6,500	Down	+$88	05-03 23:53
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 7am et	10	$8.3K	4,200	4,199	+1	Up	+$82	03-23 11:48
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 10am et	36	$8.3K	5,721	2,720	+3,001	Down	+$110	03-19 14:57
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 8am et	36	$8.3K	5,687	2,691	+2,996	Up	+$97	03-23 12:56
bitcoin up or down march 14 2am et	27	$8.1K	5,200	3,000	+2,200	Down	+$87	03-14 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 01:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4a3b08…
11-07 01:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde256d…
11-07 01:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	528	100¢	$528	0x01333c…
11-07 01:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0x293a20…
11-07 01:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf4a3c8…
11-07 01:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xce5bed…
11-07 01:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	349	100¢	$349	0x11a2ea…
11-07 00:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf50056…
11-07 00:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf816ef…
11-07 00:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0204ca…
11-07 00:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4874e4…
11-07 00:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 8?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x39f7fa…
11-07 00:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3acde7…
11-07 00:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 8?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xb0bcf3…
11-07 00:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 8?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x3e8c50…
11-07 00:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6d1497…
11-07 00:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 8?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1aff17…
11-07 00:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 8?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x302d4b…
11-07 00:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 8?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x513d52…
11-07 00:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 8?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xd45d5d…
11-07 00:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9ec6b4…
11-07 00:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8d1e86…
11-07 00:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 8?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd48ba0…
11-07 00:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 8?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb62c05…
11-07 00:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 8?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbfd3e4…
11-06 23:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x937a4a…
11-06 23:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0adc1e…
11-06 23:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9fa096…
11-06 23:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4633ca…
11-06 23:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5d0f2a…
11-06 14:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xbebc1b…
11-06 14:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x93995b…
11-06 14:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x681c92…
11-06 14:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x8a0a59…
11-06 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0b529d…
11-06 14:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x027036…
11-06 14:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd901d0…
11-06 14:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	844	100¢	$843	0x132ec7…
11-06 13:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	157	100¢	$156	0x3bd654…
11-06 13:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf104e2…
11-06 13:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa8ebda…
11-06 13:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xcdc72a…
11-06 13:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xca84ad…
11-06 13:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x2bbab4…
11-06 13:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0df0bb…
11-06 13:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0xa86df8…
11-06 13:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8f1a9f…
11-06 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0xed1510…
11-06 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xb2f7c4…
11-06 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x4db7e9…
11-06 13:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x5e6b18…
11-06 13:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0xe4497f…
11-06 13:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x4ee03b…
11-06 13:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x59738a…
11-06 13:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xae0241…
11-06 13:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x77aa59…
11-06 13:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x162c27…
11-06 13:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xcb5e59…
11-06 13:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x460d5a…
11-06 13:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1971e7…
11-06 13:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x2020ff…
11-06 13:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15b4d7…
11-06 13:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f5992…
11-06 13:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c5c82…
11-06 13:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xab9b1b…
11-06 13:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xb35b3a…
11-06 12:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0ef89e…
11-06 12:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x560d2b…
11-06 12:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2efd39…
11-06 12:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x4643a5…
11-06 12:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xbb01f7…
11-06 12:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x5b199a…
11-06 12:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4715e5…
11-06 12:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x9530d3…
11-06 12:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x92367b…
11-06 12:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x112257…
11-06 12:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9e34bf…
11-06 12:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x08f14d…
11-06 12:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc9c46f…
11-06 12:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x704677…
11-06 12:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	730	100¢	$730	0xfde4d0…
11-06 12:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x686545…
11-06 12:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x31e93a…
11-06 12:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa26470…
11-06 12:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd87ea5…
11-06 12:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0e9503…
11-06 12:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1f207c…
11-06 12:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	188	100¢	$187	0xd6007e…
11-06 12:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0xcd0180…
11-06 12:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x4716ab…
11-06 12:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x8f4370…
11-06 12:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5ee0c3…
11-06 12:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xed76a2…
11-06 12:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5dc958…
11-06 11:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x34a4f8…
11-06 11:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xaa6f45…
11-06 11:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe5d539…
11-06 11:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6f112e…
11-06 11:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 7?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x69fabc…
11-06 11:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3d43ad…