Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?
open
Total volume
$4,970
$388 in 24h
Trades
435
Unique wallets
76
Liquidity
$2,874
End date
2026-11-08
First seen
2026-07-24
last 10-27 03:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-20.4¢
(top1%: 34% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 54% YES on $4.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 27 | $1.3K | $1.4K | $75 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 28 | $852 | $364 | +$487 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $90 | $169 | $80 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $17 | $8 | +$8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 14 | $376 | $739 | $363 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $665 | $47 | +$617 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| Median | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Below median | 6 | $47 | $44 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $70 | $134 | $64 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $126 | $195 | $69 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 27 | $936 | $732 | +$204 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +976 | $276 | $901 | 87 | 10-26 08:29 |
| Eminent-Diesel 0x5452…d448 | No | +741 | $394 | $394 | 1 | 10-06 05:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +575 | $327 | $327 | 19 | 10-27 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | +460 | $251 | $251 | 6 | 10-26 02:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +452 | $165 | $165 | 17 | 10-19 21:33 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +289 | $37 | $37 | 6 | 10-27 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +206 | $155 | $155 | 7 | 10-25 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +203 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 10-18 21:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | Yes | +180 | $149 | $166 | 4 | 10-27 01:19 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | +150 | $67 | $67 | 2 | 10-11 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +138 | $51 | $51 | 8 | 10-20 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +138 | $88 | $88 | 8 | 10-20 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | +138 | $73 | $73 | 3 | 09-19 20:01 |
| Sparkling-Filly 0x32d0…6070 | No | +99 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 09-30 15:29 |
| Thunderous-Clutch 0x3c15…45a0 | No | +90 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 09-19 20:30 |
| Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | Yes | +86 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 10-26 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +58 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-26 22:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +56 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 10-26 22:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +49 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 10-26 02:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +49 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-26 02:52 |
| Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | No | +48 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-27 03:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b34…b202 | Yes | +45 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 07-24 09:29 |
| Impish-Downfall 0xd23f…94a1 | No | +45 | $42 | $42 | 5 | 07-24 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +42 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 10-23 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | +41 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 10-12 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +41 | $18 | $18 | 4 | 10-12 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +39 | $23 | $23 | 6 | 10-11 04:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +39 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-06 05:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b25…7a69 | No | +38 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 09-19 21:09 |
| Thunderous-Clutch 0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | +38 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 10-26 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | +37 | $180 | $485 | 27 | 10-26 10:26 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | +34 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-26 22:41 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +32 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-18 21:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e64…c43e | Yes | +31 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-15 13:33 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-26 22:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | Yes | +30 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 10-12 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | No | +30 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 10-12 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b25…7a69 | Yes | +23 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-20 09:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | +20 | $9 | $42 | 4 | 10-26 02:52 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +20 | $10 | $67 | 5 | 10-12 02:42 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +20 | $14 | $23 | 5 | 10-26 00:51 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-23 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-25 20:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | Yes | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-26 02:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 09-28 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-26 02:52 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 09-13 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-25 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | No | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-26 02:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf12…d3a4 | Yes | +19 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-01 09:50 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +19 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-05 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-15 13:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-15 13:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-15 13:33 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +10 | $18 | $141 | 16 | 10-26 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d4f…000e | Yes | +10 | $5 | $14 | 3 | 10-17 04:21 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +10 | $5 | $11 | 4 | 10-12 13:24 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-12 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-23 04:23 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +4 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 08-16 18:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 03:14:33 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x914333… |
| 10-27 03:14:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x914333… |
| 10-27 03:09:09 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xcd81f5… |
| 10-27 03:09:09 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xcd81f5… |
| 10-27 03:09:09 | Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | No | BUY | 27 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xcd81f5… |
| 10-27 01:19:54 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 160 | 13¢ | $20 | 0xc84159… |
| 10-27 01:19:54 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 87¢ | $140 | 0xc84159… |
| 10-26 23:50:56 | Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xce503a… |
| 10-26 23:50:56 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xce503a… |
| 10-26 22:41:14 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8bb6c4… |
| 10-26 22:41:14 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x8bb6c4… |
| 10-26 22:41:14 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x8bb6c4… |
| 10-26 22:41:12 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | BUY | 34 | 88¢ | $30 | 0x9f7441… |
| 10-26 22:41:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xeb55af… |
| 10-26 22:41:12 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xeb55af… |
