Intelligent-Flair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$968

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.2%

Resolved

2,968

Trades

8,732

lifetime

Volume

$119.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-28 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 246 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 21% -$534

Other

23% 26% +$356

Sports

15% 10% -$80

Politics

14% 8% -$616

Tech

2% 0% -$40

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 19	4	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$3	03-18 18:14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	5	$3.8K	3,300	3,300	+0	No	-$332	05-24 02:33
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	4	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$30	06-11 12:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	4	$3.2K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	-$50	04-28 12:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$2.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$93	05-21 11:02
nba mia tor 2026 04 07	3	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Raptors	+$0	04-07 04:43
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	03-27 02:32
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	03-19 08:20
bitcoin above 66k on march 21	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	03-21 03:11
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	04-16 05:09
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	03-23 13:43
epl che mac 2026 04 12 draw	2	$1.9K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	-$13	04-12 15:41
nba min orl 2026 04 08	2	$1.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	Magic	-$11	04-08 14:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.9K	1,601	1,501	+100	No	-$26	05-31 14:44
nba tor nyk 2026 04 10	3	$1.8K	2,800	2,800	+0	Knicks	-$55	04-10 02:58
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.7K	950	950	+0	No	-$1	05-17 05:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$3	05-24 03:10
bitcoin above 62k on march 25	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Yes	-$1	03-24 15:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	06-09 12:43
bitcoin above 62k on april 6	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$0	04-05 17:58
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	6	$1.1K	900	900	+0	Up	-$15	05-06 10:58
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	-$1	05-14 09:09
cricipl guj raj 2026 04 04	59	$1.0K	1,053	1,020	+34	Rajasthan Royals	-$21	04-04 17:52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	5	$968	800	800	+0	Up	-$56	05-15 02:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	2	$966	593	593	+0	No	-$34	05-29 16:50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$910	1,000	1,000	+0	Team Falcons	-$10	05-15 16:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	2	$879	440	440	+0	Yes	$0	05-15 10:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	2	$799	400	400	+0	Yes	-$1	05-16 09:35
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	4	$699	659	659	+0	No	-$1	03-20 14:50
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	12	$695	833	833	+0	Yes	+$5	03-27 04:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x03a19e…
10-28 17:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf2670b…
10-28 17:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x4d8ddf…
10-28 17:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x4b3b40…
10-28 17:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf84350…
10-28 17:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xa829ad…
10-28 17:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xa41222…
10-28 17:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x458dbf…
10-28 17:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0x3cbe58…
10-28 16:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xfc4deb…
10-28 16:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5772a0…
10-28 16:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xdc9d68…
10-28 16:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x8a8a39…
10-28 16:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x488f8e…
10-28 16:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x402088…
10-28 16:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x3a6c58…
10-28 15:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcdd2ef…
10-28 14:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xf18dad…
10-28 14:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xb1fb1d…
10-28 14:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x455998…
10-28 14:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xfaa1b7…
10-28 14:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xe11e7a…
10-28 14:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xa1cd6e…
10-28 14:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x6138de…
10-28 14:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x529f41…
10-28 14:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x17b3fe…
10-28 14:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe05c23…
10-28 14:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x841005…
10-28 14:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x56dcaf…
10-28 14:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x0f62af…
10-28 14:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf2f83c…
10-28 14:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xa9d769…
10-28 14:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x92fb32…
10-28 14:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x0f4070…
10-28 14:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xfe17c2…
10-28 14:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x7f8b8d…
10-28 14:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4e6635…
10-28 08:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xeb7662…
10-27 16:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9d90f9…
10-27 16:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc1a9ad…
10-27 16:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xc0e8c4…
10-27 16:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x0bbb2e…
10-27 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0x76b863…
10-27 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x15acc5…
10-27 15:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x983efb…
10-27 15:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0xe55415…
10-27 15:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	75	79¢	$59	0xb45d5d…
10-27 15:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x4e2ffc…
10-27 15:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x14bb12…
10-27 15:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xc08772…
10-27 15:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x899c92…
10-27 15:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe32ba9…
10-27 14:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0e5bb0…
10-27 14:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5ab8dd…
10-27 14:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xde2648…
10-27 14:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	124	2¢	$2	0x0d2e50…
10-27 14:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x6e19df…
10-27 14:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xda39b7…
10-27 14:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfef90e…
10-27 14:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x16bb9a…
10-27 13:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xfcfac3…
10-27 13:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x924311…
10-27 12:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6c0aa4…
10-27 07:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x0e53bb…
10-26 16:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x2d893d…
10-26 16:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb4230f…
10-26 16:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9259e1…
10-26 16:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4d055e…
10-26 16:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x095ccb…
10-26 15:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5deb09…
10-26 15:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0xfcf1ca…
10-26 15:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x5fd00c…
10-26 15:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8b17e7…
10-26 14:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0xe39f35…
10-26 14:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xef8ac6…
10-26 14:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xec194c…
10-26 14:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0xaf28f3…
10-26 14:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x974f24…
10-26 14:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x65cf1f…
10-26 14:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4246a3…
10-26 14:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3c7b7a…
10-26 14:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x16137e…
10-26 13:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8f4b4b…
10-26 13:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa0676b…
10-26 13:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x86a687…
10-26 13:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x74f533…
10-26 13:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x6d333f…
10-26 13:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x58cefb…
10-26 13:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x32b8f1…
10-26 13:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xfaa30c…
10-26 13:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xab3fd2…
10-26 13:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x68c763…
10-26 13:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x19db4d…
10-26 13:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd0fc12…
10-26 13:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x741124…
10-26 13:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x23f0c6…
10-26 13:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x091bc9…
10-26 13:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x62286e…
10-26 13:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x1ed756…
10-26 13:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x9b6e59…