Sparkling-Filly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.85K

Unrealized P&L

-$686

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

891

Trades

2,855

lifetime

Volume

$249.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$6.04K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-15 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 255 days

Categories

Sports

66% 71% -$6,699

Other

27% 60% -$2,350

Politics

7% 92% +$167

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	No	+6,642	$4,982	60¢	$4.0K	-$963	09-28 20:47
Will UNLV Rebels Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship?	No	+703	$636	96¢	$674	+$38	11-08 14:43
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup?	No	+299	$252	92¢	$277	+$24	11-09 01:58
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+5,697	$92	4¢	$251	+$158	10-26 14:38
Will UTSA Roadrunners Win the 2026 American Conference?	No	+283	$191	76¢	$214	+$23	11-06 15:27
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+219	$184	96¢	$210	+$26	09-08 14:51
Will New Mexico Lobos Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship?	No	+345	$152	48¢	$164	+$12	10-11 20:58
Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	+216	$150	64¢	$138	-$12	11-08 22:23
Will the New Orleans Saints make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	+86	$63	81¢	$70	+$6	10-13 01:58
Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+153	$16	11¢	$16	+$1	11-15 13:47
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	+14	$10	75¢	$11	+$0	10-28 13:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	14	$6.3K	7,350	0	+7,350	Jeremiah Wells	-$6,289	08-12 01:31
nba ind okc 2026 01 23	1	$5.4K	6,019	0	+6,019	Pacers	-$5,357	01-23 17:11
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	2	$5.0K	6,642	0	+6,642	open	—	09-28 20:47
will the buffalo bills win super bowl 2026	17	$4.6K	5,357	0	+5,357	No	+$804	01-13 21:40
Will Alex Caruso win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?	6	$4.5K	4,715	0	+4,715	No	+$257	05-29 16:18
will iran strike israel on march 1	2	$4.2K	4,200	0	+4,200	Yes	+$18	03-01 15:50
will iran strike israel on march 10	11	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$121	03-12 15:41
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$3.5K	3,679	0	+3,679	No	+$158	03-19 15:34
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	26	$3.3K	1,805	3,204	-1,399	No	+$195	02-13 14:37
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	23	$3.2K	3,237	60	+3,177	No	+$136	04-23 19:57
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	79	$2.8K	3,449	1,458	+1,991	Yes	-$1,340	07-16 09:15
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	16	$2.8K	3,540	0	+3,540	No	+$786	06-08 12:32
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$2.7K	2,897	0	+2,897	No	+$160	04-10 04:22
will switzerland win the mens ice hockey silver medal at the 2026 winter olympics	4	$2.7K	2,721	0	+2,721	No	+$16	02-18 19:40
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	128	$2.7K	3,167	0	+3,167	Yes	-$2,679	08-02 23:16
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	30	$2.5K	1,367	1,367	+0	No	+$178	04-29 20:24
atp kovacev borges 2026 08 03	3	$2.5K	3,430	0	+3,430	Nuno Borges	+$891	08-03 16:15
Will Nick Galanti win in Round 3?	1	$2.5K	2,847	0	+2,847	No	+$316	10-15 16:56
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$2.4K	2,834	0	+2,834	No	+$483	06-09 13:57
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$2.3K	3,349	0	+3,349	Yes	+$308	06-27 17:07
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	15	$2.3K	2,502	0	+2,502	No	+$251	08-08 21:04
Will Jackson Blake win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	5	$2.2K	2,334	97	+2,237	No	+$180	06-14 06:59
nba dal min 2026 02 20	1	$2.0K	2,394	0	+2,394	Timberwolves	+$383	02-19 22:43
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 1500m zhongyan ning chn	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$2	02-19 16:50
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	1	$2.0K	2,099	0	+2,099	No	+$120	05-13 22:07
nba ind det 2026 01 17	1	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	Pistons	+$260	01-17 20:41
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$1.7K	1,781	0	+1,781	No	+$97	04-15 23:45
will japan win the 2026 world baseball classic	36	$1.6K	1,685	419	+1,265	No	+$295	03-14 04:59
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 anytime td cooper kupp	3	$1.5K	1,704	0	+1,704	No	+$192	02-09 01:44
Miami (FL) vs. Stanford	1	$1.5K	1,606	0	+1,606	Miami (FL)	+$96	09-04 06:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 13:47:59	Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	153	10¢	$16	0xa5938d…
