Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0c1…32fb27 Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$2.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.90K
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved (30d)
10,778
Trades (30d)
48,658
233,100 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$476.5K
$2.15M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$28.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-14 20:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Other
85% 60% +$12,186
Politics
11% 68% +$3,693
Sports
3% 67% +$3,206
Crypto
1% 60% +$1,789
Tech
1% 65% +$454
Pop-Culture
0% 77% +$187
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3011 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,354 $3,631 65¢ $3.5K -$159 11-10 11:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,395 $2,335 91¢ $2.2K -$162 11-13 18:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,210 $1,790 97¢ $2.1K +$343 11-14 10:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,124 $2,104 100¢ $2.1K +$13 11-13 18:13
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,846 $1,765 36¢ $2.1K +$310 11-07 02:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,524 $1,519 100¢ $1.5K +$1 11-14 10:03
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +1,132 $931 99¢ $1.1K +$194 11-10 02:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,691 $378 65¢ $1.1K +$721 11-14 18:09
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,039 $779 95¢ $983 +$203 11-11 14:06
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +911 $905 100¢ $909 +$4 11-12 09:43
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +761 $757 99¢ $756 $0 11-11 14:44
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +694 $692 100¢ $691 -$1 11-06 13:08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +713 $284 92¢ $659 +$376 11-12 09:14
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +764 $678 85¢ $648 -$30 11-14 11:41
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +652 $644 99¢ $648 +$4 11-14 04:49
Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-11-13? No +654 $646 99¢ $648 +$1 11-11 07:17
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +559 $402 100¢ $559 +$157 11-03 21:39
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +573 $248 97¢ $556 +$308 08-31 21:52
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +552 $538 100¢ $550 +$11 11-13 20:01
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +531 $529 100¢ $529 +$0 11-14 00:27
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +525 $524 100¢ $524 +$1 11-11 19:13
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? No +487 $387 100¢ $484 +$97 11-10 21:55
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +793 $471 60¢ $480 +$8 11-14 08:54
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +488 $229 96¢ $471 +$242 08-29 23:22
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +584 $483 80¢ $470 -$13 11-13 11:34
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +530 $303 88¢ $469 +$165 11-08 12:17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +514 $397 91¢ $467 +$71 11-13 22:05
Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-11-14? No +450 $443 100¢ $449 +$6 11-13 13:50
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-11-14? No +501 $489 86¢ $431 -$58 11-10 11:43
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +417 $322 97¢ $405 +$83 11-09 17:09