Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x365323…8cef74
whale bot hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$14.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.10K
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
53,987
Trades
206,483
lifetime
Volume
$1.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$40.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-28 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$14,359
Politics
8% 71% +$714
Sports
3% 66% +$1,022
Crypto
1% 59% -$409
Tech
1% 66% -$692
Pop-Culture
0% 78% -$123
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3049 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,975 $1,382 100¢ $4.0K +$2,574 10-27 20:51
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,877 $3,862 100¢ $3.9K +$12 10-27 18:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,455 $3,442 100¢ $3.4K +$4 10-27 16:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,754 $2,209 94¢ $2.6K +$393 10-28 03:35
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,936 $2,026 66¢ $1.9K -$87 10-28 06:45
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +2,045 $1,801 91¢ $1.9K +$57 10-28 05:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,819 $1,810 100¢ $1.8K +$7 10-26 17:13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +3,160 $1,888 56¢ $1.8K -$129 10-28 10:11
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,517 $935 98¢ $1.5K +$552 10-28 12:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,251 $1,245 100¢ $1.2K +$1 10-27 14:47
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,131 $1,087 97¢ $1.1K +$12 10-28 13:43
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,022 $1,020 100¢ $1.0K +$0 10-26 12:41
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +1,014 $1,013 100¢ $1.0K +$0 10-23 11:10
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,022 $705 98¢ $1.0K +$296 10-28 01:58
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +993 $987 100¢ $992 +$5 10-28 01:12
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,863 $866 34¢ $959 +$93 10-28 10:04
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +936 $935 97¢ $906 -$29 09-22 10:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +918 $901 98¢ $897 -$4 10-25 05:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,322 $976 66¢ $872 -$104 10-28 07:46
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +868 $663 100¢ $867 +$204 10-27 21:15
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +774 $771 100¢ $773 +$2 09-28 14:24
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,573 $758 46¢ $724 -$34 10-28 14:28
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +922 $753 77¢ $709 -$45 10-16 08:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +874 $649 80¢ $704 +$55 10-27 18:29
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +669 $618 99¢ $661 +$44 10-28 00:15
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +688 $663 96¢ $661 -$1 10-24 07:14
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +691 $554 84¢ $584 +$30 10-23 06:55
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +572 $570 99¢ $569 -$1 10-28 03:13
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,594 $456 35¢ $551 +$94 10-28 07:46
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +551 $443 99¢ $546 +$102 10-23 08:07