Realized P&L
+$79.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$33.0K
Hit rate
90.5%
Resolved
92,323
Trades
695,911
lifetime
Volume
$25.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$607.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-24
last 11-06 04:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 136 days
Categories
Other
64% 86% +$35,969
Politics
24% 85% +$22,722
Sports
10% 91% +$7,190
Tech
1% 84% +$12,268
Crypto
0% 82% +$386
Pop-Culture
0% 87% +$716
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 20273 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +39,779 $39,617 100¢ $39.6K -$37 11-04 14:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +39,007 $38,289 99¢ $38.8K +$503 11-04 14:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +38,866 $38,453 99¢ $38.5K +$43 11-04 14:27
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +37,285 $14,985 98¢ $36.6K +$21,592 11-06 05:50
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +36,399 $31,246 97¢ $35.5K +$4,225 11-06 01:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +39,780 $29,889 66¢ $26.5K -$3,435 11-04 14:27
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +21,789 $17,731 100¢ $21.7K +$3,949 11-05 16:16
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +18,427 $18,346 100¢ $18.4K +$63 10-29 14:37
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +17,083 $17,066 100¢ $17.1K -$9 11-05 16:53
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +17,083 $17,066 100¢ $17.1K -$9 11-05 16:53
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +17,083 $17,064 100¢ $17.1K -$7 11-05 16:53
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +17,083 $17,066 100¢ $17.1K -$9 11-05 16:53
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +17,400 $17,329 98¢ $17.0K -$287 11-06 03:28
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +17,083 $17,004 100¢ $17.0K -$6 11-05 16:53
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +17,083 $17,060 99¢ $17.0K -$104 11-05 16:53
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +16,682 $16,639 100¢ $16.7K +$17 09-15 12:27
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +16,682 $16,651 100¢ $16.7K +$5 09-15 12:27
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +17,176 $16,901 97¢ $16.7K -$248 11-05 16:37
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +16,782 $15,267 99¢ $16.6K +$1,339 09-15 12:27
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +16,582 $16,198 100¢ $16.5K +$343 09-15 12:27
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +16,532 $16,419 100¢ $16.5K +$80 09-15 12:27
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +15,888 $15,774 100¢ $15.8K +$35 11-05 16:16
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +17,084 $11,815 92¢ $15.8K +$3,988 11-05 16:53
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +21,526 $17,298 73¢ $15.7K -$1,638 11-06 03:28
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +15,380 $15,351 100¢ $15.4K +$6 09-07 05:43
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +15,182 $15,144 100¢ $15.2K +$15 09-09 14:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +13,992 $11,298 99¢ $13.9K +$2,617 11-05 20:22
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +13,864 $13,802 100¢ $13.8K +$6 11-05 16:53
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +13,746 $13,729 100¢ $13.7K -$4 11-05 20:10
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +13,746 $13,685 100¢ $13.7K +$13 11-05 20:10