Intelligent-Flair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

24.4%

Resolved

3,031

Trades

8,986

lifetime

Volume

$120.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-05 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 252 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 21% -$622

Other

23% 26% +$362

Sports

15% 10% -$80

Politics

14% 8% -$616

Tech

2% 0% -$40

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-06?	No	—	+24	$5	20¢	$5	$0	11-05 22:07
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?	No		+25	$5	20¢	$5	$0	11-05 22:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 19	4	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$3	03-18 18:14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	5	$3.8K	3,300	3,300	+0	No	-$332	05-24 02:33
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	4	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$30	06-11 12:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	4	$3.2K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	-$50	04-28 12:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$2.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$93	05-21 11:02
nba mia tor 2026 04 07	3	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Raptors	+$0	04-07 04:43
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	03-27 02:32
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	03-19 08:20
bitcoin above 66k on march 21	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	03-21 03:11
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	04-16 05:09
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	03-23 13:43
epl che mac 2026 04 12 draw	2	$1.9K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	-$13	04-12 15:41
nba min orl 2026 04 08	2	$1.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	Magic	-$11	04-08 14:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.9K	1,601	1,501	+100	No	-$26	05-31 14:44
nba tor nyk 2026 04 10	3	$1.8K	2,800	2,800	+0	Knicks	-$55	04-10 02:58
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.7K	950	950	+0	No	-$1	05-17 05:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$3	05-24 03:10
bitcoin above 62k on march 25	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Yes	-$1	03-24 15:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	06-09 12:43
bitcoin above 62k on april 6	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$0	04-05 17:58
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	6	$1.1K	900	900	+0	Up	-$15	05-06 10:58
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	-$1	05-14 09:09
cricipl guj raj 2026 04 04	59	$1.0K	1,053	1,020	+34	Rajasthan Royals	-$21	04-04 17:52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	5	$968	800	800	+0	Up	-$56	05-15 02:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	2	$966	593	593	+0	No	-$34	05-29 16:50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$910	1,000	1,000	+0	Team Falcons	-$10	05-15 16:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	2	$879	440	440	+0	Yes	$0	05-15 10:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	2	$799	400	400	+0	Yes	-$1	05-16 09:35
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	4	$699	659	659	+0	No	-$1	03-20 14:50
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	12	$695	833	833	+0	Yes	+$5	03-27 04:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 22:07:31	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2ef066…
11-05 22:07:18	Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc8d182…
11-05 18:36:01	RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1bf51d…
11-05 18:35:31	Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x947d93…
11-05 17:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xef9c19…
11-05 16:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x688c91…
11-05 15:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x40827d…
11-05 15:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	83	3¢	$2	0x4cbbe4…
11-05 15:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xef2a36…
11-05 15:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc5949b…
11-05 15:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf2789f…
11-05 15:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x4ebe4b…
11-05 15:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x28ba82…
11-05 15:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x60a3c8…
11-05 15:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x055686…
11-05 14:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x87ec4a…
11-05 13:02:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$4	0x512f67…
11-04 15:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x150e62…
11-04 15:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	87	2¢	$2	0xcb2073…
11-04 15:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xa6937a…
11-04 14:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x80806f…
11-04 14:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9647f7…
11-04 14:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x415991…
11-04 14:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x081390…
11-04 14:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x075683…
11-04 14:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0628b4…
11-04 14:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0xf84e12…
11-04 14:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xeb27db…
11-04 14:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0x93c940…
11-04 14:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x8031bb…
11-04 14:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x7f33dc…
11-04 14:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0xab3ccf…
11-04 14:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xc1e306…
11-04 14:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x16840c…
11-04 14:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x0648fe…
11-04 13:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa0f701…
11-04 12:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcf7132…
11-04 12:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2aefa1…
11-04 07:26:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	No	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0x4e46e2…
11-04 07:13:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	57	6¢	$3	0xb0435b…
11-04 07:13:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x7e8c1a…
11-04 03:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x813e0e…
11-03 17:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x398dd7…
11-03 17:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa0d1d3…
11-03 17:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0dbc50…
11-03 17:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb2b68a…
11-03 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xf83963…
11-03 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xcca271…
11-03 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xc03e58…
11-03 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xba8c0b…
11-03 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xac4159…
11-03 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x695da9…
11-03 17:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0e2d38…
11-03 17:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x67e300…
11-03 17:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x9f7a46…
11-03 17:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x1abddc…
11-03 17:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf88495…
11-03 17:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x4d1e6b…
11-03 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xdbad43…
11-03 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xc8be6f…
11-03 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xb2aea6…
11-03 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x5a69e4…
11-03 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4a1d58…
11-03 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x449bc9…
11-03 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x3600ae…
11-03 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x358cbb…
11-03 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x32f4c9…
11-03 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x241c42…
11-03 16:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xe329f3…
11-03 16:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xceda5d…
11-03 16:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xc73c6f…
11-03 16:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb15439…
11-03 16:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x9bc6b5…
11-03 16:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x8ef59d…
11-03 16:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x773513…
11-03 16:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5f7e85…
11-03 16:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x463ed4…
11-03 16:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0eed36…
11-03 13:35:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0x606825…
11-03 13:31:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x3bf9b9…
11-03 12:23:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x60632c…
11-03 08:43:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	68	10¢	$7	0xbb7ab2…
11-03 08:42:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x8f679a…
11-03 08:42:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6c4d51…
11-03 08:39:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x860e75…
11-02 17:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xac4791…
11-02 17:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x97f137…
11-02 17:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x6947f8…
11-02 17:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5fc687…
11-02 17:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x3ec3f9…
11-02 17:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x1bd240…
11-02 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xe5b1f6…
11-02 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xc62989…
11-02 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb51995…
11-02 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9d5c2b…
11-02 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x5ba66e…
11-02 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x31f867…
11-02 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x2c1852…
11-02 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x03b87f…
11-02 17:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd9b50d…