| 10-26 22:41:12 | Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | Yes | BUY | 58 | 88¢ | $51 | 0xeb55af… |
| 10-26 22:41:12 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xeb55af… |
| 10-26 22:41:12 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 34 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x9f7441… |
| 10-26 10:26:59 | (anonymous) 0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x0aa47c… |
| 10-26 10:26:59 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | No | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x83597d… |
| 10-26 10:26:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x83597d… |
| 10-26 10:26:59 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x83597d… |
| 10-26 10:26:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x0aa47c… |
| 10-26 10:26:59 | (anonymous) 0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x83597d… |
| 10-26 10:00:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xbb8a82… |
| 10-26 10:00:45 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xbb8a82… |
| 10-26 10:00:45 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 49 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xbb8a82… |
| 10-26 08:29:33 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xf7162c… |
| 10-26 08:29:33 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf7162c… |
| 10-26 08:28:33 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 23 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc5f6b7… |
| 10-26 08:28:33 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 23 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc5f6b7… |
| 10-26 06:05:59 | Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | No | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7a7c16… |
| 10-26 06:05:59 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7a7c16… |
| 10-26 04:30:11 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 28 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x17b539… |
| 10-26 04:30:11 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | No | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x17b539… |
| 10-26 04:30:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x17b539… |
| 10-26 02:52:48 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6bb106… |
| 10-26 02:52:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6bb106… |
| 10-26 02:52:41 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x8bebdb… |
| 10-26 02:52:41 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x8bebdb… |
| 10-26 02:52:41 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6c0c68… |
| 10-26 02:52:41 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 92¢ | $22 | 0x6c0c68… |
| 10-26 02:52:41 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x299db3… |
| 10-26 02:52:41 | (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x299db3… |
| 10-26 02:52:39 | (anonymous) 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | BUY | 144 | 88¢ | $127 | 0x1ecc10… |
| 10-26 02:52:39 | (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | No | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1ecc10… |
| 10-26 02:52:39 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1ecc10… |
| 10-26 02:52:39 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 24 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x1ecc10… |
| 10-26 02:52:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 80 | 12¢ | $10 | 0x1ecc10… |
| 10-26 00:51:42 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7b6bdd… |
| 10-26 00:51:42 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7b6bdd… |
| 10-26 00:51:41 | Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | Yes | BUY | 21 | 84¢ | $18 | 0xd134a3… |
| 10-26 00:51:41 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0xd134a3… |
| 10-26 00:51:41 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd134a3… |
| 10-26 00:42:20 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x785960… |
| 10-26 00:42:20 | Thunderous-Clutch 0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x785960… |
| 10-25 21:21:15 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xec1087… |
| 10-25 21:21:15 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xec1087… |
| 10-25 20:51:36 | (anonymous) 0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xd8457c… |
| 10-25 20:51:36 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xd8457c… |
| 10-25 20:44:33 | Thunderous-Clutch 0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 53¢ | $18 | 0x2c26de… |
| 10-25 20:44:33 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x2c26de… |
| 10-25 20:44:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 53 | 47¢ | $25 | 0x2c26de… |
| 10-25 20:22:44 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 18 | 48¢ | $9 | 0x665025… |
| 10-25 20:22:44 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 18 | 52¢ | $9 | 0x665025… |
| 10-25 20:22:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x8a8ab2… |
| 10-25 20:22:42 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x8a8ab2… |
| 10-25 19:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xe1039e… |
| 10-25 19:44:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xe1039e… |
| 10-25 18:15:57 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x34e8cc… |
| 10-25 18:15:57 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x34e8cc… |
| 10-24 04:18:00 | (anonymous) 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 33¢ | $14 | 0xf8592b… |
| 10-24 04:18:00 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xf8592b… |
| 10-24 04:18:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xf8592b… |
| 10-23 17:07:18 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x5b3990… |
| 10-23 17:07:18 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x5b3990… |
| 10-23 17:07:00 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x787307… |
| 10-23 17:07:00 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x787307… |
| 10-23 14:49:09 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 0 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x3d71c0… |
| 10-23 14:49:09 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 21 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x1302c9… |
| 10-23 14:49:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 41 | 69¢ | $29 | 0x1302c9… |
| 10-23 14:49:09 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x3d71c0… |
| 10-23 14:49:09 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x1302c9… |
| 10-23 12:19:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 22 | 31¢ | $7 | 0xa1505e… |
| 10-23 12:19:45 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 22 | 69¢ | $15 | 0xa1505e… |
| 10-23 04:07:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 34 | 62¢ | $21 | 0x58fe3b… |
| 10-23 04:07:30 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | BUY | 38 | 38¢ | $14 | 0x58fe3b… |
| 10-23 04:07:30 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x58fe3b… |
| 10-23 04:07:29 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | BUY | 36 | 70¢ | $25 | 0x2ca67d… |
| 10-23 04:07:29 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 36 | 30¢ | $11 | 0x2ca67d… |
| 10-20 05:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x8a229d… |
| 10-20 05:28:54 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 13 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x8a229d… |
| 10-20 05:28:53 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 13 | 70¢ | $9 | 0x54ebe5… |
| 10-20 05:28:53 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 13 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x54ebe5… |
| 10-19 21:33:19 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 25 | 30¢ | $8 | 0xc70de0… |
| 10-19 21:33:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 30¢ | $14 | 0xc70de0… |
| 10-18 21:38:15 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 19 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xf6ee83… |
| 10-18 21:38:15 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 29¢ | $29 | 0xf6ee83… |
| 10-18 21:38:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xf6ee83… |
| 10-18 21:24:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 22 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x40decc… |