Realized P&L
-$397
Unrealized P&L
+$272
Hit rate
81.1%
Resolved
52
Trades
6,498
lifetime
Volume
$618.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$4.66K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 13:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
55% 83% $-359
Politics
18% 57% $-71
Sports
15% 75% +$33
Pop-Culture
6%
Crypto
5%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 393 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +2,259 $1,898 90¢ $2.0K +$147 06-01 01:52
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No +477 $441 91¢ $434 $-7 06-06 17:22
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +549 $379 68¢ $371 $-8 05-31 10:37
Will Young Kim advance from the CA-40 primary election? Yes +304 $236 98¢ $297 +$61 06-03 01:59
Will Mai Vang advance from the CA-07 primary election? Yes +200 $160 99¢ $198 +$38 06-03 00:23
Will Jasmeet Bains advance from the CA-22 Primary? No +200 $91 84¢ $169 +$77 06-02 19:46
Will Randy Villegas advance from the CA-22 Primary? No +300 $194 50¢ $150 $-44 06-02 19:37
Will Esther Kim Varet advance from the CA-40 primary election? No +128 $98 99¢ $126 +$29 06-03 00:21
Will Randy Villegas advance from the CA-22 Primary? Yes +240 $122 50¢ $120 $-2 06-02 16:09
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +150 $95 76¢ $113 +$18 05-30 21:17
Will Robert Morin advance from the CA-07 primary election? No +100 $99 98¢ $98 $-1 06-03 03:52
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +83 $62 96¢ $79 +$17 06-04 00:49
Will Chi Charlie Nguyen advance from the CA-45 primary election? No +69 $54 90¢ $62 +$8 05-30 12:31
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +70 $52 82¢ $57 +$5 05-30 15:15
Will Tom Vo advance from the CA-45 primary election? No +59 $40 87¢ $51 +$11 05-28 02:48
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes +55 $40 86¢ $47 +$7 06-08 17:16
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -150 $-42 30¢ $-46 $-4 05-28 13:56
Will Jasmeet Bains advance from the CA-22 Primary? Yes +235 $127 16¢ $37 $-90 06-02 19:37
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +36 $29 84¢ $30 +$1 06-04 17:56
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? No +52 $16 47¢ $24 +$9 06-03 11:53
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +34 $15 69¢ $23 +$8 06-03 18:32
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? No +25 $15 74¢ $19 +$3 05-30 21:54
Jonathan Majors as Kang? No +15 $11 92¢ $14 +$2 06-05 15:38
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? No +20 $15 63¢ $13 $-2 06-06 16:12
Will Ken Calvert advance from the CA-40 primary election? Yes +11 $7 98¢ $11 +$4 05-30 12:56
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? Yes +20 $13 43¢ $9 $-4 05-29 14:46
Will Chuong Vo advance from the CA-45 primary election? No +19 $14 40¢ $8 $-6 06-03 04:12
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? No +10 $7 74¢ $7 $-0 05-28 21:02
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +13 $7 45¢ $6 $-1 05-31 21:40
Will Iran Play in the World Cup? No +56 $4 $1 $-2 06-01 12:58