Realized P&L (90d)
+$11.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.26K
Hit rate
73.6%
Resolved (90d)
32,174
Trades (90d)
129,920
229,174 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.15M
$2.13M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$28.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-13 18:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Other
85% 60% +$12,029
Politics
11% 68% +$3,695
Sports
3% 67% +$3,206
Crypto
1% 59% +$1,794
Tech
1% 65% +$454
Pop-Culture
0% 77% +$187
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3011 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,354 $3,631 65¢ $3.5K -$164 11-10 11:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,395 $2,335 90¢ $2.1K -$190 11-13 18:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,124 $2,104 100¢ $2.1K +$13 11-13 18:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,128 $1,711 98¢ $2.1K +$376 11-13 18:12
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,846 $1,765 34¢ $2.0K +$251 11-07 02:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,384 $1,379 100¢ $1.4K +$1 11-13 18:14
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +1,132 $931 99¢ $1.1K +$194 11-10 02:15
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,039 $779 94¢ $976 +$197 11-11 14:06
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +911 $905 100¢ $909 +$4 11-12 09:43
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,666 $363 53¢ $883 +$520 11-06 14:58
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +761 $757 99¢ $756 -$1 11-11 14:44
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +694 $692 99¢ $690 -$2 11-06 13:08
Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-11-13? No +654 $646 99¢ $646 $0 11-11 07:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +713 $284 90¢ $645 +$362 11-12 09:14
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +596 $589 99¢ $591 +$2 11-12 15:28
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +677 $602 87¢ $589 -$12 11-13 15:33
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +559 $402 100¢ $558 +$156 11-03 21:39
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +573 $248 96¢ $547 +$299 08-31 21:52
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +547 $534 99¢ $541 +$8 11-10 10:41
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +525 $524 100¢ $524 +$1 11-11 19:13
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,054 $862 48¢ $511 -$351 11-06 15:04
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +510 $509 100¢ $509 +$0 11-13 14:35
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +762 $452 66¢ $507 +$55 11-13 12:36
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-11-14? No +501 $489 100¢ $500 +$11 11-10 11:43
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? No +487 $387 100¢ $484 +$97 11-10 21:55
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +584 $483 82¢ $479 -$5 11-13 11:34
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +530 $303 88¢ $469 +$165 11-08 12:17
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +488 $229 96¢ $466 +$237 08-29 23:22
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +468 $433 100¢ $466 +$33 11-06 04:37
Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-11-14? No +450 $443 100¢ $448 +$5 11-13 13:50