Realized P&L (90d)
+$11.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.36K
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved (90d)
32,365
Trades (90d)
131,732
228,115 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.16M
$2.12M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$26.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-12 06:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
85% 60% +$11,981
Politics
11% 68% +$3,792
Sports
3% 67% +$3,206
Crypto
1% 60% +$1,810
Tech
1% 65% +$450
Pop-Culture
0% 77% +$187
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3011 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,354 $3,631 65¢ $3.5K -$156 11-10 11:41
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,846 $1,765 34¢ $2.0K +$251 11-07 02:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,201 $2,159 90¢ $2.0K -$168 11-10 13:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,806 $1,787 100¢ $1.8K +$13 11-10 09:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,707 $1,300 96¢ $1.6K +$344 11-06 13:36
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +1,132 $931 99¢ $1.1K +$193 11-10 02:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,041 $1,037 100¢ $1.0K +$2 11-06 14:37
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,039 $779 93¢ $971 +$191 11-11 14:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,666 $363 56¢ $941 +$578 11-06 14:58
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +906 $900 100¢ $905 +$5 11-11 14:51
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +761 $757 99¢ $755 -$2 11-11 14:44
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +694 $692 99¢ $689 -$3 11-06 13:08
Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-11-13? No +654 $646 99¢ $650 +$3 11-11 07:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +708 $279 86¢ $605 +$326 11-11 14:51
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +576 $569 99¢ $572 +$4 11-12 02:31
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +559 $402 99¢ $556 +$154 11-03 21:39
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +547 $534 100¢ $545 +$11 11-10 10:41
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +573 $248 94¢ $536 +$288 08-31 21:52
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +587 $524 90¢ $530 +$6 11-10 18:45
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +525 $524 100¢ $524 +$1 11-11 19:13
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,054 $862 50¢ $522 -$340 11-06 15:04
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-11-14? No +501 $489 99¢ $498 +$9 11-10 11:43
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? No +487 $387 100¢ $484 +$97 11-10 21:55
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +483 $481 100¢ $482 +$0 11-12 01:46
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +468 $433 100¢ $466 +$33 11-06 04:37
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +530 $303 86¢ $458 +$155 11-08 12:17
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +488 $229 94¢ $456 +$227 08-29 23:22
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +682 $399 66¢ $447 +$48 11-11 10:13
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw? No +565 $285 76¢ $429 +$144 11-11 02:08
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-11-11? No +507 $476 84¢ $426 -$51 11-11 02:43