Realized P&L (7d)
-$154
Unrealized P&L
+$4.46K
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved (7d)
3,043
Trades (7d)
12,638
223,591 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$136.3K
$2.07M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$29.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-05 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 174 days
Categories
Other
85% 60% +$11,063
Politics
11% 68% +$3,799
Sports
3% 67% +$3,205
Crypto
1% 59% +$1,844
Tech
1% 65% +$450
Pop-Culture
0% 77% +$187
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3011 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,070 $3,436 67¢ $3.4K -$60 11-05 16:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +2,352 $1,804 98¢ $2.3K +$491 11-05 18:57
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,223 $1,142 100¢ $2.2K +$1,081 11-05 00:50
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,424 $1,645 34¢ $1.8K +$172 11-05 07:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,695 $1,660 99¢ $1.7K +$25 11-04 14:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,534 $1,516 99¢ $1.5K +$5 11-04 16:31
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +1,282 $1,028 99¢ $1.3K +$244 11-05 11:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,667 $1,271 66¢ $1.1K -$163 11-05 06:53
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +1,031 $901 99¢ $1.0K +$120 11-05 21:53
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +991 $922 99¢ $984 +$62 11-05 12:08
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +941 $196 98¢ $919 +$724 11-04 02:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +892 $888 100¢ $888 $0 11-05 17:05
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +892 $886 99¢ $885 -$1 11-05 16:26
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +970 $804 72¢ $698 -$107 09-14 06:19
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +677 $676 98¢ $662 -$13 09-23 04:47
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +652 $225 100¢ $651 +$426 11-04 01:54
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +655 $527 99¢ $649 +$121 11-05 13:38
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +609 $603 100¢ $608 +$5 11-05 20:47
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +570 $536 99¢ $567 +$31 11-05 11:59
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +682 $278 79¢ $541 +$264 11-04 03:29
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +559 $402 97¢ $540 +$138 11-03 21:39
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +528 $526 100¢ $528 +$2 09-13 21:52
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +525 $523 99¢ $518 -$4 10-30 17:34
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +523 $509 99¢ $518 +$9 11-04 13:40
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +604 $378 85¢ $514 +$135 11-05 15:35
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +573 $248 88¢ $504 +$256 08-31 21:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,375 $490 36¢ $502 +$12 11-05 16:04
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? No +484 $436 99¢ $478 +$42 11-04 02:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +616 $212 72¢ $447 +$235 11-05 21:47
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +488 $229 89¢ $434 +$205 08-29 23:22