Intelligent-Flair — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$424

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved (90d)

953

Trades (90d)

3,821

8,829 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$13.3K

$119.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-02 05:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 249 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 21% -$579

Other

23% 26% +$356

Sports

15% 10% -$80

Politics

14% 8% -$616

Tech

2% 0% -$40

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	—	+33	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-02 05:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 19	4	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$3	03-18 18:14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	5	$3.8K	3,300	3,300	+0	No	-$332	05-24 02:33
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	4	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$30	06-11 12:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	4	$3.2K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	-$50	04-28 12:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$2.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$93	05-21 11:02
nba mia tor 2026 04 07	3	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Raptors	+$0	04-07 04:43
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	03-27 02:32
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	03-19 08:20
bitcoin above 66k on march 21	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	03-21 03:11
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	04-16 05:09
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	03-23 13:43
epl che mac 2026 04 12 draw	2	$1.9K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	-$13	04-12 15:41
nba min orl 2026 04 08	2	$1.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	Magic	-$11	04-08 14:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.9K	1,601	1,501	+100	No	-$26	05-31 14:44
nba tor nyk 2026 04 10	3	$1.8K	2,800	2,800	+0	Knicks	-$55	04-10 02:58
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.7K	950	950	+0	No	-$1	05-17 05:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$3	05-24 03:10
bitcoin above 62k on march 25	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Yes	-$1	03-24 15:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	06-09 12:43
bitcoin above 62k on april 6	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$0	04-05 17:58
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	6	$1.1K	900	900	+0	Up	-$15	05-06 10:58
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	-$1	05-14 09:09
cricipl guj raj 2026 04 04	59	$1.0K	1,053	1,020	+34	Rajasthan Royals	-$21	04-04 17:52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	5	$968	800	800	+0	Up	-$56	05-15 02:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	2	$966	593	593	+0	No	-$34	05-29 16:50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$910	1,000	1,000	+0	Team Falcons	-$10	05-15 16:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	2	$879	440	440	+0	Yes	$0	05-15 10:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	2	$799	400	400	+0	Yes	-$1	05-16 09:35
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	4	$699	659	659	+0	No	-$1	03-20 14:50
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	12	$695	833	833	+0	Yes	+$5	03-27 04:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 05:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x24f0fa…
11-02 03:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa18245…
11-02 03:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4ae7ce…
11-02 03:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb96c00…
11-02 03:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9ac66e…
11-02 03:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6b2693…
10-30 18:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xaedebe…
10-30 14:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdb1257…
10-30 14:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x12eff9…
10-30 14:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xa36f48…
10-30 14:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x6a7560…
10-30 14:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x1736ac…
10-30 14:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xafe8e6…
10-30 14:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x5376d5…
10-30 14:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x084e89…
10-30 14:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xec802e…
10-30 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xfa33be…
10-30 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xeb5c51…
10-30 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0xd3a5d5…
10-30 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xb460e3…
10-30 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xa46483…
10-30 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x8f439e…
10-30 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x7ade8a…
10-30 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x3ae211…
10-30 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x319865…
10-30 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x06759f…
10-30 13:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x786143…
10-30 13:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9d113c…
10-30 13:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x215f56…
10-30 13:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x22d21b…
10-30 13:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x90386f…
10-30 13:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x886737…
10-30 13:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	89	5¢	$4	0x3c1dc8…
10-30 13:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa4d553…
10-30 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x96fe72…
10-30 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x5efd94…
10-30 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x5987a5…
10-30 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x1e265d…
10-30 13:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbb2d99…
10-30 13:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5ced4e…
10-30 13:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xa4d3ed…
10-30 13:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xa450fd…
10-30 13:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x8b8431…
10-30 13:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x888966…
10-30 13:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d27f2…
10-30 13:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x94af62…
10-30 13:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x361170…
10-30 13:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xaeadfb…
10-30 13:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0x93a4e3…
10-30 13:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xf5d31a…
10-30 13:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0xd8519b…
10-30 13:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xd36853…
10-30 13:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xafc613…
10-30 13:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x9facae…
10-30 13:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x52a43b…
10-30 13:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x4ccc07…
10-30 13:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x173443…
10-30 08:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	89	5¢	$4	0x8f0e8a…
10-30 08:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x79d37c…
10-30 08:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb111ce…
10-30 08:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xaba340…
10-30 08:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x737b78…
10-30 08:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x6ba85d…
10-30 08:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5ac4f9…
10-30 08:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x27e015…
10-30 08:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0aed8d…
10-30 06:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x581206…
10-30 06:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xb922d8…
10-30 06:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x7a7f8f…
10-30 06:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x2958c5…
10-30 06:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x124078…
10-30 06:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xbedaaa…
10-30 01:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd421d1…
10-30 01:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xcec704…
10-30 01:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xbf3056…
10-30 01:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbe7b65…
10-30 01:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xb603e9…
10-30 01:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3a8a32…
10-30 01:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x034f9b…
10-30 01:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xd20a92…
10-30 01:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xbd23b3…
10-30 00:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcfb599…
10-30 00:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xe28a2d…
10-30 00:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9cf610…
10-29 17:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x23a022…
10-29 15:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6b85c2…
10-29 15:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2df3f7…
10-29 14:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xd5702a…
10-29 14:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x91fe00…
10-29 14:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x088ddf…
10-29 14:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x5ec520…
10-29 14:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd35a22…
10-29 14:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x9d173a…
10-29 14:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x4751f0…
10-29 14:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x306171…
10-29 14:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x2efd0f…
10-29 14:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xdd7252…
10-29 14:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc46fae…
10-29 14:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x96343a…
10-29 14:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0xf35e58…