Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$3.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$1.99K

11 positions

First seen

2026-10-30

last 11-03 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

49% — —

Other

31% 100% +$22

Sports

15% — —

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?	No	+996	$994	100¢	$995	+$0	10-31 09:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+261	$235	90¢	$234	-$1	11-02 23:02
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	+212	$212	100¢	$212	+$0	11-02 22:44
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+167	$161	97¢	$162	+$1	11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	+106	$106	100¢	$106	+$0	11-02 22:58
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+90	$88	97¢	$88	$0	11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas?	No	+78	$78	100¢	$78	+$0	10-30 22:38
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+74	$71	96¢	$71	$0	11-03 08:26
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	No	+22	$22	100¢	$22	$0	10-30 23:08
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?	No	+15	$15	100¢	$15	+$0	10-30 22:09
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?	No	+7	$7	100¢	$7	+$0	10-30 22:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?	53	$994	996	+996	open	—	10-31 09:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$235	261	+261	open	—	11-02 23:02
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	13	$212	212	+212	open	—	11-02 22:44
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	3	$161	167	+167	open	—	11-03 09:14
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	10	$106	126	+126	No	+$20	10-31 11:19
Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	5	$106	106	+106	open	—	11-02 22:58
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$88	90	+90	open	—	11-03 09:14
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	9	$85	99	+99	No	+$15	11-01 20:09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	4	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	10-30 11:19
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	2	$79	81	+81	open	—	10-31 15:09
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas?	5	$78	78	+78	open	—	10-30 22:38
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	4	$75	75	+75	No	+$0	10-30 13:09
Will Sparta Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	2	$72	72	+72	open	—	10-30 11:17
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$71	74	+74	open	—	11-03 08:26
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	1	$57	60	+60	open	—	10-31 07:14
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	4	$49	54	+54	open	—	11-02 19:34
Will the Detroit Red Wings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	1	$36	36	+36	open	—	11-02 21:56
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	3	$32	35	+35	open	—	11-02 21:20
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?	2	$32	36	+36	open	—	11-02 23:10
Will Deft play for Bilibili Gaming in 2027?	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	10-31 09:19
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	5	$29	35	+35	resolved	-$29	10-31 15:15
Will South Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026?	1	$29	33	+33	open	—	11-01 19:41
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	4	$27	29	+29	No	+$2	10-30 13:34
Will Scarlett Johansson win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	10-31 03:11
will anthropic be the second best code arena webdev ai lab at the end of january 2027	1	$24	27	+27	open	—	11-01 20:40
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	2	$22	25	+25	open	—	11-01 19:36
2026 world wide technology championship third round leader tyler collet	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	10-31 16:28
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	2	$22	22	+22	open	—	10-30 23:08
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?	3	$20	21	+21	open	—	11-01 20:31
Will Deft play for BNK FEARX in 2027?	1	$19	19	+19	open	—	10-31 09:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 18:54:27	Will Guatemala take third place in Miss Universe 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xecdee1…
11-03 18:14:12	Will Guadeloupe take third place in Miss Universe 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf5cf63…
11-03 18:07:00	Will the Netherlands take third place in Miss Universe 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf3e91c…
11-03 09:14:19	Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0x99d628…
11-03 09:14:13	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	118	97¢	$114	0x1c2732…
11-03 09:13:25	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x0f8f43…
11-03 09:11:36	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x3d2f44…
11-03 08:26:07	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x45d017…
11-03 08:26:04	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x701b18…
11-03 02:47:49	Will Texas Tech win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa9ad89…
11-02 23:10:22	Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x40d285…
11-02 23:02:16	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	261	90¢	$235	0x574749…
11-02 22:58:24	Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x32418f…
11-02 22:44:03	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1ca815…
11-02 22:43:42	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe6f870…
11-02 22:26:42	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa37051…
11-02 21:56:07	Will the Detroit Red Wings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xbd8ae4…
11-02 21:54:31	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b8558…
11-02 21:53:51	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01bc7c…
11-02 21:39:30	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x048656…
11-02 21:37:13	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x900bcf…
11-02 21:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xbf21d2…
11-02 21:19:55	Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x25cbf6…
11-02 21:19:51	Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x5f1de4…
11-02 20:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xd76795…
11-02 20:44:01	Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x0247ad…
11-02 20:43:54	Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x9d89ba…
11-02 20:33:19	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe237b9…
11-02 19:44:57	Will Nebraska be the closest Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x2f0279…
