Realized P&L
+$20.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$989
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
53,587
Trades
204,911
lifetime
Volume
$1.88M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$30.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-27 06:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$12,770
Politics
8% 71% +$3,336
Sports
4% 67% +$3,220
Crypto
1% 59% +$1,807
Tech
1% 64% -$519
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$192
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3011 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,631 $2,621 100¢ $2.6K +$0 10-26 21:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,320 $1,884 94¢ $2.2K +$285 10-27 02:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,930 $1,920 100¢ $1.9K +$3 10-26 17:13
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,620 $1,786 72¢ $1.9K +$87 10-27 05:41
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,805 $1,924 65¢ $1.8K -$91 10-27 03:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,712 $1,698 100¢ $1.7K +$12 10-26 10:26
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,374 $1,209 92¢ $1.3K +$48 10-03 00:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,106 $1,082 97¢ $1.1K -$6 10-26 08:56
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +1,079 $1,024 96¢ $1.0K +$9 10-26 23:57
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +1,069 $1,029 96¢ $1.0K +$1 10-24 07:14
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,499 $703 36¢ $887 +$184 10-26 23:54
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +895 $734 90¢ $808 +$74 10-27 01:21
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +815 $703 97¢ $789 +$86 10-27 04:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,098 $801 68¢ $752 -$49 10-27 03:43
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +970 $804 76¢ $738 -$67 09-14 06:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +740 $727 99¢ $736 +$9 10-25 09:12
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +734 $494 98¢ $719 +$225 10-26 09:50
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +731 $604 98¢ $719 +$115 10-17 03:04
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +844 $675 80¢ $675 +$0 10-01 20:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +853 $627 78¢ $669 +$42 10-25 15:34
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +803 $599 83¢ $667 +$68 10-21 23:29
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +677 $676 97¢ $656 -$20 09-23 04:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +977 $591 66¢ $650 +$59 10-26 20:53
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +888 $673 72¢ $635 -$38 10-26 10:51
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,337 $728 46¢ $610 -$119 10-24 07:10
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,033 $605 29¢ $579 -$25 10-27 05:51
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +561 $560 100¢ $560 $0 10-26 13:58
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +545 $544 100¢ $544 $0 10-22 16:57
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +528 $526 100¢ $528 +$2 09-13 21:52
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +964 $431 55¢ $525 +$95 10-25 22:42