Realized P&L
-$397
Unrealized P&L
+$121
Hit rate
81.1%
Resolved
52
Trades
7,398
lifetime
Volume
$673.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$3.18K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
52% 83% $-359
Sports
18% 75% +$33
Politics
18% 57% $-71
Pop-Culture
5%
Crypto
5%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +697 $492 89¢ $620 +$129 06-17 13:22
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +1,019 $279 31¢ $316 +$37 07-20 15:49
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -1,904 $-59 12¢ $-219 $-160 06-30 21:09
Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03? No +205 $195 99¢ $202 +$7 07-17 06:20
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? No +5,198 $250 $179 $-71 06-30 21:09
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? Yes +233 $160 74¢ $171 +$12 07-17 06:04
Halle Berry as Storm? No +216 $137 79¢ $171 +$34 07-16 13:34
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes +170 $120 80¢ $137 +$17 07-10 16:24
Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? No +135 $114 96¢ $130 +$15 06-21 13:53
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? Yes +214 $106 57¢ $122 +$16 07-20 14:50
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +95 $75 98¢ $94 +$18 06-23 13:19
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? No +222 $82 38¢ $85 +$3 07-20 17:47
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +83 $62 96¢ $80 +$17 06-04 00:49
Benedict Wong as Wong? Yes +130 $61 55¢ $72 +$11 07-18 22:53
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +70 $52 98¢ $68 +$16 05-30 15:15
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes +91 $43 64¢ $59 +$16 06-21 11:55
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +200 $104 29¢ $58 $-46 07-08 12:54
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? Yes +70 $51 80¢ $56 +$5 07-18 03:56
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? No +127 $42 38¢ $48 +$6 07-18 03:11
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes +50 $38 84¢ $42 +$4 07-10 10:02
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? Yes +50 $37 76¢ $38 +$1 07-13 23:26
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? No +51 $32 74¢ $37 +$6 07-14 16:11
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +34 $15 98¢ $33 +$18 06-03 18:32
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? Yes +101 $32 29¢ $29 $-3 07-13 07:17
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? No +119 $26 20¢ $23 $-3 07-15 00:09
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +20 $18 97¢ $20 +$1 06-15 12:22
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? No +24 $16 81¢ $19 +$3 07-15 18:05
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? No +20 $15 95¢ $19 +$4 06-06 16:12
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? No +25 $15 72¢ $18 +$2 05-30 21:54
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? Yes +28 $14 62¢ $17 +$4 06-22 12:13