Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x365323…8cef74
whale bot hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$15.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$583
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
53,570
Trades
203,317
lifetime
Volume
$1.86M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$30.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-27 07:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
88% 59% +$14,447
Politics
8% 71% +$750
Sports
3% 66% +$1,129
Crypto
1% 59% -$411
Tech
1% 66% -$692
Pop-Culture
0% 78% -$123
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3049 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,614 $2,603 100¢ $2.6K +$1 10-26 17:13
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,398 $2,388 99¢ $2.4K -$7 10-27 07:08
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,637 $1,812 70¢ $1.8K +$20 10-27 06:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,819 $1,810 100¢ $1.8K +$7 10-26 17:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,942 $1,446 94¢ $1.8K +$370 10-26 17:00
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,308 $1,615 64¢ $1.5K -$129 10-27 03:49
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,631 $1,648 46¢ $1.2K -$446 10-26 00:03
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,232 $1,021 97¢ $1.2K +$171 10-27 04:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,171 $1,165 99¢ $1.2K -$4 10-25 15:34
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,022 $1,020 100¢ $1.0K +$0 10-26 12:41
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +1,014 $1,013 100¢ $1.0K $0 10-23 11:10
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,004 $965 97¢ $974 +$8 10-26 21:20
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +936 $935 97¢ $907 -$28 09-22 10:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +918 $901 97¢ $893 -$8 10-25 05:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,291 $956 68¢ $884 -$72 10-26 13:27
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,760 $909 30¢ $842 -$67 10-27 06:42
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +774 $771 100¢ $773 +$2 09-28 14:24
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,386 $657 55¢ $755 +$98 10-26 13:35
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +922 $753 76¢ $706 -$48 10-16 08:09
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,879 $540 36¢ $667 +$127 10-26 23:38
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +688 $663 96¢ $661 -$2 10-24 07:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +774 $570 78¢ $608 +$38 10-25 05:33
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +691 $554 80¢ $557 +$2 10-23 06:55
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +551 $443 98¢ $542 +$98 10-23 08:07
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +539 $537 100¢ $537 $0 10-26 00:41
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +628 $447 84¢ $524 +$77 10-27 00:48
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +777 $408 66¢ $517 +$108 10-27 07:21
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +584 $466 82¢ $482 +$16 10-19 04:50
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +503 $464 96¢ $481 +$17 10-27 01:16
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +588 $248 82¢ $479 +$231 08-31 22:41