Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e42d…81b7f1
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$14.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$151
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
53,214
Trades
202,601
lifetime
Volume
$1.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$43.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-26 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$12,084
Politics
8% 70% +$370
Sports
3% 63% +$2,198
Tech
1% 62% -$564
Crypto
1% 55% -$178
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$101
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2915 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,649 $3,618 100¢ $3.6K +$22 10-26 20:58
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,088 $2,764 94¢ $2.9K +$152 10-26 20:55
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,626 $2,902 78¢ $2.8K -$74 10-26 20:56
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,726 $2,720 100¢ $2.7K +$4 10-26 18:50
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,351 $2,340 99¢ $2.3K -$2 10-26 19:00
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes -2,787 -$1,856 82¢ $-2271 -$415 09-13 16:07
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,517 $2,415 64¢ $2.2K -$169 10-26 17:00
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,199 $2,193 100¢ $2.2K +$4 10-26 17:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,014 $2,001 100¢ $2.0K +$11 10-25 23:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,891 $1,587 94¢ $1.8K +$181 10-26 17:00
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,791 $1,200 70¢ $1.2K +$45 10-26 18:32
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,337 $1,074 36¢ $1.2K +$127 10-26 17:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,176 $1,170 100¢ $1.2K +$2 10-26 17:13
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,134 $1,132 100¢ $1.1K +$1 10-26 20:02
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,985 $1,189 28¢ $1.1K -$75 10-26 20:54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,160 $1,009 92¢ $1.1K +$52 09-11 13:20
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +1,432 $1,113 74¢ $1.1K -$61 10-26 12:44
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +1,197 $856 83¢ $993 +$137 10-21 23:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +996 $991 99¢ $987 -$4 10-23 09:39
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +968 $966 100¢ $967 +$1 10-26 08:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +926 $905 97¢ $901 -$4 10-25 15:34
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +896 $894 97¢ $867 -$27 10-13 20:23
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,559 $735 56¢ $865 +$130 10-25 22:42
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +837 $831 99¢ $828 -$3 10-24 17:53
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +860 $729 92¢ $788 +$59 10-26 18:18
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +792 $761 97¢ $768 +$8 10-24 07:56
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,487 $767 30¢ $759 -$9 10-26 17:57
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +968 $778 78¢ $756 -$21 09-23 04:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +730 $718 99¢ $725 +$7 10-25 09:41
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +806 $562 79¢ $637 +$75 10-26 15:32