11-15 01:53:08	O/U 4.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	348	35¢	$122	0x4be4d9…
11-15 01:50:37	O/U 4.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	187	35¢	$65	0xe25799…
11-14 21:25:22	Will Ciryl Gane win in Round 2?	No	BUY	199	86¢	$171	0x6cba8a…
11-14 18:31:25	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	SELL	27	57¢	$15	0x940de3…
11-13 20:27:31	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	133	56¢	$75	0x6ca43c…
11-13 19:01:49	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xf83b94…
11-13 18:01:48	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xf33da4…
11-13 17:43:52	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xf8534d…
11-13 16:06:03	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x93f1bf…
11-13 14:32:00	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x386cec…
11-13 12:39:34	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	118	56¢	$66	0xe897ef…
11-13 11:27:03	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe3f94c…
11-13 10:40:45	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x55f406…
11-12 20:45:07	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x5c8712…
11-12 19:48:49	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x8c11cd…
11-12 14:34:30	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	67	56¢	$38	0xd888fa…
11-10 23:39:21	Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	BUY	167	75¢	$125	0xca18b8…
11-10 18:45:31	Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x294560…
11-10 18:20:13	Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0x7ce1d8…
11-09 17:08:45	Spread: Raptors (-3.5)	Raptors	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0xc7f991…
11-09 01:58:03	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup?	No	BUY	58	90¢	$52	0x0d6043…
11-09 01:39:04	Buccaneers vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0xc68bf9…
11-08 22:23:33	Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x5b8be4…
11-08 16:26:36	Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	143	69¢	$99	0xa93450…
11-08 15:01:34	Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	454	98¢	$444	0x64745f…
11-08 14:43:13	Will UNLV Rebels Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship?	No	BUY	703	90¢	$636	0x45ee29…
11-07 18:05:00	Louisiana Tech vs. Troy	Louisiana Tech	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x232473…
11-07 17:46:49	Louisiana Tech vs. Troy	Louisiana Tech	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x7e2fae…
11-07 17:44:15	Alabama vs. LSU	LSU	BUY	62	68¢	$42	0xcde2fe…
11-07 16:31:18	Will Wellington Turman win in Round 3?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xee661c…
11-07 16:28:40	Will Carlos Calderon win in Round 3?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0xd1c205…
11-07 06:04:19	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	546	72¢	$393	0xba3723…
11-07 05:15:00	Will Justin Allgaier win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	140	47¢	$66	0x810bf5…
11-06 17:10:15	Michigan Wolverines vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 141.5	Under	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xc15ef6…
11-06 16:40:25	Michigan Wolverines vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 141.5	Under	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0xc491aa…
11-06 15:27:31	Will UTSA Roadrunners Win the 2026 American Conference?	No	BUY	283	67¢	$191	0xa61815…
11-06 15:12:51	Will Justin Allgaier win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	162	45¢	$73	0xfa996a…
11-03 19:16:40	Mavericks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	102	83¢	$85	0x99ddfd…
11-03 19:14:54	Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	83	74¢	$62	0x1d6db8…
11-03 18:56:09	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	65	67¢	$43	0xf50afc…
11-02 22:27:16	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	876	24¢	$210	0x34c2d2…
11-02 07:38:19	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x50ffcb…
11-02 02:34:03	Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	199	69¢	$138	0x781ee7…
11-02 02:17:16	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xc00a4b…
11-02 02:04:55	atp tournament winner 2026 135039 competitor 972327	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x7e01bd…
11-01 18:02:49	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup?	No	BUY	117	83¢	$97	0x22ea21…
11-01 18:01:15	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup?	No	BUY	95	83¢	$79	0xde75f1…
11-01 17:28:37	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	960	84¢	$807	0xad348f…
