Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$37
Hit rate
93.2%
Resolved
9
Trades
242
lifetime
Volume
$5.62K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$4.07K
22 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-04 03:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
67% — —
Other
19% 89% +$9
Sports
11% — —
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan? No +996 $994 100¢ $995 +$0 10-31 09:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +696 $695 100¢ $696 +$1 11-04 03:54
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +305 $305 100¢ $304 $0 11-04 01:38
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +261 $235 100¢ $260 +$25 11-02 23:02
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +251 $251 100¢ $251 +$0 11-04 03:44
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas? No +212 $212 100¢ $212 +$0 11-02 22:44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +185 $184 100¢ $185 +$2 11-04 00:05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +171 $170 100¢ $170 +$0 11-04 00:09
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +167 $161 97¢ $163 +$1 11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +171 $155 94¢ $160 +$4 11-04 04:06
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? No +127 $127 100¢ $127 $0 11-04 01:47
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +111 $105 100¢ $110 +$5 11-04 04:05
Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +106 $106 100¢ $106 +$0 11-02 22:58
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +90 $88 97¢ $88 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas? No +78 $78 100¢ $78 +$0 10-30 22:38
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +74 $71 96¢ $71 $0 11-03 08:26
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 11-04 01:38
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 10-30 23:08
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 +$0 11-04 01:37
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 10-30 22:09
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 10-30 22:11
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +29 $4 8¢ $2 -$1 11-04 04:06