Realized P&L
-$397
Unrealized P&L
+$620
Hit rate
81.1%
Resolved
52
Trades
6,896
lifetime
Volume
$643.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$4.23K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 03:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
54% 83% $-359
Politics
18% 57% $-71
Sports
17% 75% +$33
Pop-Culture
5%
Crypto
5%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +2,259 $1,898 99¢ $2.2K +$333 06-01 01:52
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +697 $492 82¢ $568 +$77 06-17 13:22
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No +506 $468 99¢ $501 +$33 06-10 19:11
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -4,424 $-354 $-243 +$111 06-22 15:49
Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? No +135 $114 95¢ $128 +$14 06-21 13:53
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +83 $62 98¢ $81 +$18 06-04 00:49
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +95 $75 77¢ $73 $-2 06-23 13:19
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +70 $52 93¢ $65 +$13 05-30 15:15
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes +91 $43 68¢ $62 +$19 06-21 11:55
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? Yes +70 $48 59¢ $41 $-7 06-17 04:04
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes +55 $40 64¢ $35 $-5 06-08 17:16
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? No +52 $16 44¢ $23 +$7 06-03 11:53
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +20 $18 92¢ $19 +$0 06-15 12:22
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? No +20 $15 93¢ $19 +$3 06-06 16:12
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? Yes +36 $13 44¢ $16 +$3 06-26 06:41
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +34 $15 46¢ $16 +$1 06-03 18:32
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? Yes +28 $14 51¢ $14 +$1 06-22 12:13
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? No +25 $15 56¢ $14 $-2 05-30 21:54
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? Yes +20 $13 64¢ $13 +$0 05-29 14:46
Jonathan Majors as Kang? No +15 $11 84¢ $13 +$1 06-05 15:38
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? Yes +20 $9 50¢ $10 +$1 06-21 19:28
Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +35 $10 26¢ $9 $-2 06-28 02:19
Will the Atlanta Braves win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? No +10 $7 78¢ $8 +$1 06-22 14:15
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? No +10 $7 76¢ $8 +$0 05-28 21:02
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +13 $7 55¢ $7 +$0 05-31 21:40
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +10 $6 53¢ $5 $-1 06-29 12:45
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +10 $3 44¢ $4 +$1 06-20 14:26
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? No +10 $4 34¢ $3 $-1 06-22 12:13
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +27 $1 10¢ $3 +$1 06-27 15:02