10-31 17:31:51	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Cup?	No	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0x03ea58…
10-31 15:32:10	Florida vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x02b876…
10-31 15:31:00	Florida vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	99	80¢	$79	0x792b6c…
10-31 14:43:39	Colorado State vs. Utah State	Utah State	BUY	75	72¢	$54	0x5db614…
10-31 14:38:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	555	83¢	$460	0x96a1de…
10-30 22:38:42	Florida vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	51	80¢	$41	0x57918e…
10-30 19:35:00	Florida vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe66a22…
10-30 17:56:45	Florida vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	55	80¢	$44	0x0e00dc…
10-30 17:53:54	Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	142	71¢	$101	0xbc4372…
10-30 17:50:45	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	68	66¢	$45	0x2af6be…
10-30 14:25:18	Will Joe Kropschot win in Round 2?	No	BUY	267	79¢	$211	0xcbdf64…
10-30 14:22:55	Will Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani win in Round 2?	No	BUY	230	80¢	$184	0xfd5323…
10-28 13:50:04	Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd00bd9…
10-28 11:48:23	Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	BUY	466	0¢	$2	0x044c21…
10-27 17:27:11	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	228	60¢	$137	0xd69dac…
10-26 14:38:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	968	2¢	$18	0xa51e40…
10-26 14:24:09	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$1	0xc289cc…
10-26 14:22:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	293	1¢	$4	0x02d980…
10-26 14:22:26	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0xcd5831…
10-26 14:22:14	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0x686495…
10-26 14:22:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0x06bdf7…
10-26 14:18:48	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	197	2¢	$3	0x1406d3…
10-26 14:18:36	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x4211df…
10-26 14:18:00	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$34	0xe0ea41…
10-26 13:30:45	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0xdbd0d5…
10-26 13:27:05	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	900	2¢	$14	0x8f8966…
10-25 19:51:56	49ers vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xb4a4f7…
10-25 19:39:30	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	89	76¢	$68	0x4c9abe…
10-25 19:36:42	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	220	87¢	$191	0x2bb446…
10-25 13:32:42	Will Brice Turang win the 2026 World Series MVP?	No	BUY	326	96¢	$311	0x4a4cdf…
10-24 15:34:24	Will Asaf Chopurov win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	2,263	64¢	$1,448	0xdef6ea…
10-24 15:31:50	Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	409	90¢	$368	0xf77c4f…
10-24 15:22:03	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Texas	BUY	54	59¢	$32	0xf21f64…
10-24 09:40:11	Will Jesse Love win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xee1ab8…
10-24 06:10:36	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	341	53¢	$181	0xfbc52c…
10-24 02:28:29	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x6aff93…
10-23 20:13:44	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	132	52¢	$69	0x71f76e…
10-23 20:09:12	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	36	52¢	$19	0x3a89f1…
10-23 19:48:11	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	180	52¢	$95	0x699c32…
10-23 16:01:09	Duke vs. Virginia	Virginia	BUY	47	56¢	$26	0x4446f6…
10-23 15:43:42	Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	53	55¢	$29	0x864a49…
10-23 15:19:29	Will Petr Yan win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xf12565…
10-23 15:07:32	Will Jesse Love win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	49	44¢	$22	0x70c88c…
10-23 14:17:21	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	348	50¢	$175	0x441469…
10-23 14:17:20	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5886a1…
10-23 09:54:11	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	338	51¢	$172	0x9fadc0…
10-23 01:15:09	Will Petr Yan win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	997	79¢	$788	0xf43c31…
10-22 17:30:44	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	910	22¢	$203	0x407a0c…
10-22 17:25:39	Will Petr Yan win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	88	80¢	$70	0x23fa3f…
10-21 16:15:30	Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 251.5	Under	BUY	349	73¢	$255	0x5e746f…
10-21 16:13:30	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	392	70¢	$274	0x8e53ce…