Realized P&L
-$3.15M
Unrealized P&L
+$66.8K
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
6,429
Trades
156,295
lifetime
Volume
$24.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$155
Open exposure
$543.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-26 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 208 days
Categories
Other
56% 43% -$1,792,989
Sports
43% 44% -$1,379,429
Politics
1% 40% +$19,753
Crypto
0% 0% -$1,367
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5098 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +222,702 $78,080 83¢ $183.8K +$105,760 10-25 22:34
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +316,063 $72,120 18¢ $55.3K -$16,809 10-26 22:27
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +404,814 $57,757 8¢ $30.4K -$27,396 10-25 00:18
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +211,912 $12,162 14¢ $28.9K +$16,764 09-26 15:49
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +58,960 $22,436 34¢ $20.3K -$2,095 10-26 21:27
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +44,156 $9,317 45¢ $19.9K +$10,619 10-24 21:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +39,821 $15,229 36¢ $14.5K -$695 10-26 20:54
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +127,689 $16,194 10¢ $13.2K -$2,978 10-22 06:52
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +51,106 $10,410 22¢ $11.4K +$1,038 10-26 22:33
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +20,222 $6,862 55¢ $11.1K +$4,260 10-24 21:21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +57,894 $13,162 19¢ $11.1K -$2,046 10-15 14:02
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +29,701 $13,024 36¢ $10.8K -$2,183 10-25 14:07
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +163,739 $24,295 6¢ $10.6K -$13,651 09-28 00:10
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +121,549 $19,160 8¢ $10.3K -$8,828 10-24 06:19
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +71,679 $12,676 14¢ $10.3K -$2,390 10-26 20:52
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +28,685 $13,415 34¢ $9.9K -$3,519 10-20 18:51
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +82,020 $8,475 12¢ $9.4K +$958 09-25 18:02
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +86,476 $6,284 10¢ $9.0K +$2,666 09-25 16:28
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +24,550 $9,952 36¢ $8.7K -$1,236 10-19 20:27
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +118,196 $9,753 6¢ $7.2K -$2,603 09-27 00:27
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +43,197 $5,999 16¢ $6.8K +$826 10-26 19:58
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +79,075 $4,213 8¢ $6.4K +$2,231 10-22 04:44
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +159,352 $7,471 4¢ $6.1K -$1,336 09-27 00:09
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +14,088 $4,747 41¢ $5.8K +$1,029 10-17 12:11
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +13,811 $4,639 40¢ $5.6K +$954 10-26 17:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +64,559 $6,427 8¢ $5.5K -$939 10-24 05:34
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +114,132 $4,787 5¢ $5.4K +$634 09-27 20:11
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +119,994 $2,241 4¢ $5.3K +$3,039 09-27 00:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +5,627 $547 93¢ $5.2K +$4,687 10-26 02:27
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +7,001 $5,082 74¢ $5.2K +$70 10-26 22:32