Realized P&L
-$1.87K
Unrealized P&L
+$254
Hit rate
53.6%
Resolved
5,011
Trades
36,383
lifetime
Volume
$958.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$1.64K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 12:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Other
44% 47% -$3,380
Politics
40% 47% +$1,355
Sports
15% 52% +$528
Tech
1% 51% -$120
Pop-Culture
0% 43% -$153
Crypto
0% 39% -$104
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 760 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +200 $132 92¢ $183 +$51 09-20 10:51
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +200 $100 92¢ $183 +$83 07-10 23:50
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +196 $163 86¢ $170 +$7 07-13 09:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +100 $94 99¢ $99 +$6 08-28 14:51
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +100 $82 95¢ $95 +$13 07-25 12:04
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +100 $45 85¢ $85 +$41 09-21 07:57
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +100 $47 72¢ $72 +$26 08-31 02:08
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +100 $52 72¢ $72 +$20 07-29 09:00
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480 No +100 $14 70¢ $70 +$56 08-15 16:17
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $44 68¢ $68 +$24 08-31 02:37
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264 No +65 $43 92¢ $59 +$17 07-19 09:22
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +100 $18 55¢ $55 +$37 08-15 04:56
will cxmt be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230554 No +46 $46 82¢ $38 -$8 08-18 00:11
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? No +100 $55 32¢ $32 -$23 08-31 02:16
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +100 $47 29¢ $29 -$18 07-23 03:06
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +39 $17 73¢ $28 +$11 09-01 05:20
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $52 28¢ $28 -$24 08-31 02:08
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +200 $22 14¢ $27 +$5 07-13 09:50
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 Yes +100 $24 26¢ $26 +$2 08-18 22:55
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +30 $13 85¢ $26 +$13 09-22 06:08
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? Yes +100 $33 25¢ $25 -$8 07-30 16:22
skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027 No +100 $24 24¢ $24 $0 08-19 20:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $51 22¢ $22 -$28 08-28 15:25
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +20 $14 98¢ $20 +$6 09-19 06:38
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? No +20 $14 96¢ $19 +$5 09-02 10:49
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20 $9 96¢ $19 +$11 04-28 23:13
will mark warner vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926661 No +20 $8 92¢ $18 +$10 07-30 11:44
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No -18 -$17 97¢ $-17 $0 05-15 09:49
will ishaq dar attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221278 No +20 $16 87¢ $17 +$2 08-22 11:03
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +200 $94 8¢ $17 -$77 07-11 03:53