Realized P&L (24h)
-$554
Unrealized P&L
+$1.10K
Hit rate
12.1%
Resolved (24h)
7
Trades (24h)
93
20,644 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$4.29K
$1.77M lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$8.42K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 02:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 280 days
Categories
Other
47% 79% -$2,454
Politics
28% 71% +$24,953
Sports
20% 73% -$30,248
Pop-Culture
3% 84% +$2,981
Crypto
2% 85% +$2,061
Tech
1% 45% -$1,941
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +3,032 $1,258 96¢ $2.9K +$1,645 10-11 12:09
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +1,299 $504 99¢ $1.3K +$778 10-05 13:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +1,042 $660 70¢ $724 +$64 10-16 11:37
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +631 $429 99¢ $627 +$199 08-30 13:37
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? No +434 $369 100¢ $432 +$63 11-01 21:21
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? No +669 $428 62¢ $415 -$13 09-24 13:54
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +343 $286 93¢ $320 +$34 10-29 09:00
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +349 $273 72¢ $250 -$23 10-31 05:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +287 $159 83¢ $238 +$79 10-29 13:12
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? No +462 $334 36¢ $169 -$165 10-02 04:57
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +175 $87 88¢ $153 +$66 07-16 06:19
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +202 $100 74¢ $151 +$51 10-04 01:14
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +419 $214 28¢ $119 -$96 08-29 16:14
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +100 $73 70¢ $70 -$3 10-29 20:14
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +70 $52 93¢ $65 +$13 07-22 16:56
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? No — +65 $49 100¢ $65 +$16 11-01 21:06
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? No +64 $62 100¢ $64 +$1 11-01 22:05
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +1,399 $648 4¢ $59 -$588 10-13 06:52
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +500 $250 11¢ $57 -$193 08-19 13:20
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +60 $30 91¢ $54 +$24 10-13 12:46
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +1,082 $290 4¢ $49 -$242 09-23 13:32
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +212 $75 17¢ $36 -$39 10-24 18:29
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +136 $66 22¢ $30 -$36 09-20 16:02
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +234 $26 10¢ $23 -$2 11-02 02:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +21 $5 83¢ $18 +$13 10-28 02:15
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +41 $6 35¢ $14 +$8 09-20 20:44
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +353 $87 3¢ $12 -$76 05-18 20:40
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +721 $298 1¢ $9 -$289 10-10 07:15
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +14 $9 54¢ $7 -$2 09-30 03:06
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +487 $190 1¢ $4 -$185 08-26 09:50