11-02 19:34:04	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x307443…
11-02 19:28:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8b8bb4…
11-02 19:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x5a9a5d…
11-02 19:27:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9ae3f2…
11-02 15:21:43	Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x02f919…
11-02 14:56:15	Will SpaceXAI have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8dfd4f…
11-02 14:52:54	Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2d22ff…
11-02 14:21:22	Will DeepSeek be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xac9139…
11-02 11:02:04	Will StepFun be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x19bc4c…
11-02 10:24:07	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x7324ec…
11-02 04:11:15	Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + Democrats + Shas + UTJ?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfae951…
11-02 03:44:22	Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?	No	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0x18b1f6…
11-02 03:13:46	Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1e28e9…
11-02 03:13:25	Will Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xca5efb…
11-02 02:42:58	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2c2b6c…
11-02 02:38:46	Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xff7846…
11-02 02:33:37	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6f2f97…
11-02 01:56:40	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb559d7…
11-02 01:04:54	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0be7b3…
11-02 01:04:48	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4f05e9…
11-02 01:04:34	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x382a5d…
11-02 00:48:31	Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x821089…
11-01 21:58:01	Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x0ab2b3…
11-01 21:22:54	Will StepFun be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xfe8ed8…
11-01 20:50:06	will deepseek be the third best ai lab at the end of january 2027	No	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0xd1496f…
11-01 20:42:03	Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x22e1e6…
11-01 20:41:18	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xbc25dc…
11-01 20:41:16	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xccd24e…
11-01 20:40:25	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xeb6d07…
11-01 20:40:13	will anthropic be the second best code arena webdev ai lab at the end of january 2027	No	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0xe9f40b…
11-01 20:39:55	will google be the second best code arena webdev ai lab at the end of january 2027	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x95a13e…
11-01 20:32:55	will mistral be the 3 ai lab at the end of january 2027 style control on	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x41d667…
11-01 20:32:18	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x68152f…
11-01 20:31:52	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4cedbd…
11-01 20:31:51	Will Nvidia have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x40ea0d…
11-01 20:31:39	Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x8f37ed…
11-01 20:24:07	Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x2d2730…
11-01 20:09:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0xa40031…
11-01 20:03:22	Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x6533be…
11-01 20:03:16	Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc4b59c…
11-01 20:02:24	will minimax have the 1 ai model at the end of january 2027	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x0d99b3…
11-01 19:41:58	Will South Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0xcef9e7…
11-01 19:37:31	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x08bb6a…
11-01 19:36:19	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x01b83c…
11-01 18:08:39	Will Alaska be the closest Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x146217…
11-01 17:37:19	will openai have the best math ai model at the end of january 2027	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x145f17…
10-31 18:01:39	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x764de7…
10-31 18:01:37	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6e1d79…
10-31 17:36:28	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xedaef9…
10-31 16:28:48	2026 world wide technology championship third round leader tyler collet	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x318e7d…
10-31 16:26:22	2026 world wide technology championship second round leader pontus nyholm	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe6b6b2…
10-31 15:20:18	Will Bryce Young finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe29e2b…
10-31 15:15:19	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x42513c…
10-31 15:09:42	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xba8513…
10-31 15:09:34	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x22089c…
10-31 11:41:52	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x086bdc…
10-31 11:41:45	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 21, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6cc720…
10-31 11:19:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7744eb…
10-31 11:18:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xfdbaf1…
10-31 10:14:22	Will Devin Booker lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xff90dd…
10-31 10:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x04d1c2…
10-31 10:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xed66be…
10-31 09:41:04	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3471f9…
10-31 09:25:07	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1e46d9…
10-31 09:19:43	Will Deft play for Bilibili Gaming in 2027?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf7f41f…
10-31 09:19:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe4b714…
10-31 09:12:46	Will Deft play for BNK FEARX in 2027?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xeffc0d…
10-31 09:04:31	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xf89a34…
10-31 08:56:24	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x391eeb…
10-31 08:55:42	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xb79ab9…
10-31 08:46:40	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xa84697…