Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

352

Trades

355

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-14 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Other

50% 99% -$1

Crypto

33% 98% +$5

Politics

13% 98% -$3

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	+4	$4	99¢	$4	+$0	11-08 04:56
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	No	+4	$4	98¢	$4	$0	11-11 04:57
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+4	$4	96¢	$4	$0	10-28 03:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 08:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0fd7fe…
11-13 21:58:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 Week of November 9 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7a2280…
11-13 13:58:49	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7d862d…
11-12 20:59:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 12?	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbecbdd…
11-11 23:56:48	Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8bd943…
11-11 10:56:54	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xce9174…
11-11 10:56:25	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcc90dc…
11-11 04:57:04	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6dc022…
11-11 01:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x80ff6b…
11-10 16:56:55	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x11a717…
11-10 14:56:43	BNB Up or Down - November 10, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf40bf7…
11-10 12:56:16	HYPE Up or Down - November 10, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa144f3…
11-10 00:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9f868c…
11-09 06:56:40	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x360a82…
11-09 05:57:01	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd39354…
11-08 23:56:46	Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x86af6a…
11-08 04:56:27	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd7e855…
11-06 10:00:54	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x23abf0…
11-06 04:56:58	Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3a85e8…
11-06 03:57:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 5, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa43999…
11-05 16:58:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2039e2…
11-05 10:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3d4a2c…
11-05 02:58:45	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x44dcf5…
11-04 14:56:54	Will ISM Services PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in October?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6dfdff…
11-04 14:56:10	Will ISM Services PMI be below 51.0 in October?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb3f6f5…
11-04 12:57:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa5a4a…
11-02 08:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xabc13e…
11-02 05:57:00	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in October?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x12de3c…
11-01 08:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x69bde7…
10-31 20:59:16	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcf5d55…
10-31 19:58:37	Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe188f2…
10-31 16:59:00	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x26382b…
10-30 23:58:09	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x45fe73…
10-30 19:58:37	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of October?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa8bb98…
10-30 19:56:27	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $350 end of October?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfca5ef…
10-30 10:56:25	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf1f6a4…
10-30 09:56:30	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7a980c…
10-30 06:00:48	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.9%?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x541552…
10-30 01:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf6edae…
10-29 23:58:37	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xdaa17d…
10-29 07:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xcf2655…
10-29 04:56:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd3a1c7…
10-28 05:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfb3c2c…
10-28 03:58:17	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xbff6c4…
10-28 00:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb28272…
10-27 09:59:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8bff1a…
10-26 23:59:32	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8f356d…
10-26 12:58:36	bitcoin above 80800 on october 26 2026 9am et	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x732f9c…
10-26 07:56:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4f786d…
10-26 07:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb8ed3d…
10-25 07:56:45	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7c282e…
10-24 08:56:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x05f9ec…
10-24 03:56:59	Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe2b99d…
10-23 19:57:12	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf6f980…
10-23 19:56:56	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe2480c…
10-23 19:56:23	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $364 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4ab321…
10-23 13:58:59	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in October?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xccedf5…
10-23 12:56:48	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7411b3…
10-23 12:56:17	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x46d8a3…
10-23 06:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xa970a7…
10-23 01:57:26	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbc1842…
10-22 14:57:03	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc09c2c…
10-22 14:56:53	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x077b09…
10-22 03:57:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb90267…
10-21 10:56:44	BNB Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x72484c…
10-21 07:57:23	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7894e9…
10-20 09:56:45	BNB Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x2338ba…
10-20 09:56:12	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x17f258…
10-20 05:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8aae59…
10-19 12:57:08	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0c5812…
10-19 10:57:03	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfbcb64…
10-19 08:56:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbe787b…
10-18 04:01:50	Will Adam Hyatt win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x520d05…
10-18 03:58:39	Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x57fee5…
10-17 07:58:36	Solana Up or Down - October 17, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x65babf…
10-17 07:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3f5a91…
10-16 23:58:54	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6ca00e…
10-16 07:56:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x22f7a4…
10-16 06:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb1b734…
10-15 23:58:16	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x18dad9…
10-14 23:57:18	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb6f5d2…
10-14 20:56:40	dxy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4221ed…
10-14 04:58:41	Solana Up or Down - October 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6adfcf…
10-13 21:56:45	wti closes above 93 on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x64fa94…
10-13 19:57:15	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaf7c72…
10-12 20:58:44	BNB Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa77774…
10-12 06:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf1971d…
10-12 02:56:53	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xef150a…
10-12 02:56:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x123183…
10-11 02:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe61b79…
10-10 03:56:54	Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4ec4eb…
10-09 23:58:34	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf1b5ad…
10-09 19:58:49	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x54c6e9…
10-09 03:56:56	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdc7551…
10-09 01:58:03	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd0b840…
10-08 08:56:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x906174…
10-08 08:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x7ebcb2…
10-08 07:56:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 8, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x63d6ad…
10-08 06:56:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xefa2e9…
10-08 01:56:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa5cc3c…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-27 23:57
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-27 23:55
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be below 2%?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-27 03:55
will apple announce a new product line during the wwdc 2026 keynote	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	06-07 23:57
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	1	$4	4	+4	No	-$4	06-08 05:55
Will fewer than 200 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	06-07 23:55
will elon and doge cut less than 50k employees in 2025	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	01-06 11:55
will jaxon smith njigba break nfl receiving yards record	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	01-03 23:55
Will Oh Joong-ki win the 2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	06-03 05:55
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-19 23:55
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	05-17 00:01
will ciena q2 networking platforms revenue be above 1pt1b	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	06-04 05:55
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 2	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	01-01 23:55
Will VOX (VOX) win fewer than 13 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-17 00:01
NK Osijek leading at halftime?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-23 14:55
spx up or down on april 16 2026	1	$4	4	+4	Up	+$0	04-16 19:55
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Hashiras (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group A	1	$4	4	+4	Esport Academy Copenhagen	+$0	05-23 22:55
Will Czechia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-16 00:01
Will Croatia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-16 00:01
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-15 23:59
Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-16 00:01
Will Belgium be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-16 00:00
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-15 19:57
will the toronto raptors make the nba playoffs 961	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	04-12 20:55
lol zpr pcs 2026 01 29	1	$4	4	+4	Project Conquerors	+$0	01-29 22:55
gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	04-14 23:55
Petrojet SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: Both Teams to Score	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	05-08 14:57
El Gouna SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC: O/U 3.5	1	$4	4	+4	Under	+$0	05-12 14:55
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	05-08 16:01
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-31 19:59